Archive for July, 2023

Post Joe Biden Political Free-for-All: Czekmate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 29, 2023 by paulthepoke

Matthew 7:23 And then I will declare to them, “I never knew you; depart from Me, you who practice lawlessness!” -Jesus

Lawlessness: ἀνομία/anomia

Properly, without law; iniquity, disobedience, sin.

You think Joe and Hunter Biden are something. There is one coming who will be known as the “lawless one“.

Find me on X: @Therealczekmate

Factors involving a Post Joe Biden political free-for-all:
The denial of a plea deal by Judge Maryellen Noreika, is a major setback for the Biden syndicate. Both attorneys appear to have regarded it as a walk-off homerun in the making. To paraphrase Senator Cotton of Arkansas, ‘They were not engaged in an adversarial legal process, but a conspiracy’. This rhetoric cuts to the heart of the problem in cases such as this, where the people’s interest (as represented supposedly by the judge, prosecution and eventual jury) are neglected. For a day, in a single courtroom, it would appear the people had their say, despite the Department of Justice.

So now what?

There are largely (not entirely) six controlling factors to the remainder of the Biden Presidency and its viability. These are factors that are visible enough to any observer with a discerning eye and an internet connection to determine a leftwing succession in the White House. The assumption is that Vice President Kamala Harris has a limited appeal and is a low possibility of enduring any contest among a Democratic field.

The following factors also stipulate that the Democratic party is a plutocracy of insiders. They are: Joe Biden’s health, his legitimacy, the FBI & DOJ corruption issue, Congressional
will to act, the Ukraine war, and the China/Taiwan issue.

Again, there are not the entire corpus of concerns. They are the standout issues likeliest to catch the public’s eye:

His Health – Joe Biden was never particularly intelligent. He has a lasting reputation for being casual with facts. In his retail political career, he’s had the advantage of living in a small electorate (Delaware) and he is exceptionally personable. Combined with an incumbency that permitted the accumulation of vast amounts of special interest money and favors, he secured and retained a safe political perch. His clear medical degeneration before the world is clearly not contrivance. However, that would not stop him and those surrounding him from using his condition to conduct damage control. In the right circumstances they can be counted on to endeavor to use his infirmity to advance their agenda and/or avarice.

The proliferation of alternative sources of news has permitted public awareness of his difficulties. Until recently, the lockstep legacy press has glossed over much of this as an issue. In the past two months, NPR and NBC have both published stories involving polling that raises alarm over concerns by the public over the state of his health. Theses polls are clear propaganda as they tout a jaundiced picture of Biden’s popularity visa-vis Trump, but their existence merits a little ‘reading between the lines’. The very fact that two robustly leftwing outlets would make known such concerns indicates that the very same concerns are a basis for proximate cause to curtail his tenure.

In short, it would appear that the leftwing/Democrat power-elite have arrived at the decision that a transition strategy involving a Biden departure is in order. The mental health issue is being set forth and is entirely pretextual. He had been in ill health from before his basement dwelling campaign.

His legitimacy – Joe Biden did not legitimately win the election of 2020. That is a fact that is beyond dispute. His sociopathy likely precludes him from confronting this reality, leave alone addressing it. However, one cannot help but surmise that many around him are aware of the theft of the election. It stands to reason that it must provide varying levels of uneasiness among members of his administration concerned about their own individual future. Thus, as is always the case in staff politics, various administration appointees are likely hedging their bets and keeping a sharp eye on the tide of politics.

The naked truth of Biden’s health alongside the lurid nature of his personal life, being exposed through Hunter’s serial indiscretions and his daughter’s diary, can only make for an ‘abandon ship’ mentality among the staff. This yields another inside Washington phenomena referred to as ‘defecting in place’. It is a term used in cold war era intelligence operations to describe those who’ve made a mental and a covert deliberate commitment to change sides without appearing to have changed any of their daily activities.

FBI/DOJ meltdown -The Federal Bureau of Investigation no longer has credibility among the population it ostensibly serves. It is little more than a distrusted secret-police, enforcing a Washington and New York based socio-economic order. Likewise, the Department of Justice has squandered much of its law enforcement legitimacy, through blatantly partisan prosecutions.

