Archive for the Czekmate Category

MOU Iran & United States Analysis: Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , on June 19, 2026 by paulthepoke
Logo featuring the word 'Czekmate' with a stylized cross incorporated into the lettering.

I understand the reservations of the Israelis here.

The wheels of this bus have to come off very publicly if the conservative movement can have a “Don’t ever ask us to negotiate with these mutants again” moment. Nothing in the MOU is irrevocable. I worked on MOUs at the State Department often. They have weight around the discussion table and before cameras. That’s it.

I am going out on a limb with my three readers here that we are struggling with William F. Buckley’s “In Search of Antisemitism”. I wish that they’d take a look at who in (and out of) the USG is pushing this abomination. Make no mistake the strategic imperative deserve a serious answer. But we have fundamental questions to answer definitively, and this conflict is a good proxy for doing so.

Are we children of (thus brothers under) the same Lord? As peoples, do we not honor the name El Shaddai?

Answer, yes, we honor the one God of Abraham, the God of Isaac, the God of Jacob.

So why would we entertain these notions that Israeli and American interests as divergent? In some small picayune matters, almost certainly that will happen. These are ripe for diplomatic working-level chats. But the larger questions require us to examine greater questions of common destinies, and thus common causes, and that must be answered and fixed upon our hearts. They must be mutually agreed upon as historically and biblically fully answered questions.

In the course of that, we must dismiss arguments that President Trump faces from members of his own political house. It is painful as it is to watch this “deal” unfold, but there is an element of theater. My prayer is that it is designed to be an exhibition of diplomatic folly. My fervent hope is that the gambit works in order to show the level of compromise within the conservative movement. One will likely find a river of mainly (though not exclusively) Qatari money there.

In so doing, we might be able to clean our own house within the conservative community and finally answer the Israel question for good so as to guard against future accretions. Only then can we clean up with overall American outlook. My hope is that it will offer the Israeli national outlook a similar opportunity because a larger issue looms.

In watching Levin last night, he discussed cold war issues with a level of gravity implying the existential questions involved. The conservative movement has roundly declared victory over the defeat of the Soviet monolith, largely at Reagan’s doing. As men/women of the right we see communism’s discredit as final.

What was deeply troubling of communism is that it was a political philosophy of “man without God”, to quote Whittaker Chambers. It is what gave us all a pit of foreboding in our collective gut during the cold war. That shared tacit understanding by many, gave gravity to the task of confronting it, and thus the purity of our intent was clear. Some of our countrymen opted to sniff the airplane glue of accommodationism.

The red monolith was defeated by ideas of freedom born in Judeo-Christian Biblical principles.

In our sedentary post-cold war world, ‘Man without God’ was quietly and stealthily usurped by a far more insidious threat embodied by the Iranian threat: Man against God.

That is what we are against in this fight against Iran. Yes, Iran is nothing compared to the Soviet Army. But that cold calculus of national power falls away to those on the receiving end of Iranian satanic fury. When brought back to human proportion, the distinction of the scope of the threat is irrelevant when its intentionality is made clear. Imagine the heart stopping urgency of a pair of newly-weds rushing a precious newborn to a shelter in Haifa amid the seemingly endless whales of the klaxon.

My friends, Trump knows what he is doing. he has to clear the division within his own house. Prime Minister Netanyahu must also do like. I argue that by his action Ehud Barak has shown himself to be as hostile to God as anyone. My long years in the wilderness have taught me that Man against God is real. Let’s fortify our President by prayer, that the foregoing is understood.

Watchmen: Tunnels Penetrated, Arab World Uniting, Iceland Quakes

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Earthquakes/Volcanoes, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 15, 2023 by paulthepoke

Zephaniah 2:4-5 For Gaza shall be deserted, and Ashkelon shall become a desolation; Ashdod’s people shall be driven out at noon, and Ekron shall be uprooted. Woe to you inhabitants of the seacoast, you nation of the Cherethites! The word of the LORD is against you, O Canaan, land of the Philistines; and I will destroy you until no inhabitant is left.

There are estimated to be over 300 miles of tunnels below the ground of the Gaza Strip. At the heart of the tunnel system is the Al Shifa Hospital.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12747223/IDF-prepare-storm-Hamas-terror-tunnels-Israeli-troops-face-dangerous-stage-ground-invasion-enter-booby-trapped-Gaza-passages-terrorists-lie-wait.html

The following is from Amir Tsarfati of Behold Israel on Telegram. https://t.me/beholdisraelchannel

Recent Situational Reports exchanged between the U.S. and Israel, obtained by our team, have provided unprecedented insights into the tunnel system beneath Gaza.

The IDF estimates there are 1,300 tunnels spanning 500 km beneath Gaza. The tunnel system has multiple levels.

