Archive for the Michael Douville Category

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Michael Douville’s 2022 Economic Preview

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on January 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Ecclesiastes 7:19 Wisdom makes the wise man stronger than ten rulers in a city.

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

We have been talking about Inflation and Retirement for a couple of years and it’s here now! Inflation is here. It will cause Economic and Social Turmoil; watch Turkey!

If you are retired this is a crisis for you. If you do not think Inflation can happen here, think again! How is Inflation going to affect you! November Durable Goods, a component of the CPI went up 14.9%. You are going to get run over!!!!!

You need an investment that changes with the Economy and can increase the revenue with Inflation. Single Family Rentals are one of the best Inflation Hedges we can buy! In 1975, the last time the Durable goods were that high, it ushered in 6 years of double-digit Home Prices. It was not just Houses; EVERYTHING went up!

What is going to happen if the dollar goes down in strength? Look at what is happening in Turkey with a devalued currency. The Lira continues to crash. EVERYTHING goes up!

Click on the link below for the first of two videos by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

What are housing prices going to do in 2022? Michael says prices will continue to go higher, much higher! There is a national housing shortage. Builders cannot keep up. Michael discusses factors why prices will continue to move to the upside. Economic graphs and data are provided.

Michael reviews where we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle. The explosive phase of prices is approaching.

Dr. Charles Nenner provides economic charts and analysis for real estate.

Click on the second of two videos below by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Dr. Charles Nenner, Out of Stocks, December 2021

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 30, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Dr. Charles Nenner is considered one of the Top Cycle researchers in the World. A former Goldman Sachs researcher, he is often interviewed on CNBC, Bloomberg, and MarketWatch.

If Dr. Nenner is talking, you should listen. Well… Michael Douville recently sat down with Dr. Charles Nenner to get his thoughts on the markets.

This is an in depth interview with Charles Nenner discussing Charles Nenner’s proprietary charts of the Dow, S&P, FANGS, and the Retail Chart.

Charles Nenner is out of the Stock Market, but other asset classes offer opportunity.

In addition, Dr. Nenner discusses the Bond Market with a forecast for declining interest rates.

The Gold market is soon poised for a multi-year upward trend; the Gold market has not yet bottomed, but is getting closer. Dividends from Gold mining stocks supplement income streams while waiting for the uptrend to begin.

Toll Brothers as a proxy for Real Estate is still in an uptrend until 2023.

Click on the video below for in depth market analysis.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Nenner says market volatility is coming. So… don’t listen to the media. The media is conflicted.

“Why” is the wrong question. “Why” has already happened.

“When” and “What” are more important. They tell you what is coming.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Inflation Pressure and Demographic Pressure!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on November 16, 2021 by paulthepoke

INFLATION!!!

Here is the latest from Michael Douville. Michael is call for home prices to continue to increase across the country per his cyclical timing model. The 18 Year Real Estate Cycle is reviewed. Michael points out where we are in the model. How much longer will prices continue to rise?

The mainstream press reports of “transitory” inflation. Or are we witnessing a full blown inflation cycle. Michael thinks inflation is here to stay for awhile. But for how long?

Inflation is occurring around the globe. Producers like China and Japan have inflation that is greater than our consuming inflation here in the United States. What does this mean for future prices here in the United States?

Inflation is showing no signs of slowing. Inflation is broad based across all sectors of the economy. We are currently on track for the highest inflation in 50 years dating back to the 1970’s. The majority of the population has never experienced this level of inflation.

What role does Demographics play in this scenario? Millennials (born from 1982-2000) are moving out of their parent’s basements. This is the largest segment of the United States population.

Millennials are starting to rent apartments and houses. Rent continues to increase year over year.

Millennials are getting married and families are developing. They will need to buy goods. And they will need to buy houses.

Home inventories across the country are the lowest in decades. There is a shortage of homes to buy. Building and construction pressures are mounting. Lenders are beginning to relax borrowing standards.

Click on the video below to get the details from Michael.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. John the Revelator promises that hyperinflation is coming at some point prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Hyperinflation is on the scene prior to the onset of the Great Tribulation. Are we watching the dominoes being put into place??? Are we witnessing the seeds of hyperinflation? Be on guard and watch!

We are living in interesting times as the Chinese would say…

michael@michaeldouville.com

China’s Evergrande & Inflation Continues… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , on September 30, 2021 by paulthepoke

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

China has 65 million vacant housing units. Will this affect us? How will this affect the global economy?