These professional classes are highly insular (read: “not attached to common reality”), and one should not expect these two respective agencies to correct their own conduct or police their own misdeeds. The open talk of defunding the Bureau moderated by those who’d move it outside of the Washington DC area will do little to change their high-handed behavior. However, actual budget cuts that render the organizations inert could have the career retarding effect of breaking the institutional bias away from a political protection racket.

Do not be mistaken, it would be better to enforce the law among the enforcers.

Put more directly, the senior field agents and line attorneys have yet to feel direct pain for careerist criminality. Up to this point, more junior personnel have had to swallow pride and workplace inequity without seeing more senior people swing for bad behavior. Moreover, continued and demonstrable abuse of the power of law enforcement to the favor of one political side sets cultural conditions within these organizations. The summary object lesson is that weaponizing this considerable authority to the leftwing advantage is the inexplicit coin of career progression and job security.

Joe Biden was chair of the Judiciary Committee for some time. He is owed favors, and those around him know nearly all the players. His coterie likely knows where the political bodies are buried. Having the career establishment suffer for his rank perfidy is the most expedient way to break the back of this symbiotic leftwing/law-enforcement racketeering. Preserving a Democrat/FBI-DOJ apparatus would almost certainly factor in the ambitions of those who’d seek to usurp him.

Congressional will – The performance of the congressional committees has been generally at par. Investigative congressional staff tend to have a long lead time in their formation and knowledgeability of their work scope. They are handicapped by having relatively few manpower and official resources at their disposal. These are investigative resources that are richly available to their Executive Branch counterparts. Further, good politics demands that a newly minted congress, such as the Republican congress of 2022, allow the administration time to show bad faith before assuming a blanket adversarial posture toward it.

The central question then becomes how well the congressional leadership reads the public will and drives that opinion. It is the high information voter who remains the critical node of forming and moving social opinion. Contemporary media has long sought to co-opt and control the ignorant. In view of the utter collapse of legacy media this might be mistaken that a leafier path lay ahead. Not so. The sextet giants of communication singing a largely unified tune has been replaced by a disunified chorus of belting runts in non-traditional media. To take the musical analogy a step further, these non-traditional outlets among social media, podcasting, and radio play to such unique audiences that they frequently sing over each other in excruciating disharmony.

For the congressional sloth, this makes the traditionally unified message of a party caucus more cumbersome. It must survive niche scrutiny across a range of outlets and audiences. The result can appear to be a disunity that breeds paralysis. The unity and party discipline of congressional Democrats is formidable. Correspondingly, thus, an opposition strategy that is coherent and durable in the face of the foregoing realities is essential. By any measure the misdeeds of the Biden family merit at least an impeachment inquiry. As we stand before recess without a vote on forming an inquiry of impeachment, action on the part congressional Republicans presently appears doubtful.

The Russo/Ukraine War – For all intents and purposes, the Ukraine/Russia War is lost. The resolve of the Ukrainian intelligentsia is in question as what is left of the Ukrainian army could only charitably be described as a national reserve. That in turn undermines the credibility of any peace that would follow. To all appearances, it seems that the criminal coterie surrounding Zelenskyy as well as the enforcement of the Nazi Azov Regiment is the underpinning of the decision to persist. Rumor has had that in late May overtures were made between Kiev and Moscow at a ceasefire; the rumor goes on to imply that the US and United Kingdom scuttled the effort through undescribed means.

The woes of the Biden clan may produce an opening to take the rest of their aid and sue for peace while flipping on Uncle Joe. This war is ripe for being rebranded as being that of Joe Biden’s. His family’s criminal conduct in Ukraine is marked and blatant. However, the Clinton Foundation has received exorbitant sums of money from western oriented oligarchs in the country. Likewise, FTX Crypto currency entrepreneur Sam Bankman-Fried (currently under indictment) is the second largest single donor to the Democratic Party after billionaire George Soros. His business dealings in Ukraine have yet to fully emerge in public light.