Level One: Entry and launch locations inside buildings for personnel and rocket launches.

Level Two: Reinforced passageways for rocket transport and maneuvering

Level Three: Houses the Oxygen Generation and Air Movement system generator.

Level Four: Meeting and sleeping rooms for Hamas fighters

Level Five: Main Gaza Metro connecting city blocks/sections

Level Six: Storage for weapons, ammunition, and fuel, with doors always closed for safety

Level Seven: Additional storage and sleeping rooms

Level Eight: Command and Control Center for Hamas, connected via a hard landline, with a quick escape tunnel to the Gaza Metro for senior leaders’ evacuation

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Ezekiel 38-39, Iran (Shia) and Turkey (Sunni) are uniting in purpose against Israel.

The United States gifts Iran another $10 BILLION!

https://freebeacon.com/national-security/biden-mulls-approval-of-fresh-10-billion-payment-to-iran/

Iran continues to build uranium stockpiles.

https://www.barrons.com/news/iran-s-enriched-uranium-stockpile-over-22-times-limit-of-2015-deal-iaea-3eda5caa

Watch what Iran does and not what they say…

November 10, 2023: The Arab world, both Sunni and Shia, are uniting against Israel. The Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Summit was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/saudi-arabia/2023/11/11/Extraordinary-joint-Islamic-Arab-summit-on-Gaza-conflict-kicks-off-in-Saudi-Arabia

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It would appear, the USS Eisenhower striker group has reached the Gulf of Oman.

Drones and missiles continue to be fired from Yemen towards Israel.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us-navy-ship-shoots-down-drone-yemen-officials-2023-11-15/

The list below does not include oil and energy assets in the region.

What is the perception of the events in Gaza from an American perspective?

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/snowflakes-hamas

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Psalm 97:5 The mountains melt like wax before the LORD, before the Lord of all the earth.

Micah 1:4 And the mountains will melt under him, and the valleys will split open, like wax before the fire, like waters poured down a steep place.

Post Joe Biden Political Free-for-All: Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 29, 2023 by paulthepoke

Matthew 7:23 And then I will declare to them, “I never knew you; depart from Me, you who practice lawlessness!” -Jesus

Lawlessness: ἀνομία/anomia

Properly, without law; iniquity, disobedience, sin.

You think Joe and Hunter Biden are something. There is one coming who will be known as the “lawless one“.

Find me on X: @Therealczekmate

Factors involving a Post Joe Biden political free-for-all:
The denial of a plea deal by Judge Maryellen Noreika, is a major setback for the Biden syndicate. Both attorneys appear to have regarded it as a walk-off homerun in the making. To paraphrase Senator Cotton of Arkansas, ‘They were not engaged in an adversarial legal process, but a conspiracy’. This rhetoric cuts to the heart of the problem in cases such as this, where the people’s interest (as represented supposedly by the judge, prosecution and eventual jury) are neglected. For a day, in a single courtroom, it would appear the people had their say, despite the Department of Justice.

So now what?

There are largely (not entirely) six controlling factors to the remainder of the Biden Presidency and its viability. These are factors that are visible enough to any observer with a discerning eye and an internet connection to determine a leftwing succession in the White House. The assumption is that Vice President Kamala Harris has a limited appeal and is a low possibility of enduring any contest among a Democratic field.

The following factors also stipulate that the Democratic party is a plutocracy of insiders. They are: Joe Biden’s health, his legitimacy, the FBI & DOJ corruption issue, Congressional
will to act, the Ukraine war, and the China/Taiwan issue.

Again, there are not the entire corpus of concerns. They are the standout issues likeliest to catch the public’s eye:

His Health – Joe Biden was never particularly intelligent. He has a lasting reputation for being casual with facts. In his retail political career, he’s had the advantage of living in a small electorate (Delaware) and he is exceptionally personable. Combined with an incumbency that permitted the accumulation of vast amounts of special interest money and favors, he secured and retained a safe political perch. His clear medical degeneration before the world is clearly not contrivance. However, that would not stop him and those surrounding him from using his condition to conduct damage control. In the right circumstances they can be counted on to endeavor to use his infirmity to advance their agenda and/or avarice.

The proliferation of alternative sources of news has permitted public awareness of his difficulties. Until recently, the lockstep legacy press has glossed over much of this as an issue. In the past two months, NPR and NBC have both published stories involving polling that raises alarm over concerns by the public over the state of his health. Theses polls are clear propaganda as they tout a jaundiced picture of Biden’s popularity visa-vis Trump, but their existence merits a little ‘reading between the lines’. The very fact that two robustly leftwing outlets would make known such concerns indicates that the very same concerns are a basis for proximate cause to curtail his tenure.