Check out Michael’s comments on the situation in China and their faltering real estate company, Evergrande. They have missed debt payments for two weeks now. China state backed firms are being asked to buy Evergrande assets. This company is five times the size of Lehman Brothers. Remember 2008???

China is also having significant issues with their power grid. Coal is in short supply. Factories are shutting down across the country.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Inflation is driving the price of housing higher. The Phoenix housing market is up 33% in the last year alone. Prices around the United States are increasing as well. Michael says prices will go higher. How high will prices go?

The government continues to pump more money into the market. The government promises to pump even more money in the market! Commodity prices continue to go up. The end result is more inflation and prices go higher across the board.

Have a plan! Talk to your financial adviser!

To be involved, to ask any questions, for us to help acquire a few rentals for you in Phoenix: 

michael@michaeldouville.com

Economic Report for Q2, Economy Slowing, Inflation Rising… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , on July 6, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Our go to guy for all things economic, Michael Douville has two reports in this update. First, Douville recaps economic growth for the second quarter of the year. Second, Michael offers his thoughts on economic growth for the second half of the year and discusses the likelihood of continued inflation.

Better than Goldman Sach’s Forecast! The Economy is Exploding and with it comes Demand!! Watch for RISING PRICES across all asset classes except Bonds!

The G7 got together to spend money they don’t have; they are going to monetize the debt through inflation.

Manufacturing is doing very well, Industrials are doing very well, IT is doing very well, Construction is doing very well, and Real Estate is doing incredibly well.

Money Supply is at a Historic level; a Money Supply spike of $Trillion and Trillions of dollars looking for a place to get a return on investment! The Money Supply is getting used and and there is the beginning of Monetary Inflation. Money supply is being used as shown by a GDP that should print over 10% which will cause money to be used and Inflation begin.

Global Inflation! It is Global in Nature! You need to protect your purchasing power and a single family home is the greatest Inflation Hedge the average person can have! In the great markets of Florida, Texas, and Arizona are great places to invest. In Arizona, home prices are going up 3% a month. Transactions should start to slow; just a return to Normal! However, prices do appear to continue rising. Go buy a house, help your kids, your grandkids, and if you are a Baby Boomer, go buy just 2 rentals and it will change your life.

Click below for Michael’s Q2 Review

http://www.michaeldouville.com

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It looks like the Economy is starting to slowdown just a bit. It has been on a Historic, unsustainable tear for months. The pace is unsustainable.

The ISM and Markit Indexes are dropping to a more normal level. The 2nd Quarter will not reach double digit, but 8.5 to 8.5% GDP is incredible and it is slowing to NORMAL.

There is still a backlog of business orders which means Manufacturing, Industrials, IT, Finance, Constructions and Real Estate is doing incredibly well; just slowing to Normal.

However, Inflation appears to be continuing it’s acceleration. It may be: “Transitory Hyper-Inflation”. Maybe for a 4 year period.

You must own Real Estate to protect your purchasing power and to participate in the rise of real assets.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Inflation Cycle!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy with tags , , , , , , on June 17, 2021 by paulthepoke

Inflation Fears! G7 Meeting to Inflate the GLOBE! Modern Monetary Theory of just Printing Money!

Photo: Reuters/Patrick Semansky

What is the G7? The seven members (UK, USA, Canada, Japan, Germany, France and Italy, plus the EU) are all bound by shared values as open, democratic and outward-looking societies. 

In past years the G7 has taken action to strengthen the global economy and combat tax evasion, save 27 million lives from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, and supported the education of millions of children in the poorest countries. In 2015 its members led the way in helping secure the historic Paris Climate Agreement to limit global emissions. 

We are in unprecedented times. On 11-13 June 2021, the Prime Minister used the first in-person G7 Summit in almost two years to ask leaders to seize the opportunity to fight and build back better from coronavirus, uniting to make the future fairer, greener and more prosperous.

https://www.g7uk.org/what-is-the-g7/

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Did the leaders just decide to cause Global Inflation at the G7 Meeting? Are they ready to try to just print, print, print to spend, spend, spend using the Modern Monetary Theory?

At the G7, there was talk of Globally raising taxes. It is time to learn to shelter Income. If you do not have “Real Assets”, you may be in Real Trouble! Will all of the Global Currency be devalued by 10%, 20%, 50%, a 100%??? That is how the Debt can be controlled.