In short, Biden is conspicuous for graft with respect to Ukraine, but he isn’t alone. The war has proven a cash cow. Much Like Iraq and Afghanistan, the reconstruction will doubtless command yet more money. This should be viewed with skepticism that it is merely the going concern of the country of Ukraine as changing custody. It begins with a ceasefire. The mention of Biden not being able to close the deal in Ukraine will be window dressing. The entire Democrat Party, and segments of the Republicans, have vested interest in ensuring that outcomes in Ukraine have the same level of personal stakes as the Biden family has had.

China/Taiwan – Bluntly, Joe Biden and Hunter are bought and paid for by the Peoples Republic of China via dealings with CEFC, a known front for the PLA. These dealings include former FBI personnel such as former Director Louis Freeh and former Supervisory Special agent Charles McGonigal (under indictment on a separate matter). Which brings us back to the interconnection of the DOJ/FBI career establishment. This is a salient example of the depth of a coupling between the United States and China and should make one shudder at the thought of its potential to inflict harm to the benefit of Beijing.

In view of the information that is publicly available via bank records, the Hunter laptop, public statements by Tony Bobulinksi and testimony of the IRS whistleblowers, it is only prudent to conclude that the chief executive is a high-level compromise of the Chinese security services. This makes the government of Xi Jinping a vested player in the outcomes of our domestic politics. Indeed, lapidary arguments exist to support direct interference in the 2020 election by the Peoples Liberation Army. As the United States is the global hegemon, it further invites the conclusion that any of their plans with respect to military action in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea will consider leadership decisions and the US national mood. These considerations could be the driving factor in their internal deliberations.

From Walmart and Target to the most high-end hedge funds and investment banks, the PRC has itself buried into the American economy. Through production concerns feeding industry and technology, they have an outsized influence on American supply lines. The net result is an ability to exert commercial and economic pressure in both parties that transcends the domestic partisan spectrum. Any discussion into the removal and subsequent replacement of Joe Biden will account for the desires of Beijing and, consequently, their geopolitical aims.

Conclusion
Much of the speculation about Joe Biden from his own left considers only a few possibilities that are held among a small, closed club inside the Beltway. Robert F. Kennedy Junior is arguably the most credible liberal in the field and has all but explicitly been disinvited from party station.

Thus, the standard Washington parlor game of circumspect handicapping has begun. Luminaries such as Roger Stone insist that Michelle (don’t call him Michael) Obama is the de jour choice of the Obama faction. I believe that it is Susan Rice. Hillary is a perennial commander of moneyed interests. It is also clear that Gavin Newsom has delusions of grandeur. He would seek to Californicate the rest of America. This leads me to believe that he is in fact the PRC choice to replace Joe.

Whomever it may be, it appears that after this week, the tectonic plates in DC are shifting and Kamala Harris is simply a long-term non-starter. The wider world may dictate their share of events as well. If the PRC senses a slipping position in this horse race and steps off into late-stage operations against Taiwan, there may be so much public hysteria that a closed-door consensus gets reached before the public voice is engaged. The rest in deep state fashion would be pro forma. Likewise, the question of Israeli action on Iran juxtaposed over its judicial reform debate stands to impact and preoccupy the Jewish quarter of the Democratic Party.

In any event, I hope members of congress went home to actually work and anticipate being on a short string should things get a little sporty. Things look bad for the Biden dynasty. And a dynasty like that would be messy if it falls.

Tisha B`Av/9th of Av, 5783/2023

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on July 23, 2023 by paulthepoke

Tisha B`Av or the 9th of Av…

Av is a Hebrew month. It is the 11th month of the civil calendar or the 5th month of the religious calendar. It usually occurs during July or August on the Gregorian calendar. This year, the 9th of Av is observed on sundown of Wednesday, July 27th and ends at sundown on Thursday, July 28th, 5783/2023. The month of Av is not named in the Bible.

Historically, the date has resulted in heartache for the Jewish people. Here is a list of Jewish history on the 9th of Av/Tisha B `Av.