In short, it would appear that the leftwing/Democrat power-elite have arrived at the decision that a transition strategy involving a Biden departure is in order. The mental health issue is being set forth and is entirely pretextual. He had been in ill health from before his basement dwelling campaign.

His legitimacy – Joe Biden did not legitimately win the election of 2020. That is a fact that is beyond dispute. His sociopathy likely precludes him from confronting this reality, leave alone addressing it. However, one cannot help but surmise that many around him are aware of the theft of the election. It stands to reason that it must provide varying levels of uneasiness among members of his administration concerned about their own individual future. Thus, as is always the case in staff politics, various administration appointees are likely hedging their bets and keeping a sharp eye on the tide of politics.

The naked truth of Biden’s health alongside the lurid nature of his personal life, being exposed through Hunter’s serial indiscretions and his daughter’s diary, can only make for an ‘abandon ship’ mentality among the staff. This yields another inside Washington phenomena referred to as ‘defecting in place’. It is a term used in cold war era intelligence operations to describe those who’ve made a mental and a covert deliberate commitment to change sides without appearing to have changed any of their daily activities.

FBI/DOJ meltdown -The Federal Bureau of Investigation no longer has credibility among the population it ostensibly serves. It is little more than a distrusted secret-police, enforcing a Washington and New York based socio-economic order. Likewise, the Department of Justice has squandered much of its law enforcement legitimacy, through blatantly partisan prosecutions.

These professional classes are highly insular (read: “not attached to common reality”), and one should not expect these two respective agencies to correct their own conduct or police their own misdeeds. The open talk of defunding the Bureau moderated by those who’d move it outside of the Washington DC area will do little to change their high-handed behavior. However, actual budget cuts that render the organizations inert could have the career retarding effect of breaking the institutional bias away from a political protection racket.

Do not be mistaken, it would be better to enforce the law among the enforcers.

Put more directly, the senior field agents and line attorneys have yet to feel direct pain for careerist criminality. Up to this point, more junior personnel have had to swallow pride and workplace inequity without seeing more senior people swing for bad behavior. Moreover, continued and demonstrable abuse of the power of law enforcement to the favor of one political side sets cultural conditions within these organizations. The summary object lesson is that weaponizing this considerable authority to the leftwing advantage is the inexplicit coin of career progression and job security.

Joe Biden was chair of the Judiciary Committee for some time. He is owed favors, and those around him know nearly all the players. His coterie likely knows where the political bodies are buried. Having the career establishment suffer for his rank perfidy is the most expedient way to break the back of this symbiotic leftwing/law-enforcement racketeering. Preserving a Democrat/FBI-DOJ apparatus would almost certainly factor in the ambitions of those who’d seek to usurp him.

Congressional will – The performance of the congressional committees has been generally at par. Investigative congressional staff tend to have a long lead time in their formation and knowledgeability of their work scope. They are handicapped by having relatively few manpower and official resources at their disposal. These are investigative resources that are richly available to their Executive Branch counterparts. Further, good politics demands that a newly minted congress, such as the Republican congress of 2022, allow the administration time to show bad faith before assuming a blanket adversarial posture toward it.

The central question then becomes how well the congressional leadership reads the public will and drives that opinion. It is the high information voter who remains the critical node of forming and moving social opinion. Contemporary media has long sought to co-opt and control the ignorant. In view of the utter collapse of legacy media this might be mistaken that a leafier path lay ahead. Not so. The sextet giants of communication singing a largely unified tune has been replaced by a disunified chorus of belting runts in non-traditional media. To take the musical analogy a step further, these non-traditional outlets among social media, podcasting, and radio play to such unique audiences that they frequently sing over each other in excruciating disharmony.

For the congressional sloth, this makes the traditionally unified message of a party caucus more cumbersome. It must survive niche scrutiny across a range of outlets and audiences. The result can appear to be a disunity that breeds paralysis. The unity and party discipline of congressional Democrats is formidable. Correspondingly, thus, an opposition strategy that is coherent and durable in the face of the foregoing realities is essential. By any measure the misdeeds of the Biden family merit at least an impeachment inquiry. As we stand before recess without a vote on forming an inquiry of impeachment, action on the part congressional Republicans presently appears doubtful.

The Russo/Ukraine War – For all intents and purposes, the Ukraine/Russia War is lost. The resolve of the Ukrainian intelligentsia is in question as what is left of the Ukrainian army could only charitably be described as a national reserve. That in turn undermines the credibility of any peace that would follow. To all appearances, it seems that the criminal coterie surrounding Zelenskyy as well as the enforcement of the Nazi Azov Regiment is the underpinning of the decision to persist. Rumor has had that in late May overtures were made between Kiev and Moscow at a ceasefire; the rumor goes on to imply that the US and United Kingdom scuttled the effort through undescribed means.

