Archive for the Michael Douville Category

Credit Event Coming??? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Are we entering another Credit Event? I remember Lehman Brothers and Bear Stears. These events start slow and gather speed until things start to cascade.

Germany’s Deutsche Bank is in the news. Credit Default Swaps (insurance) are soaring! Tier 1 Bonds are crashing. Did Deutsche Bank receive $60 billion in Federal Reserve Foreign Repo Agreements?

European banks hold bonds yielding less than 0%. They are losing money big time as interest rates go up.

Global liquidity and money are in short supply. Liquidity is the fuel of the economy. Bank deposits are decreasing. Things are getting more difficult to get a loan.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is focused on lowering inflation. He says interest rates are not coming down any time soon.

Michael Douville recommends reading an article, Too Small To Not Fail, A Short History of the World by Danielle DiMartino Booth. For those not familiar, Danielle is a former Federal Reserve Insider. She is the CEO & Chief Strategist, Quill Intelligence LLC, and Economist.

Instead of mass mobilizing against Powell as if he was the reincarnation of King Louis XVI, why not grow up? In the absence of a solution without consequences, he’s made an attempt to steer the economy into the first recession from which it has the slightest chance of exiting without the dead weight of zombie companies, without the corrupt practice of anointing Wall Street’s kingpins the de facto makers of monetary policy. A wise man once said, “There is no such thing as a free lunch.”

Damn right there’s not. Perhaps we accept the truth in this wisdom and, in doing so, the consequences of our actions. -Danielle DiMartino Booth

https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/p/too-small-to-not-fail-history

Check out Michael’s analysis, economic news, charts, and commentary below on the YouTube video. Click on the red play button.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael Douville With… Charles Nenner: The Whole System is Shaky! Will the Fed Raise rates?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 21, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville and Charles Nenner discuss the latest in economic and market news. What’s coming next. Dr. Nenner is one of the world’s best when it comes to economic cycles.

What an amazing interview.

Charles Nenner believes the current Banking Crisis will resolve itself for a short time only. The Banking Index will rise for a “Bounce” only. Charles believes the Whole System is ready to go under.

We need to make plans.

One of the 3 strategies would be trading. This is not a “Buy and Hold” environment.

Charles also believes Inflation will start up again after May.

We are in for a “terrible” time. Charles’ War Cycle and Civil Disruption are turning up.

It is time to be cautious. Build cash reserves. Hold some cash at home, and when buying physical gold, take possession.

Click on the link below for the interview and video. You can’t afford not to listen…

Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 

Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Boom to Bust in 2024… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , on March 7, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

I think we have a major recession coming. I have been talking about this for a long time. These recessions do not start tomorrow, there are signposts along the way. The signs have not changed the Recession is coming, it’s coming, it’s coming.

We have talked about this since March of 2022. You have had plenty of time to get your house in order: Build cash reserves, get out of debt.

It takes 8-15 months for the rate increases to be felt; it’s called the Lag Effect. I think we have an Economic Bust coming.

We have had a Boom. In 2020, the Pandemic came along and scared everyone. The economy went in the tank.

The policy response was to pump $ trillions into the Economy; $10 Trillion just here in the US. Central Banks around the world added another $10 Trillion which caused the Inflation Monster.

Liquidity is drying up. Quantitative tightening is happening. Countries around the world are struggling to pay their bills. This is not a third world problem. Even Switzerland is running out of cash. How long before bubbles start to pop?

Appreciation of Home Prices Nationally are slowing and will soon be negative. States like California, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New York, New Jersey will suffer more due to the difference in Population Migration. San Francisco has already lost 35% in value. This will be a national issue. Florida, Texas, and Arizona offer the best investment returns.

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Economy will follow Liquidity into a Recession… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on February 11, 2023 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 8:6 For there is a right time and procedure to every purpose, though a man’s misery weighs heavily upon him.

In the Business World, Love does not make the World go round, it is LIQUIDITY that makes the world go round. Without liquidity, the Business World slows. The quicker it is withdrawn, the quicker we head into Recession.

Between March 2020 and March 2022, the Treasury and The Federal Reserve added $10 Trillion. What do you think is going to happen? Do you think Inflation may appear? Well now the “Powers to be” are removing Liquidity at a startling rate.

