Archive for the Ezekiel 38-39 Category

Russia Increases Presence in Libya, October 2018

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on October 16, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:5 Persia, Ethiopia and Put with them, all of them with shield and helmet…

Genesis 10:6 The sons of Ham were Cush and Mizraim and Put and Canaan.

These are Noah’s grandchildren. The sons of Ham by and large settled in Africa.

Put or Phut means “a bow”; a nation and people of northern Africa; probably Libyans. –Strong’s Concordance. Consensus among researchers and scholars is Put is modern day Libya.

Historical Put or modern day Libya is a country that will join Russia and others in their future invasion of Israel.

October 2018: Russia is adding military hardware and troops into Libya. The build appears to have started in March 2017.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/03/20/trend-update-russian-special-forces-in-libya-march-2017/

Libya Daily Mail

Image: Daily Mail

Russia has built military bases in the Mediterranean port cities of Benghazi and Tobruk.

Russian Kalibr anti-ship missiles and the S-300 missile defense system are reported to be in Libya. Russian military equipment and military vehicles bound for Libya have been intercepted by Tunisia earlier in the year.

Libya Oil

Libya has the largest oil reserves in Africa. As of now, production is approximately 700,000 barrels per day. With political stability and safety, production could increase to 2,500,000 barrels per day. President Vladimir Putin’s Russia clearly wants a piece of the growing pie.

There is money to be made in other areas of the Libyan economy. The country has a rebuild coming from all the destruction of civil war. Putin wants to re-establish a railway contract and military arms deals.

Libya is also the main gateway to Europe for African immigrants. Six billion pounds a year are made in trading humans across the Mediterranean Sea. Italy is less than 300 miles away. Vladimir Putin looks to control the flow of immigration as a political tool against Europe.

For more detail and analysis, see the link below.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-6273681/Putins-taking-Libya-order-point-new-weapon-West-writes-MICHAEL-BURLEIGH.html

Billions upon billions of dollars are on the table. Russia and Libya are drawing closer just like the prophet Ezekiel said…

 

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Prices Rising in Turkey, Trouble Ahead

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on October 8, 2018 by paulthepoke

The Turmoil will not start in the United States, but it will reach our shores.  The warnings are moving from inevitable Global Turmoil to Imminent Global Turmoil!

Michael’s website

The Catalyst will not start in the Equity Markets, but in the Credit and Debt Markets of the World. The Debt Markets dwarf the Equity Markets by a factor of at least 20; the Credit Market is enormous!!  Although the Turmoil will not start in the US, the US Dollar will be the cause! In an effort to Save the World, the Central Bankers reduced rates to zero or below and encouraged borrowing; encouraged squander and massive, pervasive Debt! Global rates have risen from 0.1% to over 3.0% in the US. A thirty fold increase! Thirty times more interest; thirty times more tax money to service the debt. To make matters worse, a gamble was taken; betting the US Dollar would indefinitely decline in value and Debt could be rolled over in cheaper and cheaper Dollars. Historical Cycles were ignored; the Day of Reckoning is coming as the Dollar has reversed and is now getting stronger and stronger. The equation of local currency vs the US Dollar is tipping. Not only is the payment rate trending higher, more local currency is needed to buy a US Dollar; a lot more!

Available Now-Click on Book

Not only Debt repayment will cause Turmoil, but Imports are typically expressed in International measures which is typically the US Dollar. Energy costs will skyrocket in Argentina and Turkey as their respective currencies decline vis-a-vis the US Dollar.  Oil and refined petroleum Products will become very expensive and cause hardship on the local populations. Medicine, machine parts, electronics, replacement parts will all become expensive demanding more and more of free cash flow and eventually a breaking point!

Obviously, as more and more Capital is diverted to servicing Debt and rising costs, the Economy will suffer. It will become a Negative Feed Loop Spiral! Eventually, Debt will be Defaulted affecting the Pension Funds, Hedge Funds, Banks, Mutual Funds, Annuities, Sovereign Wealth Funds, and even small family reserves. Collateral Damage will be a Contagion as Peter can no longer pay Paul who then cannot pay Mark!