The woes of the Biden clan may produce an opening to take the rest of their aid and sue for peace while flipping on Uncle Joe. This war is ripe for being rebranded as being that of Joe Biden’s. His family’s criminal conduct in Ukraine is marked and blatant. However, the Clinton Foundation has received exorbitant sums of money from western oriented oligarchs in the country. Likewise, FTX Crypto currency entrepreneur Sam Bankman-Fried (currently under indictment) is the second largest single donor to the Democratic Party after billionaire George Soros. His business dealings in Ukraine have yet to fully emerge in public light.

In short, Biden is conspicuous for graft with respect to Ukraine, but he isn’t alone. The war has proven a cash cow. Much Like Iraq and Afghanistan, the reconstruction will doubtless command yet more money. This should be viewed with skepticism that it is merely the going concern of the country of Ukraine as changing custody. It begins with a ceasefire. The mention of Biden not being able to close the deal in Ukraine will be window dressing. The entire Democrat Party, and segments of the Republicans, have vested interest in ensuring that outcomes in Ukraine have the same level of personal stakes as the Biden family has had.

China/Taiwan – Bluntly, Joe Biden and Hunter are bought and paid for by the Peoples Republic of China via dealings with CEFC, a known front for the PLA. These dealings include former FBI personnel such as former Director Louis Freeh and former Supervisory Special agent Charles McGonigal (under indictment on a separate matter). Which brings us back to the interconnection of the DOJ/FBI career establishment. This is a salient example of the depth of a coupling between the United States and China and should make one shudder at the thought of its potential to inflict harm to the benefit of Beijing.

In view of the information that is publicly available via bank records, the Hunter laptop, public statements by Tony Bobulinksi and testimony of the IRS whistleblowers, it is only prudent to conclude that the chief executive is a high-level compromise of the Chinese security services. This makes the government of Xi Jinping a vested player in the outcomes of our domestic politics. Indeed, lapidary arguments exist to support direct interference in the 2020 election by the Peoples Liberation Army. As the United States is the global hegemon, it further invites the conclusion that any of their plans with respect to military action in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea will consider leadership decisions and the US national mood. These considerations could be the driving factor in their internal deliberations.

From Walmart and Target to the most high-end hedge funds and investment banks, the PRC has itself buried into the American economy. Through production concerns feeding industry and technology, they have an outsized influence on American supply lines. The net result is an ability to exert commercial and economic pressure in both parties that transcends the domestic partisan spectrum. Any discussion into the removal and subsequent replacement of Joe Biden will account for the desires of Beijing and, consequently, their geopolitical aims.

Conclusion
Much of the speculation about Joe Biden from his own left considers only a few possibilities that are held among a small, closed club inside the Beltway. Robert F. Kennedy Junior is arguably the most credible liberal in the field and has all but explicitly been disinvited from party station.

Thus, the standard Washington parlor game of circumspect handicapping has begun. Luminaries such as Roger Stone insist that Michelle (don’t call him Michael) Obama is the de jour choice of the Obama faction. I believe that it is Susan Rice. Hillary is a perennial commander of moneyed interests. It is also clear that Gavin Newsom has delusions of grandeur. He would seek to Californicate the rest of America. This leads me to believe that he is in fact the PRC choice to replace Joe.

Whomever it may be, it appears that after this week, the tectonic plates in DC are shifting and Kamala Harris is simply a long-term non-starter. The wider world may dictate their share of events as well. If the PRC senses a slipping position in this horse race and steps off into late-stage operations against Taiwan, there may be so much public hysteria that a closed-door consensus gets reached before the public voice is engaged. The rest in deep state fashion would be pro forma. Likewise, the question of Israeli action on Iran juxtaposed over its judicial reform debate stands to impact and preoccupy the Jewish quarter of the Democratic Party.

In any event, I hope members of congress went home to actually work and anticipate being on a short string should things get a little sporty. Things look bad for the Biden dynasty. And a dynasty like that would be messy if it falls.

The Watchmen: Passover & Easter Edition, 9th Hour, Marburg Virus, 5783/2023

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 8, 2023 by paulthepoke

Welcome to The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world go by. Before we get started, we apologize beforehand. We experienced more difficulties than necessary to put this edition together. There may be a little bit of digital scramble and brief periods of challenges. Sorry in a advance.

That said, this broadcast is loaded with breaking news in real time on happenings in Israel, on the Temple Mount, and near the Golan Heights.

Exodus 29:38-42 Now this is what you shall offer on the altar: two one year old lambs each day, continuously. The one lamb you shall offer in the morning and the other lamb you shall offer at twilight…

Rockets and missiles were launched from southern Lebanon into Israel on Passover at approximately the ninth hour. Hamas appears to have taken responsibility.