  1. 586 BC, the first Temple was destroyed.
  2. 70 AD, the second Temple was destroyed.
  3. 135 AD, Betar fell. It was the last fortress to hold out against the Romans during the Bar Kochba revolt.
  4. 136 AD, one year after the fall of Betar, the Temple area was plowed.
  5. 1290 AD, Jews were expelled from England.
  6. 1492 AD, King Ferdinand of Spain issued the expulsion decree, setting Tisha B’Av as the final date by which not a single Jew would be allowed to walk on Spanish soil.
  7. 1914 AD, World War I began the downward slide to the Holocaust.
  8. 2005 AD, Israel turns over the Gaza Strip.

References for dates courtesy of (http://www.jewfaq.orghttp://www.chabad.org, https://templeinstitute.org/

Every time there is talk of the third temple, there is a population of believers in Jesus Christ who accurately point out that believers in Christ are the temple. There are multiple verses that support this truth. Yes, this is true. Settled.

1 Corinthians 3:16-17 Do you not know that you are God’s temple and that God’s Spirit dwells in you? If anyone destroys God’s temple, God will destroy him. For God’s temple is holy, and you are that temple.

See also 1 Corinthians 6:15-20, 2 Corinthians 6:14-18, Ephesians 2:19-22, 1 Peter 2:5.

And…

Jesus prophesied there would be a third temple. The antichrist will stand there and declare himself to be God.

Mark 13:14 “So when you see the ‘abomination of desolation,’ spoken of by Daniel the prophet, standing where it ought not” (let the reader understand), “then let those who are in Judea flee to the mountains…” -Jesus

See also Matthew 24:15-25, Luke 21:20-24.

~

Currently, there are five red heifers under observation. The sacrifice of a red heifer is coming.

And…

Also correct, there is no more need for the sacrificial system. Jesus is the sacrifice for sin once and for all.

Hebrews 9:11-14 But when Christ appeared as a high priest of the good things having come, He entered through the greater and more perfect tabernacle, not made by hands, that is, not of this creation; and not through the blood of goats and calves, but through His own blood, He entered the holy place once for all time having obtained eternal redemption. For if the blood of goats and bulls, and the ashes of a heifer sprinkling those who have been defiled, sanctify for the cleansing of the flesh, how much more will the blood of Christ, who through the eternal Spirit offered Himself without blemish to God, cleanse your conscience from dead works to serve the living God?

The third temple will be built. The Word of God, the Logos, the HaShem says.

And…

Hebrews 9:28 so Christ also, having been offered once to bear the sins of many, will appear a second time for salvation without reference to sin, to those who eagerly await Him.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

This Week in Prophecy: Red Heifer, Euphrates River, Kerch Bridge & Uranium

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Euphrates River, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on July 19, 2023 by paulthepoke

Numbers 19:1-2 Then the Lord spoke to Moses and Aaron, saying, “This is the statute of the law which the Lord has commanded, saying, ‘Speak to the sons of Israel that they bring you an unblemished red heifer in which is no defect and on which a yoke has never been placed.

Red Heifer Update: Visitors are travelling to the ancient land of Samaria, specifically Shiloh, to visit a red heifer. This is in the heart of what the world calls the “Occupied West Bank”, a future Palestine.

The heifer is 22 month’s old. Within the month, two more red heifers are coming.

“This is an exciting and exceptional event for the entire Jewish people. We are already in touch with researchers and promoters around the world who are waiting to come here with large groups. We have returned to the site of the Tabernacle in Shiloh and are bringing back the Jewish past for the future of our people.” -Ancient Shiloh CEO Coby Mamo

“The Ancient Shiloh site is continuing to grow and develop, and the Red Heifer Center will attract more visitors, up to one million a year, from Israel and around the world… good news for the Jewish world, for scientists and researchers, and for everyone.” Binyamin Regional Council Head, Israel Ganz

https://www.israel365news.com/373584/biblical-red-heifer-could-bring-million-visitors-to-samaria/

Per oral traditions as related by the Temple Institute, a heifer is at least 3 or 4 years old. So the earliest, said red heifer could be sacrificed would be 14 months from now. That roughly would give us a target of September 2024 for the earliest sacrifice. Rosh Hashanah 5785/2024 begins at sunset Wednesday, October 2nd.