Bonds will face not only Market Risk as Interest Rates rise causing a relentless decline in value, but also Credit Risk as Defaults rise and credit Quality lowers.  It is time to review holdings. It is time to re-allocate. The US Dollar cycles; it will trend lower again. Things and Real Assets will rise substantially in the US like they are now in Turkey and India. Real Things should be accumulated now while our Dollar is high. Commodities such as copper, aluminum, steel, asphalt, agriculture, farms, lumber, and residential rentals can be slowly bought. Cash flowing rentals contain these basic materials and will not only protect their value in the future, but protect the owner with an alternative cash stream when Turmoil reaches our shores.

Russia Gives S-300 Missile System to Syria

Posted in Burden of Damascus, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on September 26, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:4 And I will turn you about and put hooks into your jaws, and I will bring you out, and all your army, horses and horsemen, all of them clothed in full armor, a great host, all of them with buckler and shield, wielding swords.

The context of the verse God is talking to Gog of Magog. Gog is the leader of what many scholars and historians believe to be modern day Russia. See the link below for detailed analysis.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

September 25, 2018: In a response to the downed Russian plane, Russia has announced it will increase military hardware in Syria.

Currently in Syria, Russian military personnel have their own S-300 and S-400 air defense systems. Now, the Syrians are about to have the S-300 system at their disposal.

 

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu made the following statement. “(The incedent) has pushed us to adopt adequate response measures directed at boosting the security of Russian troops in Syria. (Russia will) transfer the modern S-300 air defense system to the Syrian armed forces within two weeks.”

“In regions near Syria over the Mediterranean Sea, there will be radio-electronic suppression of satellite navigation, on-board radar systems and communication systems of military aviation attacking objects on Syrian territory.” -Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu

Syrian President Assad called Russian President Putin. After the phone call, the Kremlin issued the following, “additional measures to ensure the safety of Russian troops in Syria and to reinforce the country’s air defense system, which includes the delivery of the modern S-300 systems.”

https://www.timesofisrael.com/us-warns-russia-deploying-s-300-in-syria-would-be-major-mistake/

 

220px-Official_portrait_of_Sergey_Shoigu

The S-300 Missile system has been a lightning rod of controversy with Israel. In April 2018 the following statement was made by a Russian Defense Spokesman.

“Experts believe that the reaction of the Israeli military to such a move will be predictably negative and do not exclude attacks on their locations. If Israel decides to carry out rocket strikes on the deployment locations of the S-300, the consequences will be catastrophic for all sides.”

 

lieberman

Israel issued their statement on the potential deployment of the S-300 System to Syria in April 2018.

“One thing needs to be clear: If someone shoots at our planes, we will destroy them. It doesn’t matter if it’s an S-300 or an S-700,” -Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with the Israeli Security Council on Tuesday, September 25, 2018.

All of the rhetoric is about to be tested.

 

Turkey is selling Gold!

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on September 24, 2018 by paulthepoke

Featuring: Michael Douville, Paul Lehr

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

For more evidence pointing to modern day Turkey, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

 

https://michaeldouville.com/store/

Economic data provided by Wall Street Geek syndicated columnist Michael Douville.

Turkey loves Gold! Gold is revered as true Wealth; portable and exchangeable worldwide. Turkey is one of the top Sovereign holders of Gold and the Turkish people consume massive amounts in jewelry and bullion. Turkey is selling Gold; over $6 billion US Dollars worth since June of 2018. Reports of up to 20% of Turkish holdings have been liquidated. Turkey loves Gold; there has to be compelling reasons to sell!

Turkey is in Trouble; big Trouble. The Turkish Lira is continuing it’s decline against the Euro and most notably the US Dollar losing over 40% of purchasing power year to date. The 10 year Turkish bond has climbed to unsustainable levels of over 21% and the Bank Rate has been increased to 24%+.  The Debt binge that has fueled Prosperity for the last decade is coming to an end; the Credit Line is exhausted! The Day of Reckoning when lenders will no longer extend a financial lifeline and want their money back is upon them. When the obvious loss of confidence in the Government’s credibility becomes apparent, Capital Flees! Not just Foreign Capital, but Domestic as well seeking safer assets. Selling Gold is inevitable and an International Black Swan.