For significance of the ninth hour and timing of the attack on Passover, click on the link below. Spoiler alert. This is the time of the evening sacrifice. This is the time Jesus would have given His last breath on the cross and died.

https://www.israelhayom.com/2023/04/06/isarelis-injured-as-massive-rocket-attack-launched-on-northern-communities/

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The United States Navy has sent a nuclear submarine, USS Florida, in the Mediterranean Sea through the Suez Canal.

“It is capable of carrying up to 154 Tomahawk land-attack cruise missiles and is deployed to US 5th Fleet to help ensure regional maritime security and stability,” Commander Timothy Hawkins.

Questions are circulating around Israel. Will the United States support Israel? Can Israel trust the Biden Administration?

https://www.arabnews.com/node/2283296/middle-east

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Isaiah 17:1 The oracle concerning Damascus. “Behold, Damascus is about to be removed from being a city and will become a fallen ruin.

Breaking news out of Israel… 3 rockets have been fired into Israel from Syria.

Ramadan, Easter, and Passover are on the same weekend. What could possibly go wrong on the Temple Mount? Muslims have locked themselves in the Al Aqsa Mosque.

“We call on Jordan, through the Waqf guards, to immediately remove from the Al-Aqsa Mosque these extremists who are planning to riot tomorrow during Muslim prayers on the Temple Mount and the Priestly Blessing at the Western Wall.”

Shootings have taken place in Jerusalem.

Easter Sunday has begun in the city of peace…

https://www.timesofisrael.com/

Psalm 122:6 Pray for the peace of Jerusalem! May they be secure who love you!

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Keep your eyes on Africa and the possible emergence of Marburg Disease. This is a deadly hemorrhagic fever with a mortality rate of up to 90%.

Marburg virus (MVD) is initially transmitted to people from fruit bats and spreads among humans through direct contact with the bodily fluids of infected people, surfaces and materials. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-11949375/CDC-says-doctors-lookout-Ebola-like-symptoms.html

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https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

The Watchmen: Israeli Drama, Russia Nukes, Middle East Diplomacy, China’s Yuan, Australian Dead Fish

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Blood Red Water/Aquatic Death, China, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 30, 2023 by paulthepoke

On this edition of The Watchmen… We are just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world go by.

Drama continues in Israel with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pausing on Judicial Reform for now.

https://www.jns.org/opinion/a-resistance-coup-just-defeated-israeli-democracy/

Ezekiel 38-39

Russia is moving nuclear weapons to Belarus.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65077687

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/26/vladimir-putin-timeline-storing-tactical-nuclear-weapons-in-belarus-is-hard-to-believe

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Ezekiel’s gang is meeting in Moscow. Russia, Turkey, and Iran have scheduled a working meeting for next week.

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2023/03/28/Moscow-to-host-Syria-Turkey-Iran-Russia-meeting-Official-sources

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As we have discussed in the past, Jordan will likely become cozy with Ezekiel’s gang and allow Russia and friends into the country to ultimately invade Israel. Are we watching the first steps of Jordan’s turn toward prophecy?

https://www.memri.org/reports/following-renewal-saudi-iranian-relations-debate-jordanian-press-over-whether-jordan-should

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Revelation 16:12 The sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river Euphrates, and its water was dried up, to prepare the way for the kings from the east.

Granted the above verse is from later in the tribulation and the bowl judgments. But, we are trending toward a date with destiny. Make way for the kings of the east. China is asserting itself big time in the Middle East! China is brokering “peace” between ancient rivals like Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Iran. China is ditching the US Dollar and utilizing their currency, the yuan.

https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202303/1287912.shtml

https://www.tbsnews.net/worldbiz/china/saudi-aramco-build-refinery-china-605898

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2023/03/27/the-brics-has-overtaken-the-g7-in-global-gdp/

Hosea 4:1-3 Hear the word of the LORD, O children of Israel, for the LORD has a case against the people of the land: “There is no truth, no loving devotion, and no knowledge of God in the land! Cursing and lying, murder and stealing, and adultery are rampant; one act of bloodshed follows another. Therefore the land mourns, and all who dwell in it will waste away with the beasts of the field and the birds of the air; even the fish of the sea disappear.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

The Watchmen: Catholic Cardinal Pell, Russia & Ukraine, Iran, Abraham Accords, Brazil

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 14, 2023 by paulthepoke

Welcome to The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world go by.

On this edition of the Watchmen…

Cardinal George Pell has been identified as the author of a document critical of Pope Francis. Was Cardinal Pell treated fairly by the Roman Catholic Church? Cardinal Pell was a central figure in a child sex abuse case. This is sensitive and messy. Do your own homework.

