Revelation 1:7 Behold, He is coming with the clouds, and every eye will see Him, even those who pierced Him, and all tribes of the earth will wail on account of Him. Even so. Amen.
2 years ago, Charles Nenner, Paul Lehr, and I spent almost three hours together discussing the current issues and how cycle forecasting and Biblical Prophecy were aligning.
Charles was forecasting escalating conflicts across the Globe, a deep recession, a steep correction in the equity Markets, and a Cycle Completion for the Real Estate Asset class.
We discuss Charles’ long term forecast and touch upon Martin Armstrong’s analysis leading to the same conclusion using different Methodology.
2 years ago, we discussed the coming Inflation, how Gold and Silver would skyrocket, and how Israel would be threatened and help reshape the Middle East.
Paul Lehr and I continue the discussion centering on the Middle East and Israel; how the Biblical Prophecy is active as Gaza, Lebanon, the Golan Heights and Syria, plus how Russia is involved.
We also discuss Biblical Prophecy regarding Inflation, Wages, the “K-Shaped” Economy and how the Real Estate Cycle is unfolding.
Storing Food and Water maybe more important than hoarding Gold and Silver.
I spoke to Charles Nenner a few days ago and we discussed his War Cycle and The Economy.
Two years ago, Paul Lehr, Charles Nenner, and I spoke privately after Christmas 2022 for 3 hours discussing what was coming and Charles’ Cycles and Biblical Prophecy. Much of what we spoke about is coming to fruition. We only released about 20 minutes of it; it is available on my channel titled “Take Heed” (see link below after Bible verses).
The discussion includes War, Inflation, A Faltering Economy. You are welcome to comment.
References for Bible verses discussed include:
Revelation 6:4 And out came another horse, bright red. Its rider was permitted to take peace from the earth, so that people should slay one another, and he was given a great sword.
Revelation 6:6 And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”
Revelation 6:8 And I looked, and behold, a pale horse! And its rider’s name was Death, and Hades followed him. And they were given authority over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword and with famine and with pestilence and by wild beasts of the earth.
Revelation 9:16 Now the number of the army of the horsemen was two hundred million; I heard the number of them.
Revelation 16:12 The sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river Euphrates, and its water was dried up, to prepare the way for the kings from the east.
Isaiah 49:12 Surely these shall come from afar; Look! Those from the north and the west, and these from the land of Sinim. Believed to be China.
Isaiah 24 Global geographic, tectonic upheaval
Micah 1:4 The mountains will melt under Him and the valleys will be split, like wax before the fire, like water poured down a steep place.
Matthew 24:6 You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. These things must happen, but the end is still to come. -Jesus
Ecclesiastes 3:1-8 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven: a time to be born, and a time to die; a time to plant, and a time to pluck up what is planted; a time to kill, and a time to heal; a time to break down, and a time to build up; a time to weep, and a time to laugh; a time to mourn, and a time to dance; a time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together; a time to embrace, and a time to refrain from embracing; a time to seek, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to cast away; a time to tear, and a time to sew; a time to keep silence, and a time to speak; a time to love, and a time to hate; a time for war, and a time for peace.
Cycles, cycles, cycles…
I have spoken to Charles Nenner for over 15 years. Charles Nenner’s Research has been deadly accurate. This is the most important Interview we have ever done.
We are discussing the War Cycle which Charles says is heading straight up. Conflicts are possible with Iran and Russia, but China and North Korea are a greater threat. The next four to six weeks are critical.
As Nenner sees it, the United States has no idea what they are doing. The US does not understand how the world works. The average American has no idea what is coming.
Recession is coming if it is not here already. We are likely in a recession now. Nenner is calling for a multi year recession.
The dollar appears to be vulnerable. Inflation looks to make a rebound. Stocks and bonds are in a precarious position. Next year, 2025, appears to be a pivotal year.
The emergence of BRICS will be an issue.
These times are the most perilous since the Cuban Missile Crisis! Challenging economic and geo political times are coming.
I highly recommend taking the FREE 30-Day offer from Charles Nenner Research…(no credit card necessary). #lossmitigation
DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind. Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’ Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel.
Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.
Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.