Uncertainty dictates caution. The US will be the Haven of Last Resort; US Assets may still rise as others fall. Capital will search for safety.

Regardless what it is called, when a country can no longer service it’s debt, a Contagion ripples across the Globe. Turkey is connected to the European Banks; particularly fragile are those in Spain and Italy which have very little reserves to handle a default. The Fractional Reserve System on which modern Banking is based is intertwined with the International Monetary System and can destabilize the Banking System as Liquidity from defaults disappears. Turkey has a liquidity problem itself and selling Gold will temporarily ease the problem.  Servicing an unsustainable debt load by some reports of up to $330 Billion US Dollars with a currency that is daily losing value. A Herculean task.

Military forays into Iraq and now occupation of areas in North Syria are hugely expensive, not only in the loss of life and the loss of equipment, but the logistics to support the military campaigns; Turkey obviously has a finite capability. Who will provide the fuel, the food, the ammunition? Russia may be funding the incursions to benefit it’s Syrian ally. Russian capability is also limited.

Uncertainty dictates caution. The US will be the Haven of Last Resort; US Assets may still rise as others fall. Capital will search for safety. Prudence also dictates caution.  Review asset allocations; pay particular attention to Sovereign Debt Funds and Emerging Markets. Review vulnerabilities, review risk parameters in any new ventures, review debt and reduce negative cash flow,  build reserves and personal items such as extra food, water, medicine, and cash. Intrinsically, Real Assets may become more valuable than Financial Assets. Businesses may be vulnerable as commerce slows; first overseas then to Mainland US. Basic rentals (B- or C) with little or no frills should continue to provide an alternate source of consistent positive cash flow that will be hugely valuable during any International or Domestic Economic slowdown.

https://michaeldouville.com/store/

 

Russian Aircraft Downed In Syria, Yom Kippur 5779/2018

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 18, 2018 by paulthepoke

Latakia, Syria, September 17, 2018: Initial reports indicated Israel shot down a Russian IL-20 airplane. Latakia is home to a Russian Military Base. Four F16 Israeli jets were reported in the altercation. Fifteen (15) Russian service men are reported dead.

Russia Latakia

Map: Russian Defense Ministry

“Israel did not warn the command of the Russian troops in Syria about the planned operation. We received a notification via a hotline less than a minute before the strike, which did not allow the Russian aircraft to be directed to a safe zone,” Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov said.

Timeline of events provided at link below by Sputnik News.

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201809181068121621-france-russia-plane-syria

Click on the link below for additional analysis and geography.

 

The following is a sequence of tweets from the Israeli Defense Force spokesperson.

Israel expresses sorrow for the death of the aircrew members of the Russian plane that was downed tonight due to Syrian anti-aircraft fire. Israel holds the Assad regime, whose military shot down the Russian plane, fully responsible for this incident.

Israel also holds Iran and the Hezbollah terror organization accountable for this unfortunate incident.

Overnight, IDF fighter jets targeted a facility of the Syrian Armed Forces from which systems to manufacture accurate and lethal weapons were about to be transferred on behalf of Iran to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The IDF and the Russian army have a deconfliction system, which was agreed upon by the states’ leaders, and has proven itself many times over recent years. This system was in use tonight as well.

An initial inquiry of the incident suggests:

1. Extensive and inaccurate Syrian anti-aircraft (Surface to Air missile) fire caused the Russian plane to be hit and downed.

2. When the Syrian Army launched the missiles that hit the Russian plane, IAF jets were already within Israeli airspace.

3. During the strike against the target in Latakia, the Russian plane that was then hit was not within the area of the operation.

4. The Syrian anti-air batteries fired indiscriminately and from what we understand, did not bother to ensure that no Russian planes were in the air.

Israel will share all the relevant information with the Russian Government to review the incident and to confirm the facts in this inquiry.

IL-20M

“By using the Russian plane as a cover the Israeli air pilots made it vulnerable to Syrian air defense fire. As a result, the Ilyushin-20, its reflective surface being far greater than that of F-16, was downed by a missile launched with the S-200 system,” Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov.