If you just owned 2 rentals, the investment could help maintain your Wealth and maintain your Purchasing Power. Real Estate is a great, great Inflation Hedge; probably the best the average person can have. Easy to buy, easy to finance.

A couple rentals bought now, may be one of the best investments of your life.

To be involved, to ask any questions, for us to help acquire a few rentals for you in Phoenix: michael@michaeldouville.com

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Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat.

The question needs to be asked again. Did the leaders just decide to cause Global Inflation at the G7 Meeting?

Are we there yet?

We know how we get to the beginning of the tribulation: a peace maker, war, hyperinflation, starvation. We are trending and living in inflationary times…

State of the Economy, June 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on June 5, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

The Economy, Inflation and Real Estate Investing. In this video Michael looks at the state of the economy, the rebound and where things are heading. He analyzes the importance of holding real estate as a hedge against inflation.

Michael reviews first quarter growth in the economy. Growth was revised to 6.4%. Michael is calling for possible double digit growth in the second quarter of 2021.

Quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations on Wall Street.

Consumer confidence is high. There are shortages in all areas of the economy for durable goods and supplies. Computer chips are in short supply. Automobile manufacturing has been affected. Demand is up!

Inflation continues. Michael says this is not transitory. He is looking for an inflation cycle and this is not ending any time soon. Michael reviews commodity charts and provides analysis across the commodity complex. Protect your purchasing power.

Real estate prices are going up. Will this be the greatest historical bull market in housing? Michael expects prices to over shoot to the upside.

All of this and more in the video below. Wall street caliber economic information and analysis.

Michael’s Website: https://michaeldouville.com

Michael talks about his recent book which was written to guide the beginner investor.

Buy Michael’s Books Here: Amazon Links:

https://amzn.to/3ia7AYL Real Estate Investing for Beginners Creating Generational Wealth

https://amzn.to/3ySXtNR How To Create A Real Estate Money Machine and Retire With Income

Don’t forget to subscribe for more content: If you are new to this channel, Welcome. This channel is about real estate investing and how to do it successfully. By subscribing you will be getting the most current market information which will help you make the best decisions for you.

Inflation In the Headlines! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , on May 17, 2021 by paulthepoke

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat. We should pay attention. And inflation is in the headlines. We are trending and living in inflationary times.

Wall Street Banks like Goldman Sachs are calling for inflation.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-warns-substantial-surge-home-prices-expects-bigger-housing-bubble-2007

marketing businessman person hands
Photo by Anna Nekrashevich on Pexels.com

Inflation in Commodities has risen 73%, Lumber futures have risen 400%, Steel has risen 216%. However, homes have risen 11.2%… prices could go much, much higher.

Do not be priced out of the market. Particularly for Baby Boomers: protect your purchasing power! Protect yourself against inflation! Go buy a House right now!!!

Don’t forget about the cost of food. Soft commodity prices are on the rise as well. Prices at the wholesale level are taking up and off.

Are we on the verge of an inflation cycle??? We are living in the times of a historic money supply. The velocity of money is increasing. Money has to go some where in the economy. Governments around the planet are printing money as well.

Michael reviews the real estate cycle. Where are we in the cycle? Check out Michael’s financial update below.

Economy Is Booming!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , on April 27, 2021 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 9:9 Instruct a wise man, and he will be wiser still; teach a righteous man, and he will increase his learning.

Proverbs 14:6 A scoffer seeks wisdom and finds none, but knowledge is easy for one who has understanding.

Check out the latest update provided by Michael Douville, our go to guy on all things economic.

The 1st and 2nd Quarters of 2021 are proving the forecast is correct. Manufacturing, the Industrials, the Service Sector, and Housing are TERRIFIC.

Wallpaper Access

In this video, Michael provides numbers and analysis on the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data. Manufacturing is exploding. There is a shortage of supplies, materials, and products. Will we have 6-10% growth in the 2nd Quarter of 2021?

IHS Markit data on United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is reviewed with charts provided.

Michael also assesses Real Estate home sales across the United States. He reviews where we are in the 18 Year Real Estate Cycle. Be a full cycle investor and pay attention to the times and where we are in the cycle.

Click on the YouTube link below for Michael’s latest update.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise person will hear and increase in learning, And a person of understanding will acquire wise counsel…

Check out Michael Douville’s latest book. Now available on Amazon.

Real Estate Investing For Beginners Creating Generational Wealth

Click on the Amazon link below for details.

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