Places like Sri Lanka, and Lebanon are encountering civil disruption because food and fuel cannot be purchased. Even the Swiss National Bank has received a cash infusion from the FED.

The Inverted Yield is rivaling Paul Volcker’s era and the Fed is not through yet. The cost of Capital has doubled or tripled.

I believe the Economy will follow Liquidity into a Recession.

Caution is advised.

Take Heed! Charles Nenner, Paul Lehr, and Michael Douville discuss the Markets and End Times!

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on December 28, 2022 by paulthepoke

The conversation was 2 hours long: amazing, candid, tying Old Testament and New Testament Biblical Prophecy to the current Geopolitical and Economic problems of today. This is the economic portion… LOL!!! Only 20 minutes.

If there is enough interest, I will publish the remainder.

Charles Nenner has been Head of Proprietary Trading at Goldman Sachs. Dr. Nenner was an Advisor to President George Bush. He is often a guest on CNBC and Bloomberg. In this video, Nenner discusses his Cycle Research with Paul Lehr.

Paul Lehr is a Biblical Scholar. He is author of a series of books including the Rapture, The Bride Redeemed. Paul is a contributor to GodInANutshell Productions. Paul Lehr is the Host, Editor and Publisher of www.PaulthePoke.com.

Photo: Wikipedia

Charts for a possible, sudden stock crash are shown in an overlay of the current S&P Index and the 1929 Crash. Charts are tracing out the same pattern. Is a Crash Imminent? Maybe, the economics are deteriorating.

How do the Economic and Geopolitics of Dr. Nenner’s work align with Biblical Prophecy?

https://michaeldouville.com/

This was an amazing and candid 2-hour discussion that does not lend itself well to editing for YouTube. If there is additional interest, please leave a comment.

For a free 30-day Research Newsletter from Charles Nenner: www.charlesnenner.com.

For books authored by Paul Lehr… https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Market Overview with Michael Douville & Dr. Charles Nenner, December 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Charles Nenner and Michael Douville discuss the results of Nenner Research.

Bitcoin is discussed and how regular the cycles are clearly delineating the top and bottom creating excellent trading opportunities. Charles’ forecasts are reviewed as well as over 200% in Crypto gains versus an asset loss of 82%.

Bonds are indicating lower rates for a a short time which gives an opportunity to sell property, or refinance.

Charles also is predicting a very difficult economy with social upheaval and geo-political problems.

Time got away from us! This is a little longer than usual, but full of very good and timely information.

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Now would be a good time to listen!

Watch the latest interview of Charles Nenner with Michael Douville where they discuss:

1️⃣S&P

2️⃣Problems in the economy

3️⃣Recession, Inflation & Bear Market

4️⃣Gold & Silver

5️⃣Commodity index going down

6️⃣Bonds, Fed Funds & 10-year Treasury

7️⃣Bitcoin & Crypto Currencies

8️⃣Lumber, Lennar & Copper

9️⃣Crude oil is down until the end of the month

🔟Dollar cycle, War Cycle & Social unrest.

📌Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 🚀Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

WARNING!!! MARKET DANGER!!! Charles Nenner & Michael Douville, October 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Markets could be about to get really serious…

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

So, when Charles Nenner forecasts something, it is in your best interest to listen!!

As you may know, I have interviewed Dr. Charles Nenner for many years. What you may not know is that Charles Nenner advised President Bush Sr. and was an investment analyst for the proprietary trading division of Goldman Sachs.

Further, he forecast to the day the 1987 Crash and the peak of the 2007 Stock Market in December 2007. He and I spoke just prior to the Covid-19 Crash, no one knew it was coming, where he predicted the mass unemployment, crashing GDP, and forecast the huge Oil decline.

A Special Interview with Charles Nenner. The 2022 Stock Market is mimicking the 1929 Stock Market which may indicate that October 21, 2022, may be a very dangerous time frame for many asset classes. If it is a repeat of 1929, then the trading days around October 21, 2022 could be very, very volatile… plus or minus a couple of days from October 21, 2022. Time to take actions!

Charles further forecasts the Fed Rate appears to indicate NO RELIEF for interest rates.