Russian President Vladimir Putin statement, “Israel didn’t shoot down the Russian plane deliberately. It was a result of a chain of tragic circumstances.”

For detail of recent events, click on the link below from the Times of Israel.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/russia-blames-israel-after-syria-downs-plane-while-trying-to-repel-attack/

Russia has requested the Israeli envoy to Moscow. The diplomat has arrived and discussions have started. This is a developing story. The plot thickens…

Ezekiel 38:4 And I will turn you about and put hooks into your jaws, and I will bring you out, and all your army, horses and horsemen, all of them clothed in full armor, a great host, all of them with buckler and shield, wielding swords.

Ezekiel 39:2 And I will turn you about and drive you forward, and bring you up from the uttermost parts of the north, and lead you against the mountains of Israel.

 

 

 

Russia: An Emerging Market

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 17, 2018 by paulthepoke

Featuring: Michael Douville, Paul Lehr

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

For evidence pointing to modern day Russia, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

Modern day, 21st century Russians refer to themselves as the ancient Scythians or Magogians. See the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/08/23/trend-update-putin-netanyahu-meet-in-sochi-russia-august-2017/

https://michaeldouville.com

Russia has an impressive military with Nuclear Weapons, but when it comes to Economic prowess, it is an Emerging Market! It has been only 20 years since Russia collapsed financially and it is still working through the economic disruption. Although blessed with huge Natural Resources, Russia is still very dependent on Foreign Capital to develop it’s mining,  gas and oil fields.  Foreign Capital is needed not only for developing the resources themselves, but the infrastructure to bring them to market.  Global Markets dictate much of Russia’s income as the price of basic materials fluctuate with the Business Cycle. As one of the World’s leading oil producers, Russia has benefited from the recent run up in Oil prices which are expressed in US Dollars. Basic Materials are also expressed in US Dollars, but are very sensitive to demand dynamics; much, much more sensitive. Dollar dependency is a two edged sword for although the demand for the energy component is less elastic, the price can fluctuate wildly.  The price of Natural Resources can plummet as the Global Slowdown intensifies; as with any Emerging Market repayment of Foreign Loans becomes more and more difficult.

The BRICs were the darling of the Investment Community. Now Brazil and India are struggling. China financed much of it’s Capital needs with internal financing through it’s Shadow Banking and while these loans are certainly at risk, they are less visible. Russia has done much better than many Emerging Market Nations, but Russia is still affected by a rising US Dollar and rising Global Interest Rates. The balance of Trade impacts the International repayments. A Global Slowdown is underway and many Emerging Markets are at risk of depleting Dollar Reserves and thus entering a Liquidity Crisis. Which leads to Turkey!

Commodity prices will fall crushing the Emerging Markets which will cause Turmoil throughout the World. Debts will not be paid and alliances will be stretched if not completely broken.

Turkey, along with Argentina and Brazil, is rapidly running out of Dollar Reserves. Turkey imports much more than it exports and as it’s currency declines, purchasing power falls dramatically.  Turkey needs Cash to not only finance Government offices, public utilities,  and to service domestic needs, but any recent Military adventures such as last year’s excursion into Iraq and just recently Syria. Everything needs to be financed. The Credit lines from Western Nations and the US come with restrictions which the Turkish Government seems to be unwilling to accept. Turkey is now in overtures to Russia and China to provide US Dollars to solve it’s Liquidity demands. Currently, Turkey is involved in operations with Russia in Syria; an operation that benefits both Geo-politically, but is adverse to Turkish Allies objectives.  This becomes a very interesting puzzle!

Russia and China can forestall Turkey’s liquidity crisis for awhile; a few months, maybe a year. However, both are still Emerging Markets themselves and a prolonged Global downturn will inevitably affect any extension of Credit.

A Global Downturn has been evident for months. Demand for natural Resources and eventually Energy will fall, slowly at first then much more rapidly. Commodity prices will fall crushing the Emerging Markets which will cause Turmoil throughout the World. Debts will not be paid and alliances will be stretched if not completely broken. There is still time to prepare; payoff debt, build reserves, store things like food, water, and medicine.  As quickly as possible, build a personal cash reserve held outside of financial institutions and as important, build a Financial Lifeboat of Cash Flowing assets.

https://michaeldouville.com

Remember, the reason for Russia’s future invasion of Israel is economic. Russia will seek to take Israel’s resources.