John Rubino’s newsletter can be accessed at rubino.substack.com. John is an American thought leader, former Wall Street Analyst, and author of 5 investment books.
If you like the video, like and subscribe!
The Retirement of “The Baby Boomers” guarantees increasing Debt! Fiat currency nations are on Fire. Inflation is a form of default. A shift from Financial Assets to Real Assets is probably underway.
The content of this video is amazing… Thank you John.
Banks, Insurance Companies, Pension Funds, REITs, CDO’s are at huge RISK…it will spill over into Housing.
The World is About to change! Pension Funds may not be able to honor their obligations, same with Insurance Companies and Healthcare.
Take a look at gold, silver, copper, and uranium! Buy physical commodities!
DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only.
Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel.
Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind.
Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’
Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel. Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites.
All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.
Ecclesiastes 8:6 For there is a right time and procedure to every purpose, though a man’s misery weighs heavily upon him.
Here are a couple of economic videos and updates from Michael Douville.
My Timing model is a Real Estate Cycle Timing model. These cycles repeat over and over again on a fairly regular basis. This will be my 3rd or 4th cycle.
The main reason why Asset Bubbles are created is Excess Liquidity and, in this Cycle, there has been a massive amount of Excess Liquidity, or Economic Fuel, that is going to be resolved back to the “Mean”, probably a credit event of epic proportions.
Those that buy too late in the Cycle risk taking major losses as the Historic Bubble deflates.
For all segments of Real Estate. Most are focusing on Housing, which is also set to complete, but evidence that the Cycle is completing is centered in the Commercial Real Estate space.
I am encouraging Investors in Endangered Cities to move their investments to better markets via an IRC 1031 Tax deferred exchange. This is very inexpensive and does not trigger a tax implication. Schedule an appointment to review your situation. Let’s get ready to invest when the time is right. Contact me to schedule an appointment.
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Banks, Pension Funds, and Insurance Companies are Doomed!
Most are focusing on Housing which is also set to complete, but the Collapse is most evident in Commercial Real Estate. The Real Estate Cycle is completing, and it is centered in the Commercial Real Estate space. Currently in the Office Market, but very well could migrate to multi-family.
When the devastation has passed, those that have their Capital, have their Credit, and have their Income Streams will make a generational FORTUNE!
My Model is forecasting tougher times to come that could last 24-20 months.
DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind.
Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’
Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel.
Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites.
All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.
Classes for Investing are being scheduled in Phoenix, AZ.
Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.
Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.
What is about to break? Something scared the Fed. The Pivot is coming from the Federal Reserve. They only do this when something scares them. I am hearing things overseas. Europe is a basket case, Japan is in trouble, and China is in trouble too. That is going to come here. We are still seeing manufacturing slowing, it’s getting better. The Federal Reserve put $60 Billion in the Economy, and it pumped up the Stock market, the Bond Market, and rates came down so Real Estate got better. Let’s get ready to invest when the time is right. Contact me to schedule an appointment.
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DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind. Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’ Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel. Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites. All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.
John 18:38 Pilate says to Him, “What is truth?” And having said this, he went out again to the Jews and says to them, “I find no guilt in Him.
Who is most concerned about YOU? Do you trust the Federal Government to take care of YOU?
What you decide and what you start to realize, is going to make a huge impact on the way you survive in the Economy in the next 18-24 months.
Now, the Government and Wall Street would like you to believe we are heading toward a soft landing; that continues to be the narrative. Now, there are lots of advantages for Wall Street and the Administration. The Administration does not want to be blamed for a bad economy and bringing a Recession to our doorsteps.
What you decide is going to make a huge difference for YOU!
There has been a soft landing ONE time in history. That was in the 1990’s.
We are currently experiencing historic interest rate hikes. Pay off your credit card debt immediately. Raise cash if you can.
Wall Street gets paid on your money, assets under management (AUM).
Michael Douville sees a hard landing coming. Bankruptcies are increasing. Stores are closing around the country. Shipping box production is declining rapidly. Manufacturing jobs are in contraction.
Interest on government debt is heading towards $1,000,000,000,000 (trillion) per year.