Current stock market charts in 2022 are mimicking the market crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Are markets are on the verge of repeating history?

Nenner has concerns of a market crash within the next week to 10 days. Are we about to witness a market crash? Extreme caution is warranted.

Asset classes (tech stocks, gold, and real estate) are lining up and they all suggest the same thing. Volatile trouble is coming…

~

The following comments below are from Dr. Nenner.

We still do not recommend being long any of the equity markets.

We are still not interested in being long gold or silver assets due to negative weekly cycles.

We recommend standing aside cryptocurrencies because cycles are down.

We have leaders in the world in all kinds of countries who have no idea about anything, especially about economics.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

No Confusion, A Severe Recession is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

The “Seasonally Adjusted” employment numbers came in higher than expected. This will virtually guarantee another Fed Rate Hike into an already struggling Economy. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing. Job openings are decreasing.

Chicago PMI is below 50 to 45 indicating contraction. Orders for manufacturing are slower. Dr. Copper is dropping indicating a recession is coming. People are taking on more consumer debt with credit cards.

European inflation is over 10%. The cost of energy continues to increase. The Euro is under pressure and declining in value.

In a previous video, I mentioned hiking into a declining economy has always resulted in a Recession. If the Fed hiked in September, I expected a Severe Recession; further hikes will result in further deterioration of the Economy into something that may be much worse that a Severe Recession!!!!

Mortgage applications are at a 25-year low and in Phoenix, there are already rumors of staff cuts at local lenders. Get ready for a phenomenal buying opportunity; not yet but coming.

Dr. Charles Nenner believes there will be a bounce in the Equity and Bond Markets too. He looks to late October into November for the bounce. Be nimble and quick, it is just a bounce in the markets.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Federal Reserve has it all under control (sarcasm).

Inflation will no longer be a concern in the coming months. Is inflation peaking? Food, energy, and housing inflation continues to rise.

Your Job is going to be your concern. The Federal Reserve is using the Strategy of Demand Destruction to control Inflation. They know that Severe Recessions KILL Inflation. It also kills jobs, and Businesses, investments, futures…

Real wages are decreasing. People have less money.

More Interest rate hikes are likely to come. Pay off your debts. The cost of money is going up.

It may be awhile. At some point, opportunity is coming. Be prepared and ready!

Dollar Inflation? Rising to 20 or 25% Inflation? Is this possible? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on August 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Well, I do not have good news. Dr. Nenner believes Inflation will be with us in the US for a very long time. How is this possible?

There are government restrictions of Resources like food and energy that will cause scarcity and scarcity causes prices to rise. The United States is experiencing policies of restriction. Scarcity Inflation!

There is now a restriction of Credit, higher interest rates and Quantitative Tightening by less purchasing of Mortgage-backed securities. When it costs more, it raises expenses and higher expenses causes higher prices.

With the US dollar heading toward all-time highs, the US is exporting our Inflation. The dollar is now stronger than the Euro. The dollar is gaining strength against currencies around the world. When the US Dollar is high, this causes Inflation, much higher prices, in countries with weaker currencies.

Utility and energy costs are exploding across Europe. Germans are paying 14X more for electricity than they were a year ago. European Businesses are closing across the European Union. Goods are being restricted affecting industrial production and construction.

What happens when, not if, when the US Dollar Cycles down. Will prices react as well? Will prices go up 20%, 30 % or more?

Make plans now!!!

Check out Michael’s latest video and please share with others.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

~

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat.

Are we there yet? No, I don’t believe the seven year tribulation has started.

We know how we get to the beginning of the tribulation: a peace maker, war, hyperinflation, starvation. We are trending and living in inflationary times…

Capital Flowing to the US Foreboding Further Conflict? War Drums are Beating! Taiwan-China???? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , on August 6, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

China PLA

Are we watching history repeat itself? Money is flowing into the United States. Hundreds of millions of dollars are pouring in. Why?

Taiwan Semiconductor is building 8 plants in the Phoenix area.

Capital always flows out of danger into safer locations. Prior to Russia invading Ukraine, Capital moved to the US. Is that starting again over the China-Taiwan issue?

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

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