Ezekiel 38:13 Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

 

Will Turkey Align with Russia?

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 10, 2018 by paulthepoke

Featuring: Michael Douville, Paul Lehr

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

For more evidence pointing to modern day Turkey, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

For evidence pointing to modern day Russia, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

Modern day, 21st century Russians refer to themselves as the ancient Scythians or Magogians. See the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/08/23/trend-update-putin-netanyahu-meet-in-sochi-russia-august-2017/

https://michaeldouville.com

No Presidential Decree from Turkey’s de facto ruler will stop the Lira’s decline against the US Dollar.

Nations are no different than Families; each has a credit line. Using credit to enjoy today is always at the expense of tomorrow; maybe at the expense of a lot of tomorrows.

The US Dollar is cycling higher as uncertainty in Financial Markets starts to spread; just Capital looking for Safety! The easy credit and absurdly low interest rates of the last decade have encouraged gorging on Debt across the Villages, Hamlets, Towns, Cities, and Nations of the World. The Joy of Financed Prosperity is ending and the Day of Judgment is coming as the servicing of the Debt now is impeding Prosperity and the Creditors are looking for re-payment. Emerging Markets rely heavily on Debt to finance schools, airports, roads, water sanitation and all of the infrastructure already in place in modern countries. Further, Emerging Markets rely heavily on Foreign Investments for Capital to build retail, restaurants and housing. When local currencies start to decline against the benchmarks such as the US Dollar, these pools of Capital start to leave causing a liquidity problem for local governments and eventually a loss in confidence which can quickly and adversely affect exchange rates. Capital in Argentina, Brazil, India, Greece, Macedonia, Poland and of course Turkey is fleeing to the Safety of the US Dollar and their currency’s purchasing power is declining. Once started, it is very difficult to stop: even Presidential decrees do not work.

                                  JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index

Nations are no different than Families; each has a credit line. Using credit to enjoy today is always at the expense of tomorrow; maybe at the expense of a lot of tomorrows. Eventually the credit line is completely spent; maybe an extension or two will postpone the inevitable. However, just as Families, nations can only service so much Debt and then something has to change. Families can declare Bankruptcy or allow a Foreclosure. Nations DEFAULT!!

Before a Nation Defaults, plans must be made for the continuation of the Government and essential services. This is done by securing funding from other sources; sources that previously would not even be considered; desperation changes things! Turkey is running out of Credit! Turkey will not accept constraints imposed by the IMF or creditor Banks and has received an emergency $15 Billion from Qatar.  The Debt must be addressed while the Turkish economy and currency is quickly declining creating a very difficult situation.  Overtures to Russia and China for funding will be a game changer. If the future funding requirements can be obtained, Turkey will be able to default on it’s Debt; geopolitics are also economic realities. Capital is fleeing now, time is short.

Prepare for Turmoil, but also prepare for opportunity! Defaults in Emerging Markets would impact Stocks and Bonds across the Globe.  Reduce or eliminate debt, create personal reserves, stockpile needed medicine, store extra food and water, and keep personal cash handy. The Financial Asset Cycle is ending and Real Assets will rise. Natural Resources, Agriculture, Mining and Minerals, Lumber, Copper, Oil, Aluminum, and most if not all of the basic materials should rise as currencies decline. Things should be accumulate; very conservative Real Estate such as rental houses should do well. It is time to prepare, time to change,  time to prepare for the next opportunity.

 

Currently, American economic sanctions and a strong US dollar are crippling the currencies of Russia, Turkey, and Iran. All of these countries are feeling an economic, monetary squeeze. Ultimately, the reason for the invasion of Israel from the north appears to be economic. Israel is a prosperous country.

Ezekiel 38:13 Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

Is now this time? It is looking like it more and more with each passing day. But, that remains to be seen. Will Turkey Align with Russia? God’s prophet Ezekiel says emphatically “Yes”!

 

PaulthePoke

Prophecy Watch

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