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Trend Update: Mosul Dam Status, May 2017

Posted in Mosul/Nineveh, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on May 16, 2017 by paulthepoke

Nahum 1:8 But with an overflowing flood He will make a complete end of the adversaries, and will pursue his enemies into darkness.

Nahum 2:6 The gates of the rivers are opened and the palace is dissolved.

The waters of the Tigris River forming Lake Dahuk appear to have a date with destiny and prophecies written by Nahum approximately 2,700 years ago. The Mosul Dam is the second largest dam in the Middle East. It is located approximately 35 miles north of ancient Nineveh or modern day Mosul, Iraq. The dam was the brainchild of Saddam Hussein back in 1981. He originally named the dam after himself, the Saddam Dam. One problem, the dam was built on water soluble gypsum.

The Italian company Trevi has been working on repairs of the Mosul Dam for the past 6 months. ISIS took control of the dam in 2014 and did not complete the necessary continuous repairs which are due to foundation issues and design flaws. The concern is a Mosul Dam collapse and a trillion gallon wave of water unleashed on Mosul and ultimately Baghdad.

The current state of the Mosul Dam has many perspectives. First there is the Iraqi government. The Iraqis are taking a victory lap.

“There remains no danger to the dam now. It is with overwhelming happiness to announce that it is going back to normal operation.” -Hassan Janabi, Iraq Minister of Water Resources.

 

Second is the perspective of Trevi, the company performing the repairs on the Mosul Dam. They state the dam is no longer shows signs of significant stress. All five dam gates are now working for the first time in 12 years. But, water levels are at their highest since 2005.

Carlo Crippa, Trevi project manager indicated further repairs on the Mosul Dam will need to be continuous.

“The rocks of the foundations are prone to dissolution due to the circulation of water.” – Carlo Crippa, Trevi project manager

 

Then there is the opinion of Azzam Alwash, an Iraqi-American civil engineer. He assisted with the repair project. Azzam Alwash made the following statement.

“There is always a chance that water is going to migrate. 24 sinkholes remain in the dam’s reservoir, making it vulnerable to pressure from water flows. This is a dam tantamount to a nuclear bomb. Are you going to take the risk of keeping your family in a place where it can sink under as much as 15 meters (approximately 45 feet) of water in a matter of hours? I’m not.” -Azzam Alwash

 

Last there is Nadhir al-Ansari, professor of water resources and environmental engineering at Lulea University in Sweden. His outlook is not rosy either.

“There is no guarantee the dam will ever be safe. Studies done on the dam all show that its collapse is imminent. The (Iraqi) minister may say it’s safe because Iraq is already past the flooding season, which peaks in April and ends in May. You will have the same problem every year in April.”

“The grouting solution by the Italian company is only a temporary measure for emergency fixes. When they block a cavity in one place, it appears in another place. This is something that can’t be stopped. … The only solution is to build another (dam) close to it.” – Nadhir al-Ansari, Lulea University in Sweden

https://www.voanews.com/a/mosul-dam-no-longer-brink-catastrophe/3839850.html

https://paulthepoke.com/category/mosulnineveh/

 

We know what Scripture says on the issue…

Trend Update: Mosul Dam Collapse, Clock is Ticking, December 2016

Posted in Mosul/Nineveh, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , on December 30, 2016 by paulthepoke

Nahum 1:8 But with an overflowing flood He will make a complete end of the adversaries, and will pursue his enemies into darkness.

Nahum 2:6 The gates of the rivers are opened and the palace is dissolved.

The prophet Nahum describes the judgment of ancient Nineveh or 21st century Mosul, Iraq. It comes with a flood after a long history of bloodshed.

Fears of the Mosul Dam collapse are on the rise again. Scientists and engineers are expressing great concern for the future of the dam. Iraqi politicians are not as concerned. They say these concerns are overblown.

The Italian engineering firm Trevi continues to repair the Mosul Dam. They have been on the job for six months providing logistical work and planning. Scientific experts state Trevi has approximately 18 months to complete the work. Or the dam runs a high risk of catastrophic failure. The primary problem is the foundation of the dam continues to sink. The dam was built on gypsum.

“I don’t know if it’s a race against time, but we have the know-how and the technology to make the dam safe for the time being,” per an anonymous Trevi spokesman.

Trevi has a $300 million contract to complete repairs for the dam on the Tigris River. Trevi is also training locals on maintenance techniques. The World Bank is providing the money for the project. Trevi states more money is necessary to complete the task.

That is the contractor company line to the current situation.

Enter Nadhir al-Ansari. He is a professor of water resources and environmental engineering at Lulea University in Sweden and a published expert on the Mosul Dam. Al-Ansari has a different opinion.

“No matter how much grouting and maintenance the company will do, it may expand the life span of the dam, but it is just going to delay the disaster. It is just a matter of time. It will be worse than throwing a nuclear bomb on Iraq.”