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/cardinal-pell-called-pope-francis-071026466.html

Ezekiel 38 characters of Magog (modern day Russia) and Persia (modern day Iran) are in focus.

Ezekiel 38:2 Son of man, set your face against Gog, of the land of Magog, the prince of Rosh…

Ezekiel 38:5a Persia…

Almost one year after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Russian ruble is stronger. Commodity and energy exports are going east to India and China instead of Europe. How is the Russian government budgeting moving forward? Is the Russian economy positioned for success into the future?

https://www.memri.org/reports/time-being-russia-looks-secure-against-financial-troubles

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What is really happening inside of Iran? Is this time different? Will change actually take place inside of Iran?

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Republican and Democratic Senators are travelling together to the Middle East. This is a bipartisan trip in support of the Abraham Accords.

The following Senators will be going to the Middle East: Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), James Lankford (R-Okla.), Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), Michael Bennet (D-Colo.), Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), and Ted Budd (R-NC).

Countries included in the visit include: Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Morocco.

Who else might they see? Will there be countries added to the Abraham Accords? Lots of chatter about the Saudis…

https://www.axios.com/2023/01/12/abraham-accords-senate-rosen-lankford-visit-israel-uae

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2 Thessalonians 2:7 For the mystery of lawlessness is already at work; only He who now restrains will do so until He is removed.

Lawlessness is a hallmark of the times leading up to the return of Jesus Christ. Lawlessness is global and increasing. Let’s take a look at Brazil and the response to recent election results.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11612419/Hundreds-Jair-Bolsonaro-supporters-STORM-Brazils-Congress-building.html

Netanyahu’s Government & Regional Energy Policy… Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on November 14, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:10-12 Thus says the Lord God: “On that day it shall come to pass that thoughts will arise in your mind, and you will make an evil plan: You (Gog) will say, “I will go up against a land of unwalled villages; I will go to a peaceful people, who dwell safely, all of them dwelling without walls, and having neither bars nor gates to take plunder and to take booty, to stretch out your hand against the waste places that are again inhabited, and against a people gathered from the nations, who have acquired livestock and goods, who dwell in the midst of the land…”

With God’s help, Bibi can walk this tightrope. But now, at least the formation of the government hurdle is past the President’s office.

Many important strategic decisions will shake out of this. Regional allies (crazy age we live in that one can type that with respect to Israel) want to see a muscular, assertive Israel that acts with dignity. These would be the Abraham Accord partners. Rumor has it that if another weak Lapid like coalition government had come out of the elections that the Saudis would have continued fence sitting. The same set of speculation to Czekmate holds that with a reliably strong leader like Netanyahu, the Saudis are disposed to negotiating a more durable peace with Israel.

What is even more fascinating is that in partnership with Israel, the Arabs are prepared to go their own way on economic redundancies.

Much of the world’s energy must cross through three maritime choke points:
– the Strait of Hormuz, where the Persian Gulf empties to the Indian ocean;
– the Strait of Bab al Mandeb, where the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean meet;
– the Suez Canal, joining the Mediterranean and Red Seas.

In the cases of Hormuz and Bab Al Mandeb, there are Iranian direct or proxy military hazards to free navigation. In Egypt, which is the custodian of the Suez Canal, there is a stirring of the Muslim Brotherhood within the country.

Among western oriented Arab elite, there is growing doubt over the attenuated strength of the US Navy and it’s enduring strategy to keep maritime sea-lanes and choke points open.

The remedy, since the Briben administration came into office, has been to work bilaterally with a strong Israel. But alas, they’ve had a downright epicene (and corrupt) specimen of a government in Jerusalem under Lapid. There was not much upon which to predicate a reliable diplomatic/economic partnership. Netanyahu’s success renews a dynamic that again invites serious, durable changes to the national economic postures of all concerned.

The credible rumor of what is ahead went on, that Saudi Arabia would be more inclined to negotiate a permanent peace with attendant economic measures. This includes, major capital investments in partnership with the UAE to build pipeline infrastructure from the Persian Gulf to the Israeli coast for onward export. This would bypass all three maritime chokepoints, diminishing the growing Iranian influence in all three places and hedge against the absence of a robust and ubiquitous US Navy upholding it’s tacit obligation to enforce freedom of navigation in those places.

Solution wise, is this a panacea? No. It presents a whole new set of problems.

Having Israeli gas online in concert with overland energy flows, you are now talking a supra-national energy output to Europe that rivals Russia. Russia and Iran have become more symbiotic than ever, especially since the Ukrainian mis-adventure. More on that at another time perhaps.