Considering the rabbis at the Temple Institute will be carrying out activities related to the red heifer, here is a link to their information as it relates to the red heifer.

~

Revelation 16:12 The sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river, the Euphrates; and its water was dried up, so that the way would be prepared for the kings from the east.

The Euphrates River is a major source of water in ancient Babylon or what is modern day Iraq. In reference to the waters of the Babylonians in Jeremiah 50

Jeremiah 50:38 A drought against her waters, that they may be dried up! For it is a land of images, and they are mad over idols.

Secular press outlets across the world are noting the drying of the Euphrates Rivers. Thankfully, we have these media sources to set the record straight. The God of the Bible is not the reason the river is drying. And Divine judgment and intervention are not the reasons.

“Some people have argued that the drying up of the Euphrates River is a sign of divine punishment. This argument is based on the fact that the Euphrates River is mentioned in the Bible and the Quran as a symbol of fertility and abundance. Some people believe that the drying up of the river is a sign that God is angry with the people who live in the region. There is no evidence to support this claim. The drying up of the Euphrates River results from human activities, not divine punishment. It is important to remember that God’s anger does not cause natural disasters. They are simply the result of the natural world interacting with human activities.” Hemathi Ranasinghe, Professor of Environmental Science, Jayawardenepura University of Sri Lanka.

The professor believes the causes are climate change, regional conflict, ISIS, dams and power plants, socio-economic and environmental issues.

“The Euphrates River is also heavily polluted, due to agricultural runoff, industrial waste, and sewage. This pollution is harming the river’s ecosystem and making it unsafe for human use.” -Hemathi Ranasinghe

Religious beliefs and practices are not factors says the professor.

~

Magog’s Rough Week

There has been a “major” accident at the world’s largest Uranium enrichment plant. The plant is located in Novouralsk, Russia. The Ural Electrochemical Combine is located east of the Ural Mountains.

Workers were evacuated from the plant. However, if you live in the area, the “accident” poses no threat to your health. Radioactive leakage has been denied. We are told the factory is working normally.

“There is no danger of any kind for residents of the city of Novouralsk or the staff of the plant.” -Yuri Mineyev, Deputy Production Manager.

 “…does not pose a radiation hazard, its radioactivity is less than that of natural uranium.” -Russians

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12299099/Explosion-worlds-largest-uranium-enrichment-plant-Russia-leaves-one-person-dead.html

Another attack has occurred on the Crimean or Kerch Bridge. A section of the auto bridge has been destroyed. A Ukrainian drone attack is believed to be the cause.

It is suspected by Russia that the UK and the United States may have assisted with intelligence and possible equipment.

“We know very well how deep the coordination is between the Kyiv regime, Washington, a number of European capitals and NATO. We know perfectly well how much information comes from NATO and Washington to Kyiv on a permanent basis. Therefore, we have no illusions here.” -Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin Spokesman

And if the Brits helped, then the London Bridge is a legitimate target.

“Does this make Tower Bridge a legitimate target? For me, that’s quite it.” -Margaret Simonyan, RT

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12305599/Major-double-strike-hits-Putins-3billion-bridge-linking-Russia-illegally-annexed-Crimea.html

Russia has withdrawn from the Black Sea Grain Deal. The price of wheat spiked on the news.

“More than half of the 33 million metric tons of grain and foodstuffs that have been shipped through the initiative have gone to developing countries, including some of the most food insecure regions of the globe. There’s no possible way, just mathematically, we’re going to get as much grain out now as we were going to be able to get out through the grain deal if it had been extended.” -John Kirby, US National Security Council

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

This Week in Prophecy: BRICS Currency, Cluster Bombs, The Dutch, Sound of Freedom, Blasphemy

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Gospel, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 11, 2023 by paulthepoke

Zephaniah 1:18 Neither their silver nor their gold shall be able to deliver them on the day of the wrath of the LORD. In the fire of His jealousy, all the earth shall be consumed; for a full and sudden end He will make of all the inhabitants of the earth.

Russia has announced the BRICS countries are moving forward with a gold back currency. The big announcement is officially slated for next month, August 2023, in South Africa.

