Archive for the Michael Douville Category

Interest Rates Below 2%???

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on October 2, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Can mortgage rates fall below 2%? Yes they can. Listen to Michael’s comments on interest rates and global currency considerations.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 20:10 Unequal weights and unequal measures are both alike an abomination to the LORD.

Countries around the world are trying to manipulate their currencies. The US Dollar is getting stronger. What are the implications in today’s global economy? Michael shares his thoughts in his latest video below.

http://www.michaeldouville.com
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Investing During International Turmoil… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on September 24, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 27:23 Know well the condition of your flocks, and give attention to your herds…

In this post, Michael discusses investing in markets with increased geo political risk as related to oil and gas prices. How will markets respond with the recent bombing of Saudi Arabian oil refineries? Listen to what Michael has to say.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

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Lebanon Declares Economic State of Emergency

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , on September 11, 2019 by paulthepoke

Joel 3:4 “Moreover, what are you to Me, O Tyre, Sidon and all the regions of Philistia? Are you rendering Me a recompense? But if you do recompense Me, swiftly and speedily I will return your recompense on your head.

The context of the verse above is God’s judgment against the nations. Today in the 21st century, Tyre and Sidon are still port cities on the Mediterranean Sea in modern day Lebanon. Sidon is north of Tyre. The two cities are located about 30 miles west of Mount Hermon, Israel. Their ultimate future appears to be bleak according to the prophet.

Tyre and Sidon, Lebanon

Lebanon declares Economic State of Emergency. Lebanon is just the tip of the iceberg.

The Sovereign Debt problem is upon us. The US Dollar broke 99 on it’s way to 103+. The US 10 Year Treasury broke below 1.45%. The absolute bottom has been 1.36%. A new record is coming.


Buckle up and HOLD ON!!!

International Economics and Bible Prophecy

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , on August 26, 2019 by paulthepoke

Michael Douville and Paul Lehr discuss international economics and how it lines up with Biblical Prophecy. Biblical Prophecy is being fulfilled as we speak!

The economic situation in Turkey continues to deteriorate. The Turkish government is desperate for resources. How does the situation in modern day Turkey relate to Bible prophecy?

Ezekiel 38:12-13 to seize spoil and carry off plunder, to turn your hand against the waste places that are now inhabited, and the people who were gathered from the nations, who have acquired livestock and goods, who dwell at the center of the earth. Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

For recent history regarding Russia, Turkey, Iran, and Ezekiel’s prophecy, see the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/category/ezekiel-38-39/

Click on the link below with Michael and Paul for discussion.

https://paulthepoke.com/
https://michaeldouville.com/

Will a strong US Dollar lead to the scenario of hyperinflation described in Revelation 6?

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Turkey on Watch List

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags on August 12, 2019 by paulthepoke

Turkey, a part of NATO, is threatening to move into Syria against the wishes of the US. They also have incredible debt. Will Turkey be a Black Swan that sets off economic instability?

Check out Michael’s comments on the latest Turkish debt information.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

What is the best way to preserve your capital when interest rates are forecast to go negative? Check out Michael’s comments below. Remember, discuss with a certified financial planner.

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

Russia will be joined by several countries in their future invasion of Israel (Ezekiel 38-39). One of those countries is modern day Turkey.

At some point in the future, the Bible says Russia and Turkey are going to join forces and invade Israel…

https://paulthepoke.com/category/ezekiel-38-39/

International Jenga… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , on August 8, 2019 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Michael has been on the slowing global economic decline for the last year. It appears a domino is about to topple. Are you prepared?

Who will be the one that drops the stack? Will International economic turmoil result in US recession?

http:// http://www.michaeldouville.com

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http://www.michaeldouville.com

Do you have all your money in stocks and bonds? What happens if we see a sharp reduction in the markets. Have you prepared your life boat? Michael talks about alternate ways to make income without worrying about the markets.

Dr. Charles Nenner’s Thoughts June 2019 – An Interview with Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on June 18, 2019 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Dr Nenner is not only brilliant, but gracious spending almost an hour of his time discussing current conditions in the Financial World.  As one of the most influential Cycle Researchers in the World, Charles Nenner shared his most recent research and discussed the Cycles of Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and the safer harbor for Income Investors, Real Estate.

Dr. Charles Nenner

As Dr. Nenner repeatedly states all things change. Good times end, Bad times end and everything cycles from Seasons to Interest Rates. Nenner Research indicates the Globe may be about to experience a profound change of Cycle. Soon, the US Business Cycle will be setting a record for expansion surpassing the 120 months of growth experienced in the 1990’s;  setting a record implies this is unusual, as it normally does not  last this long! The expansion is so old and so long many have forgotten that Business Cycles complete, they change! The Business Cycle transitions from Expansion to Contraction slowly, then all of a sudden. Charles Nenner’s research has predicted the slowdown. It is now no longer a prediction, but fact and the Economy of the World is poised to get worse, much worse. Excesses still unresolved from 2009 added to the inevitable malinvestment of the current Cycle presents the potential for a downturn worse than the Great Financial Crisis!!