In the meantime, keeping an eye on Israeli government formation is the mission of the day.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/deri-demands-finance-ministry-smotrich-insisting-on-defense-portfolio/

Ezekiel 38:13 Sheba, Dedan, the merchants of Tarshish, and all their young lions will say to you, “Have you come to take plunder? Have you gathered your army to take booty, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to take great plunder?”

https://valortube.com/profile/czekmate/

Australia Denounces Jerusalem as Capital of Israel… Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Prophecy with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Matthew 7:20 Therefore by their fruits you will know them.

Anthony Albanese, Prime Minister, Australian Labor Party

Bad move in this hour. The Lord’s hand is in motion and I think the Labor Government in Canberra just signed it’s own job termination letter with this. Former PM Morrison’s folks had better be looking at getting the band back together. Do I write this because Yair Lapid is a wonderful and favored by God? That formulation would be simplistic and more bluntly, silly. I am not going to pronounce on Mr. Lapid’s faith (because I do not know his heart), but by Mr. Lapid’s fruit, Matthew 7:20 for the rest.

The government in Canberra, took the decision under PM Morrison to move the nation of Australia, closer to God’s design and agreement. Which means honoring the covenants God has formed. In the case of recognizing Jerusalem as the eternal capital, it was an affirmation of something plainly evident. It was making right an historical fact, that is apart from the covenantal imperative (the central issue).

Under the dispensation of grace, God will not want the people of Australia to suffer for the decision of it’s leadership especially in the urgency of this hour. Though we ARE in the dispensation of Grace, the dispensation of the law still applies in the conduct of mankind overall.

This period of history is one of an interim judgement.

To make an entire people accountable for the errant decision of it’s leadership, I cannot see the Lord permitting that for very long. The grace that the rest of us are extended (when we make a wicked or bad call) will be given to the Australian leadership. But how long it will remain extended is known strictly to Him.

Genesis 12:1-3 Now the Lord had said to Abram: “Get out of your country, from your family and from your father’s house, to a land that I will show you. I will make you a great nation; I will bless you and make your name great; and you shall be a blessing. I will bless those who bless you, and I will curse him who curses you; and in you all the families of the earth shall be blessed.”

https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-assails-australia-for-dropping-recognition-of-jerusalem-ambassador-summoned/

Israel & Lebanon, Whose Natural Gas? -Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , on October 2, 2022 by paulthepoke

Psalm 2 Why do the nations rage, and the people plot a vain thing? The kings of the earth set themselves, and the rulers take counsel together, against the Lord and against His Anointed, saying, “Let us break Their bonds in pieces and cast away Their cords from us.” He who sits in the heavens shall laugh; the Lord shall hold them in derision. Then He shall speak to them in His wrath, and distress them in His deep displeasure: “Yet I have set My King on My holy hill of Zion.”

“I will declare the decree: the Lord has said to Me, ‘You are My Son, today I have begotten You. Ask of Me, and I will give You the nations for Your inheritance, and the ends of the earth for Your possession. You shall break them with a rod of iron; You shall dash them to pieces like a potter’s vessel.’ ”

Now therefore, be wise, O kings; be instructed, you judges of the earth. Serve the Lord with fear, and rejoice with trembling. Kiss the Son, lest He be angry, and you perish in the way, when His wrath is kindled but a little. Blessed are all those who put their trust in Him.

David Schenker, an interviewee for this story, is a top chap and once upon a time acquaintance of yours truly. The demarcation of the maritime claims in the eastern Mediterranean has been a contentious issue since the discovery of natural gas under the seabed. “The Watchmen” webcast has highlighted this issue previously.

As the US Ambassador presented Michel Aoun with Special Envoy Hochstein’s proposal for finalizing the agreement on demarcation, Czekmate was caught off-guard by the disarmingly congenial (relative term) reaction of Hezbollah figurehead Hasan Nasrallah. The coalition government in Jerusalem is corrupt (also a relative term), and I cannot shake the feeling that secret side-deals have been made.

That would put Israeli leftists in the same bed as their enemies with the US pimping the consummation. It would add an additional equation to the Nord Stream problem set.

I hope I’m wrong. What was it? Who benefitted? Psalm 2.

https://jewishinsider.com/2022/09/amos-hochstein-lebanon-israel-maritime-mediterranean/

The issue is the Karish Gas Field off the coast of Israel. The only line that existed prior to the discovery of the Karish Gas Field was the red line. In November of 2019, Israel discovered natural gas. Since then, Lebanon has redrawn a yellow, green, and blue line. As of October 2022, Lebanon wants to live by the blue line and reap the benefits of the Karish Field.

In a turn of events, Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah has voiced a United States mediated agreement between Israel and Lebanon as an “important step”.

“…new and promising horizons for the people of Lebanon by rescuing the country from the crisis it has fallen into.”