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/23/07/33155604/brics-gold-backed-common-currency-a-shock-to-global-fiat-money-system-says-economist-as-russia-confi

Jim Rickards has a $15,000 price target on an ounce of gold by 2025.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently made the flight to China. Her statement below was in China. Yellen downplays the role of a future gold backed currency. Yellen declared 90% of global transactions are in dollars and the dollar will continue to be the world’s reserve currency.

~

Cluster bombs are going to Ukraine. President Biden has announced another military package.

This time, the tally is $800 million. Weapons are escalating. The Ukrainians are running low on ammunition. And it appears the United States has a dwindling supply of arms.

~

Revelation 6:6 And I heard what sounded like a voice from among the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine.”

New leadership is coming to Holland. Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte and his government has resigned. On the surface, immigration policy is the primary consideration. The Prime Minister was also trying to confiscate about 3,000 private farms. Many think this land grab was his solution to the immigration crisis.

Keep in mind, Netherlands is the second largest food exporter in the world behind the United States. Agriculture is over a 100 billion Euro business.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12276883/Dutch-Prime-Minister-Mark-Rutte-resigns-13-years-power-government-collapses.html

Genesis 1:27 So God created man in His own image, in the image of God He created him; male and female He created them.

In other Dutch news… 22-year-old Rikkie Valerie Kolle, a biological male, was crowned Miss Nederland. Rikkie will move on to compete in the Miss Universe pageant.

https://www.tmz.com/2023/07/09/miss-universe-netherlands-winner-transgender-woman/

~

Revelation 18:13b-14 …cinnamon, spice, incense, myrrh, frankincense, wine, oil, fine flour, wheat, cattle and sheep, horses and chariots, and slaves, that is, human souls.

And they will say: “The fruit of your soul’s desire (lust) has departed from you; all your luxury (lipos in the Greek or “fat”) and splendor have vanished, never to be seen again.”

The context above is mystery Babylon faces judgment. The time frame is late in the seven year tribulation.

The main stream media is having a fit over the movie, Sound of Freedom. After all this movie was more popular than the latest installment of Indiana Jones…

Film Synopsis:

Sound of Freedom, based on the incredible true story, shines a light on even the darkest of places. After rescuing a young boy from ruthless child traffickers, a federal agent learns the boy’s sister is still captive and decides to embark on a dangerous mission to save her. With time running out, he quits his job and journeys deep into the Colombian jungle, putting his life on the line to free her from a fate worse than death.

“God’s Children Are Not For Sale”

https://www.angel.com/press/sound-of-freedom

The press has received their marching orders and organized their message. They choose to enable evil.

~

2 Timothy 4:3 For the time is coming when people will not endure sound teaching, but having itching ears they will accumulate for themselves teachers to suit their own passions…

Idolatry, Blasphemy… The Sparkle Creed

I shutter to give this any attention. However, this is where we are in time prior to His coming. For those who think…

2 Peter 3:4 …and saying, “Where is the promise of His coming? For ever since the fathers fell asleep, all continues just as it was from the beginning of creation.”

Judgment is coming…

https://paulthepoke.com/category/gospel/

#JesusIsComing

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Unemployment & Brace For Impact, Recession! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Culture, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 8, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 6:6-11 Go to the ant, O sluggard; consider her ways, and be wise. Without having any chief, officer, or ruler, she prepares her bread in summer and gathers her food in harvest. How long will you lie there, O sluggard? When will you arise from your sleep? A little sleep, a little slumber, a little folding of the hands to rest, and poverty will come upon you like a robber, and want like an armed man.

What is the REAL Unemployment 3.7% or closer to 25%?

I am confused. The official Unemployment Rate is 3.7%. That means that 96.3% are working! The Economy should be robust! Yet, we see problems in the Economy, there is talk of heading into a Recession. However, Official Unemployment is only 3.7%; low unemployment is associated with a very good economy.

The population is 335M, 167M working leaves 168M unaccounted for. The 99.8M are working age, not in the workforce. There are still 68 million for under 18 and over 65. The calculations are by no means implied to be deadly accurate; more scratch pad math to account for what appears to be a huge discrepancy.