The definition is the problem; what constitutes “Unemployed”? There are about 35.5 million working aged people who are not in the workforce. They are not counted in the 3.5% unemployment figures. What are these people doing? They are not working, and not disabled, not stay at home parents; what are they doing? If they would like to work, yet cannot find a job, then the unemployment rate is waaaay more than 3.5%. Further, how can there be a robust economy with that number of people idle.
Jobs Report: 585,000 full time jobs lost: 972,000 part-time added, and 118,000 new multi-job workers.
Liquidity (cash) is coming out of the market at a record pace. It looks like a Recession coming to me.
Germany is already officially in a Recession.
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Paul Volcker absolutely destroyed my Real Estate portfolio. He destroyed my Real Estate practice and I lost absolutely everything. I was a very young man; a product of the 1980 to 1982 double recession. When Paul Volcker stepped on the Gas and raised interest rates and literally destroyed my Business, my Real Estate practice, my holdings. I lost everything. Paul Volcker raised interest rates to the point where everybody stopped.
In Chicago, there were 60,000 Journeymen Electricians out of work, steel mills closed, Bethlehem Steel and Republic Steel, closed. Auto plants closed, retail was affected, construction was affected. It was awful. I lost virtually everything I owned…
Current Chairman Jerome Powell’s hero is Paul Volcker.
I know what can happen.
DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel.
Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind. Do your homework!
Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’
Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel.
Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites.
All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.
Proverbs 6:6-11 Go to the ant, O sluggard; consider her ways, and be wise. Without having any chief, officer, or ruler, she prepares her bread in summer and gathers her food in harvest. How long will you lie there, O sluggard? When will you arise from your sleep? A little sleep, a little slumber, a little folding of the hands to rest, and poverty will come upon you like a robber, and want like an armed man.
What is the REAL Unemployment 3.7% or closer to 25%?
I am confused. The official Unemployment Rate is 3.7%. That means that 96.3% are working! The Economy should be robust! Yet, we see problems in the Economy, there is talk of heading into a Recession. However, Official Unemployment is only 3.7%; low unemployment is associated with a very good economy.
The population is 335M, 167M working leaves 168M unaccounted for. The 99.8M are working age, not in the workforce. There are still 68 million for under 18 and over 65. The calculations are by no means implied to be deadly accurate; more scratch pad math to account for what appears to be a huge discrepancy.
It would be very interesting for a study to determine how many jobs are full time and how many are working multiple jobs that may be counted more than once. I suspect that working even 1 hour a month might qualify as employed. The true situation may be worse.
The Federal Reserve Electronic Data System has so much information. A much better study would be very eye-opening! It would be very interesting to determine how many jobs are full-time and how many people are working multiple jobs that might be counted more than once!
Manufacturing has also declined for over 2 years and is now negative, negative 4.24% and yet we have only 3.7% unemployment. How is that even possible. With 3.7% unemployment, we should be in a robust economy, but we are not!
Bankruptcies are going up to levels last associated with the 2020 COVID Recession and the GFC Recession.
Brace for Impact! Hard Landing says Federal Reserve!
1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.
Brace for Impact! Looks like we are going to have a Hard Landing. Even the Federal Reserve’s own Economists are out with a report.
Those companies that are over-leveraged, firms in distress are likely to have an effect on Investment, Employment, and aggregate activity. Those firms that have been surviving on borrowed money have had their cost of Capital in the way of higher interest rates doubled, maybe tripled. This is going to put a lot of them out of business.
Are we following in the steps of Paul Volcker in the 1970’s? Jerome Powell thinks Volcker is a hero!
A Recipe for a hard Landing is Historic Tightening, the lag effects are 9-15 months, and we are just feeling them now.
We have Sticky Inflation. A good recession will kill inflation.
We have Banks in trouble, and they are tightening underwriting. Banks are losing reserves, losing deposits. Money supply is decreasing.
Manufacturing has entered a level of recession at 46.2. There is a severe drop in the need for goods.
The 10/2 year yield curve is inverted around 100 basis points or 1%.
Pending home sales are dropping. Prices will eventually decline.