“Only Lebanon will make the decision to demarcate its maritime boundaries, and it will do this according to what Lebanon sees as good for the state,” Hassan Nasrallah.

Previously, Nasrallah’s comments were about military targeting of Israeli resources if they chose to drill in the Karish.

“Israel believes that it is both possible and necessary to reach an agreement on a maritime line between Lebanon and Israel, in a manner that will serve the interests of the citizens of both countries.” -Spokesperson, Israeli Prime Minister, Yair Lapid

Amos Hochstein of the United States has been the mediator.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/lebanon-receives-written-us-proposal-for-maritime-border-deal-with-israel/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-subdued-comments-nasrallah-calls-maritime-border-deal-proposal-important-step/

More bait to set the hook…

Ezekiel 38:2-5 “Son of man, set your face against Gog, of the land of Magog, the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal, and prophesy against him, and say, ‘Thus says the Lord God: “Behold, I am against you, O Gog, the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal. I will turn you around, put hooks into your jaws, and lead you out, with all your army, horses, and horsemen, all splendidly clothed, a great company with bucklers and shields, all of them handling swords.

Watchmen: Shanghai Cooperation Org; Mahsa Amini & Iran; Russia & Ukraine; Food & Water Security; Rosh Hashanah & Trumpets

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 26, 2022 by paulthepoke

Welcome to the Watchmen. We are just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world go by. On this episode of the Watchmen…

The Shanghai Cooperation Organization met about a week ago. This is the last time Chinese President Xi Xinping was seen in public.

There are currently 8 member states that make up the organization. Iran signed a Memorandum of Obligations to become a permanent member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan wants to become a member nation. Those two additions would make for 10 nations. Interesting number…

Daniel 2:40-43 And there shall be a fourth kingdom, strong as iron, because iron breaks to pieces and shatters all things. And like iron that crushes, it shall break and crush all these. And as you saw the feet and toes, partly of potter’s clay and partly of iron, it shall be a divided kingdom, but some of the firmness of iron shall be in it, just as you saw iron mixed with the soft clay. And as the toes of the feet were partly iron and partly clay, so the kingdom shall be partly strong and partly brittle. As you saw the iron mixed with soft clay, so they will mix with one another in marriage, but they will not hold together, just as iron does not mix with clay.

https://news.yahoo.com/turkeys-erdogan-targets-joining-shanghai-144218896.html

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Ezekiel 38:5 Persia, Cush, and Put are with them, all of them with shield and helmet…

The death of Mahsa Amini in Iran has set off a nationwide protest against the Shiite controlled government. She died because she refused to wear a hijab. People have take to the streets. The Iranian government has closed off the internet for at least 6 days.

https://www.israelhayom.com/2022/09/21/will-irans-clerics-survive-the-latest-wave-of-unrest/

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Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia has thrown his hat into being a peace broker. He negotiated a deal between the Russians and Ukrainians for a prisoner exchange. In addition, 5 British nationals were released as well.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11241307/Saudis-aim-broker-peace-deal-Russia-Ukraine-securing-British-hostage-releases.html

The situation in Russia and Ukraine grows more intense every day. People are protesting the war across Russia.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11248035/zelensky-ukraine-russia-putin.html

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Lebanon continues to spiral out of control economically. People are breaking into banks to get their own money. Hyperinflation continues to rise as the Lebanese Lira is devalued.

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The food supply continues to be under assault across the planet. The largest wholesale fresh produce market in the world has caught fire in Paris. Hunger hotspots are emerging around the world. An updated list of food processing plants has been provided below.

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/global-food-crisis-worsens-hunger-hotspots-identified

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A second oil refinery plant has caught fire in the upper Midwest. This time in Toledo, Ohio.

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Lastly, Rosh Hashanah or Feast of Trumpets or Yom Teruah is a upon us. What does this mean to us? The search is on for the sliver of the new moon outside of Jerusalem.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/to-overturn-the-evil-decree/

http://whenisthenewmoon.com/

“Rest“… The word is “shamat” in the Hebrew. It is defined by Strong’s Concordance as: to release, let drop or loose or rest or fall.

The Jewish people also refer to this as “shemitah”. It literally means to release.

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

“remission of debts…” In the original Hebrew text “of debts” is not present. “of debts” was added by the translators. Shemitah is the Hebrew word for remission. Shemitah as defined by Strong’s Concordance means: cancellation of debts, letting drop of exactions, (temporary) remitting, release (from debt).

Shemitah comes from the root word shamat.

For multiple posts regarding teachings on the Shemitah, click on the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/?s=shemitah

Debt will be released on either Monday, September 26th or Tuesday, September 27th pending the sighting of the new moon. Historically, challenging economic circumstances arise.