It would be very interesting for a study to determine how many jobs are full time and how many are working multiple jobs that may be counted more than once. I suspect that working even 1 hour a month might qualify as employed. The true situation may be worse.

The Federal Reserve Electronic Data System has so much information. A much better study would be very eye-opening! It would be very interesting to determine how many jobs are full-time and how many people are working multiple jobs that might be counted more than once!

Manufacturing has also declined for over 2 years and is now negative, negative 4.24% and yet we have only 3.7% unemployment. How is that even possible. With 3.7% unemployment, we should be in a robust economy, but we are not!

Bankruptcies are going up to levels last associated with the 2020 COVID Recession and the GFC Recession.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Brace for Impact! Hard Landing says Federal Reserve!

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Brace for Impact! Looks like we are going to have a Hard Landing. Even the Federal Reserve’s own Economists are out with a report.

Those companies that are over-leveraged, firms in distress are likely to have an effect on Investment, Employment, and aggregate activity. Those firms that have been surviving on borrowed money have had their cost of Capital in the way of higher interest rates doubled, maybe tripled. This is going to put a lot of them out of business.

Are we following in the steps of Paul Volcker in the 1970’s? Jerome Powell thinks Volcker is a hero!

A Recipe for a hard Landing is Historic Tightening, the lag effects are 9-15 months, and we are just feeling them now.

We have Sticky Inflation. A good recession will kill inflation.

We have Banks in trouble, and they are tightening underwriting. Banks are losing reserves, losing deposits. Money supply is decreasing.

Manufacturing has entered a level of recession at 46.2. There is a severe drop in the need for goods.

The 10/2 year yield curve is inverted around 100 basis points or 1%.

Pending home sales are dropping. Prices will eventually decline.

Be aware of distressed metropolitans across the United States. Recovery may take up to five years. Crime is a result of the vacuum left by diminished occupancy of central cities and bad governance. As the Economy worsens, expect increased crime and social unrest. We can also add expect increased taxes as municipalities lose vital revenue.

Consumer credit card debt is exploding.

Michael’s comments on the hotel, Airbnb crisis:

In these cycle completions, all of the excesses are removed. Over-leveraged, over-optimistic, and under-capitalized Speculators usually realize losses. The larger the excess, the larger the losses. I am assuming the short-term rental owners will have a reality check soon, No one knows for sure, but the number floating around here in Scottsdale is 4200 units. The demand for them has fallen significantly, but the cost of ownership remains. When the Hotels start to reduce rates, the end is near for the novice. Not only is the market going against them, but many municipalities are stepping in with regulations. Neighbors hate the party house next door!

Independence Day, July 4th, 2023

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Culture, Freedom in Christ, Jubilee, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 4, 2023 by paulthepoke

Leviticus 25:10 And you shall consecrate the fiftieth year, and proclaim liberty throughout the land to all its inhabitants. It shall be a jubilee for you, when each of you shall return to his property and each of you shall return to his clan.

Our foundation as a country in the United States draws its concept of freedom and liberty from Leviticus 25:10. The verse is written on the Liberty Bell in Philadelphia. Abolitionists during the Civil War turned to the Liberty Bell and the verse from Leviticus 25 as a reason to end slavery. Cultures and societies can change when people take God’s word to heart and decide to follow His statutes.

The State House bell became a herald of liberty in the 19th century. “Proclaim Liberty Throughout All the Land Unto All the Inhabitants thereof,” the bell’s inscription, provided a rallying cry for abolitionists wishing to end slavery. The Anti-Slavery Record, an abolitionist publication, first referred to the bell as the Liberty Bell in 1835, but that name was not widely adopted until years later. Millions of Americans became familiar with the bell in popular culture through George Lippard’s 1847 fictional story “Ring, Grandfather, Ring”, when the bell came to symbolize pride in a new nation. Beginning in the late 1800s, the Liberty Bell traveled across the country for display at expositions and fairs, stopping in towns small and large along the way. For a nation recovering from wounds of the Civil War, the bell served to remind Americans of a time when they fought together for independence. Movements from Women’s Suffrage to Civil Rights embraced the Liberty Bell for both protest and celebration. Pennsylvania suffragists commissioned a replica of the Liberty Bell. Their “Justice Bell” traveled across Pennsylvania in 1915 to encourage support for women’s voting rights legislation. It then sat chained in silence until the passage of the 19th Amendment in 1920. Now a worldwide symbol, the bell’s message of liberty remains just as relevant and powerful today: “Proclaim Liberty Throughout All the Land Unto All the Inhabitants thereof”