Be aware of distressed metropolitans across the United States. Recovery may take up to five years. Crime is a result of the vacuum left by diminished occupancy of central cities and bad governance. As the Economy worsens, expect increased crime and social unrest. We can also add expect increased taxes as municipalities lose vital revenue.
Consumer credit card debt is exploding.
Michael’s comments on the hotel, Airbnb crisis:
In these cycle completions, all of the excesses are removed. Over-leveraged, over-optimistic, and under-capitalized Speculators usually realize losses. The larger the excess, the larger the losses. I am assuming the short-term rental owners will have a reality check soon, No one knows for sure, but the number floating around here in Scottsdale is 4200 units. The demand for them has fallen significantly, but the cost of ownership remains. When the Hotels start to reduce rates, the end is near for the novice. Not only is the market going against them, but many municipalities are stepping in with regulations. Neighbors hate the party house next door!
Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.
Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.
Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.
You will experience this only three times in your lifetime.
A recession is coming and has likely started. The “everything bubble” is beginning to pop. Third quarter is looking like it could be rough. Get ready, it is coming quickly.
What can you do to capitalize? Talk with your financial adviser.
Cash will be king! Liquidity is coming out of the system.
Housing sales are dropping! You will have the opportunity to buy homes at discounts not available since the Great Financial Crisis where we were buying homes below cost. It will be scary, you will not want to invest, but I will tell you when the time is right and Generational Wealth will be available.
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In the meantime, the direction of the Real Estate market is Down, similar to 2006. A Recession is imminent, possible a severe recession. Will a waterfall event happen?
Commercial Real Estate looks like it is going to take a beating. Office space is empty in major metropolitans.
Those who have investments in the Endangered Cities might consider speaking to their brokers; should you decide to keep your properties, the hold will be probably at least 5 years. You will do better in Florida, Texas, or Arizona, particularly here in Phoenix.
Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.
Proverbs 22:16 Whoever oppresses the poor to increase his own wealth, or gives to the rich, will only come to poverty.
Michael Douville took the time to talk with President of Pento Portfolio Strategies, Michael Pento.
For those who are interested in a deep discussion about bonds, debt, and lending. How will this affect real estate, bonds, and stocks? Click on the YouTube video link below.
Michael Pento lays out the Risk in the Equity Market, the Bond Market, and the Real Estate Market: The “Great Triumvirate”.
Pento and Douville see trouble coming in the real estate market. Is the bubble popping?
Commercial real estate properties are increasing with vacancies in major cities across the United States.
The Federal Reserve is shrinking the money supply. Liquidity is drying up globally.
Michael Pento discusses the explosion of Debt and its relationship to the Gross Domestic Product, GDP. Debt is 263% of GDP!
Investors might limit their exposure to “High Beta” Stocks. Avoid technology stocks.
Pento likes short term government treasuries (3 years of less), gold, and utilities.
Interest rates have never been raised this quickly and this high. The yield curve is inverted.
How will the banking industry be affected? Personal Bank Accounts should be kept to under the FDIC approved $250,000 limit. A few months of Cash liquidity kept at home would be prudent.
Michael Pento outlines the Financial Risk coming. Pento sees a deep recession coming. The conversation flows swiftly with great and valuable content.
Michael Pento, President and Founder Pento Portfolio Strategies
Check out Michael Douville’s latest take on the real estate market and the economy.
Fortunes will be LOST! Fortunes will be MADE. Timing is Everything. Our timing model is showing that the Real Estate Market will be showing evidence of the slowdown by the end of the 2nd quarter or maybe early 3rd Quarter of 2023.
Prices could decline in Out-Migration States by much more than Florida, Texas, or Arizona. Could prices decline over 30%? My Timing Model forecasts that possibility.
Pending home sales are slowing and Builders are selling like crazy as they attempt to liquidate their properties. They are scared to death and will make deals.
By buying rates down and making concessions, builders are going to have trouble with their lenders.
The Real Estate market has probably peaked and the 2nd and final Peak is forming now!
A recession is coming with a likely hard landing. The recession has likely started.
Michael discusses cities at risk across America due to crime, poor management and leadership. Large, corporate businesses are leaving major metropolitans. Tax bases and revenues are decreasing in these cities.
Pensions are losing their value in Europe due to negative interest rate bonds.