Excesses still unresolved from 2009 added to the inevitable malinvestment of the current Cycle presents the potential for a downturn worse than the Great Financial Crisis!!

Charles Nenner’s Cyclical Research forecasts declining US GDP in 2019 to a year end level of less than 1%;  GDP for 2020 may be contracting to below 0. Currently,  Industrial Production, Manufacturing and Factory Orders are declining in the US.

Auto sales are falling,

Retail has not recovered from one of the worst Christmas Seasons in 20 years and retail store closings and shopping mall closures are at a record pace. 

 My favorite asset class, Real Estate, is in a mid cycle correction and has experienced 14 months in a row of declining Existing Home Sales with prices in some markets notably New York City, Seattle, San Jose actually beginning to deteriorate. 

Dr. Nenner foresees a Stock Market decline accompanying the softening Economy starting in earnest mid to late July. Unfortunately, Dr Nenner’s Research does not indicate a short drop and quick recovery, but a more prolonged period of slow Economic activity. Those in retirement or approaching retirement should take heed;  an extremely conservative approach or an exit strategy might be discussed with their Investment Advisor.  Losses incurred from a Stock portfolio may require a very long time to recover. Many Baby Boomers do not have that time! Avoiding loss should be the goal, not squeezing out the last dollar of profit. Lose 40% or more and the “Golden Years” are not so golden!

For a free trial offer of Charles Nenner’s newsletter, go to www.charlesnenner.com and mention this interview.

In Prior slowdowns, Investors could transfer Wealth into Bonds when the Stock Market plunged. Charles Nenner sees higher rates from July going forward that will eventually lead to significant losses and much higher rates in just a few years. Dr. Nenner also envisions Global Deflation; Deflation is much more difficult to manage than Inflation prolonging the contraction. Deflation often refers to the destruction of Credit and Debt through non-payment or defaults. Obviously, as Risk of Default or possible Debt restructure rises, Investors demand to be compensated for the Risk and Rates rise. This is counter intuitive to a slowing Economy which speaks to the predicament of Extreme Global Debt.  Individual US Treasury Bonds representing the safest investment in the world issued by the Global Reserve Currency will receive unprecedented demand; Capital seeking safety.  Dr Nenner’s Cycles for the 30 year Treasury Indicate demand pushing Treasuries to possible new low yields.  A bifurcated Bond Market?

Bonds and debt without the implicit guarantee of the US may suffer loss of principal in  a World engulfed in Global Deflation and Contagion.

Bond funds and ETF’s  which unlike simple bonds, never mature could incur losses of 70% or more in a rising rate environment. Further,  Deflation may cause huge losses in lower quality Bonds and Debt instruments. Estimates are as high as $2.5 Trillion in Corporate Bonds could already be just one notch above JUNK!  A recession could double that. Downgrades and Defaults will cause massive Bond losses.

Consistent income will help mitigate the turmoil that is coming.  The S&P dividends yield less than 2% and the risk of monumental loss of value dictates avoidance.  Bonds and Debt instruments are facing the potential of devastating losses as well. The current Income provided is not much more with the 10 year Treasury yielding less than 2.2% in an Inverted Yield environment.  Any increase of Interest Rates will devastate a Bond Portfolio. Fortunately, Real Estate provides consistent, conservative, and monthly Income.

Conservative single family residential rentals provided cash flow month after month through the Great Financial Crisis.  As a separate asset class from both Stocks and Bonds, Real Estate barely correlates with Wall Street;  estimates are in the 8-9% range. Real Estate, although cyclical, is also very Regional in Nature. There are several truly great Real Estate markets in the US that are experiencing both Organic growth and Demographic growth causing demand for Housing. Las Vegas and Phoenix are both exploding adding over 100,000 new residents each in 2018;  one cause is the Exodus from California, a Mega Trend that will last for years. This population increase is creating jobs and an enormous demand for rentals. Dr Nenner believes that investing in Small Units and Entry Level Single Family properties will generate Income through the economic downturn and may prove to be a very prudent investment. Investors will receive useable cash flow while waiting for the Real Estate Market recovery which may bottom as soon as 3rdquarter 2020.  Just beyond the current Real Estate correction is the “Explosive Phase” of the Real Estate Cycle where Fortunes are born! Not just Cash Flow, but much higher prices.

Will rising HOME prices coincide with the 30 year Treasury declining to historical low rates? Will the US experience Negative Rates and barely positive mortgages as our European Cousins? Will Risk expose struggling Corporations, Munincipalities, Counties, States, and maybe even Sovereign borrowers to much higher rates based on Credit downgrades? The next few years promise to be very interesting; is that a Chinese curse????

Rental Cash Flow may be one of the few Income Streams that will be monthly, consistent, and actually grow in a downturn; a fiscal Lifeboat! Risk has entered the Market. As a separate asset class, Real Estate may provide a safer asset for your Wealth. Always discuss with your Financial Advisor before Investing. 

PaulthePoke

Prophecy Watch & Bible Study

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