https://www.nps.gov/inde/learn/historyculture/stories-libertybell.htm

Can you believe it? The ideas of freedom and liberty come from the Old Testament Mosaic Law!

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This passage and context in Leviticus 25 are loaded with prophetic implications regarding Christ’s first and second coming. Click on the link below if interested in the prophecy related to the concept of Jubilee.

https://paulthepoke.com/category/jubilee/

Isaiah 61:1-2 The Spirit of the Lord GOD is upon Me, because the LORD has anointed Me to bring good news to the poor; He has sent Me to bind up the brokenhearted, to proclaim liberty to the captives, and the opening of the prison to those who are bound; to proclaim the year of the LORD’s favor, and the day of vengeance of our God; to comfort all who mourn…

The concepts of freedom and liberty are captured by the prophet Isaiah as it is reflected in the Mosaic Law and the Jubilee. All three persons of the Trinity are involved in this communication. The “Me” is the Son. The Spirit is upon Him (the Son). The Father is represented by the title Lord GOD or Adonai Yahweh in the original Hebrew.

Jesus read and spoke these words in the synagogue of His home town Nazareth (Luke 4:16). Jesus is reading from Isaiah 61:1-2a. He reads verse 1 completely.

Jesus then stops reading in the middle of Isaiah 61:2. By reading these words, He was claiming to be the Messiah. In other words, “Here I am!!” Jesus is also arguably proclaiming a Jubilee year. This has significant prophetic implications in regards to the timing of His second coming.

Take a look at Isaiah 61:2. To proclaim the favorable year of the LORD (Jesus stops here.) and the day of vengeance of our God; to comfort all who mourn…

The stoppage of reading in the verse has lasted close to 2,000 years. At His first coming, Jesus was a suffering servant who died for our sins. His sacrificial death on the cross freed humanity from the bondage of sin.

Christ did not come in vengeance and judgment the first time, hence the pause. And we wait for the remainder of Isaiah 61:2b-11. It describes the future conditions of the nation Israel under the leadership of the Messiah, Jesus.

Jesus returns the second time in wrath and judgment to set the stage for an everlasting peace…

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

This Week in Prophecy: Lawlessness; Magog’s Mess; Taiwan

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 2, 2023 by paulthepoke

Matthew 24:12 Because lawlessness is increased, most people’s love will grow cold.

France: Day 5 of the riots and counting. France is on fire. 719 and counting have been arrested across France.

This has been the response to the death of Nahel Merzouk, a 17 year old of Algerian descent. He was shot by the police during a traffic stop. The incident occurred in the Parisian suburb of Nanterre. Nahel played rugby and enjoyed the rapper Jul.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12255699/Rioters-ram-French-mayors-home-burning-car-assassination-attempt-injures-family.html

Matthew 13:40-42 So just as the tares are gathered up and burned with fire, so shall it be at the end of the age. The Son of Man will send forth His angels, and they will gather out of His kingdom all stumbling blocks, and those who commit lawlessness, and will throw them into the furnace of fire; in that place there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth.

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Magog and friends… Ezekiel 38:6b …from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

One week later, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko is talking out of both sides of his mouth.

“As we move along, we become more and more convinced that they (the weapons) must be stationed here, in Belarus, in a reliable place. I am certain that we will never have to use them while they are here. And no enemy will ever set foot on our land.” -President Alexander Lukashenko

Previously, Lukashenko indicated he would be willing to use nuclear weapons.

One thing is clear, Belarus does possess nuclear weapons and they are going to be receiving more from Russia by the end of 2023.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/belarus-leader-says-nuclear-arms-will-not-be-used-2023-06-30/

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https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

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