On the lake side of the dam, sinkholes are increasing in size and number. The size of the sinkholes are 60 feet and larger.

Azzam al-Wash is an Iraqi environmentalist. He does not have much confidence in the repair work on the Mosul Dam.

“This is akin to putting a Band-Aid on a gunshot wound and pretending that everything is going to be all right,” Azzam al-Wash.

A 26% collapse of the dam would be a disaster. Here are the results of the latest studies released.

“This simulation … results in a very high wave of water, up to 25 meters (about 75 feet) high…arriving at Mosul after 100 minutes. The capital Baghdad is reached after 3.5 days with a maximum water height of 8 meters (about 24 feet) and a mean of around 2 meters (about 6 feet). Floodwater will destroy the infrastructure of all the cities along the Tigris banks, including Tikrit, until the water eventually stops 700km south of the dam.”

Then there is the Iraqi Government take on the dam situation.

Iraqi minister of water resources Mohsin Al-Shammari told media outlets, “The danger is not imminent, it’s far off. The danger is 1 in 1,000…The danger for Mosul Dam is no greater than that of other dams.”

Spokesman Mahdi Rasheed of the Iraqi minister of water resources stated, “It stressed multiple times that the situation in Mosul Dam is nothing to worry about. The Mosul Dam is working very naturally, and grouting and additional construction and repairs are constant.”

A solution would be to build a second dam. That would cost $2 billion. Iraqi leaders are suspicious and do not want outside assistance. They fear long term western occupation.

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2016/11/mosul-dam-collapse-worse-nuclear-bomb-161116082852394.html

Great idea Saddam…

https://paulthepoke.com/2016/11/08/trend-update-mosul-dam-november-2016/

https://paulthepoke.com/2016/03/10/trend-update-ninevehmosul-dam-march-2016/

Trend Update: Mosul Dam, November 2016

Posted in Mosul/Nineveh, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 8, 2016 by paulthepoke

The prophet Nahum describes the destruction of ancient Nineveh or what is 21st century Mosul, Iraq. It comes with a flood. The key verses are stated below.

Nahum 1:8 But with an overflowing flood He will make a complete end of the adversaries, and will pursue his enemies into darkness.

Nahum 2:6 The gates of the rivers are opened and the palace is dissolved.

The Mosul Dam was built by Saddam Hussein in 1986 on soluble gypsum. Translation, the dam is built on a shifting, poor foundation. The Mosul Dam has been called the most dangerous dam in the world. It is located 35 miles north of Mosul, Iraq. The dam manages the Tigris River in Iraq. The dam holds an estimated 11-12 billion cubic meters of water. This equates to approximately 3,170,064,624,000 US Fluid Gallons. Translation, 3.1 trillion gallons of water! http://www.asknumbers.com/CubicMeterToGallon.aspx

As of March 2016, the dam was in serious trouble. Currently (November 2016), an Italian company is completing work and maintenance on the dam. Trevi is being paid 217 million pounds to improve the situation. They have 450 staff employees working on the project. Trevi is being protected by the Italian military. Trevi is injecting grout and cement into the foundation of the dam.

https://www.newcivilengineer.com/world-view/trevi-continues-dam-repairs-despite-mosul-battle/10012949.article

Tobias von Lossow is a specialist on water projects in the Middle East at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs. He states, “Maybe the Mosul Dam is not the most dangerous in the world but it certainly is in a very disastrous condition. The risk of a breach is very high. Not only is it leaking but some of the gates on one side of the dam are not working, placing great pressure on the other side of the structure.”

A major issue is ISIS controls areas where gravel and materials are located for grout and cement.

ISIS previously managed to take control of the Mosul Dam in June 2014. Currently, the Mosul Dam is managed by the Kurdish peshmerga. The issue is ISIS took the maintenance equipment and supplies. The Kurds are busy fighting back ISIS to maintain control of the dam. ISIS clearly wants to destroy the dam. They have stated this as a goal and they are trying.

October 20, 2016: Peshmerga have destroyed an ISIS vehicle laden with explosives near Mosul Dam. Report is from Turkish news source http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/20102016

ISIS has used the control of dams as a weapon to flood areas of Iraq.

Keep in mind, ISIS control two dams on the Euphrates River in Syria. One is the Tabqa Dam, Syria’s largest dam. The second is the Baath Dam. These two dams control water to northern Iraq. ISIS is reported to hold prisoners at the dams as human shields.

http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/fears-dam-collapse-remain-raging-battles-1410255276

An estimated 45-70 foot wall of water could flood the river valley if the dam breaks. This could potentially kill millions and displace 150 million more per estimates.

The city of Mosul would be underwater within four hours of a dam break. Within 77 hours, Baghdad would be targeted.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/belief/2016/mar/10/the-mosul-dam-is-crumbling-if-it-bursts-it-would-be-a-disaster-on-a-biblical-scale

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