Trend Update: US Army Assists with Mosul Dam Assessment, January 2018

Posted in Mosul/Nineveh, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on January 17, 2018 by paulthepoke

Nahum 1:8 But with an overflowing flood He will make a complete end of the adversaries, and will pursue his enemies into darkness.

Nahum 2:6 The gates of the rivers are opened and the palace is dissolved.

The prophet Nahum promises the judgment of ancient Nineveh or what is 21st century Mosul, Iraq. It comes with a flood after a long history of bloodshed.

The Mosul Dam was built by Saddam Hussein in 1986 on soluble gypsum. Translation, the dam is built on a shifting, poor foundation. The dam faces a continued high risk of catastrophic failure. The Mosul Dam has been called the most dangerous dam in the world. It is located 35 miles north of Mosul, Iraq. The dam manages the Tigris River in Iraq. The dam holds an estimated 11-12 billion cubic meters of water. This equates to approximately 3,170,064,624,000 US Fluid Gallons. Translation, 3.1 trillion gallons of water!

http://www.asknumbers.com/CubicMeterToGallon.aspx

On the lake side of the dam, sinkholes are increasing in size and number. As of December 2016, the size of the sinkholes are 60 feet and larger.

Globe & Mail Mosul Dam

Graphic: The Globe & Mail

December 2017: Soldiers from the 569th Engineer Dive Detachment assisted with assessment of the Mosul Dam. The dive team was assessing the sinkholes or caves in the plunge pool. The Army chose a remote-control vehicle instead of divers for safety purposes. Direct observation of the caves was obtained.

Captain James MacGibbon, 569th Engineer Dive Detachment Commander, stated, “The work we did at the Mosul Dam was extremely rewarding because the lead United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) engineers have been wanting to get a look into the caves for months, and we were able to provide that for them.”

“The capabilities and professionalism of the dive team was incredible. They were able to help us answer a lot of unanswered questions of the underwater terrain as well as the southern bridge. Using both their analysis and the video, we were able to conduct some key classifications of the area and gain a much better idea of what we are dealing with throughout this uncertain terrain,” USACE Project Engineer Matthew Collins.

Specific details of the assessment were not provided. How much have the caves grown???

https://www.army.mil/article/198674/divers_support_the_mosul_dam_and_local_iraqi_government

A dam breech would spell big trouble for those in the Tigris River valley. The city of Mosul would be underwater within four hours of a dam break. Within 77 hours, Baghdad would be targeted.

An estimated 45-70 foot wall of water could flood the river valley if the dam breaks. This could potentially kill millions and displace 150 million more per estimates.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/belief/2016/mar/10/the-mosul-dam-is-crumbling-if-it-bursts-it-would-be-a-disaster-on-a-biblical-scale

Concern for the dam increases in the Spring with snow melt from the mountains in Turkey. Then come the rains. This is likely to be a story again come March, April, and May…

 

Rapture compressedhttps://www.smashwords.com/books/view/731160

Available in ebook and paperback at Amazon.com

https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss_2?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=Rapture+Bride+Redeemed

Also available online at Barnes & Noble, iBooks, Kobo, and Inktera

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Bitcoin Mania…Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Uncategorized on January 17, 2018 by paulthepoke

This article was originally posted on December 20, 2017. As of that week, Bitcoin was near its all time high of $19,000. Almost one month later, Bitcoin has lost about 50% of its value. Michael Douville is all over it.

http://fortune.com/2018/01/17/bitcoin-price-crash-regulation/

PaulthePoke

Psalm 119:72 The law of your mouth is better to me than thousands of coins of gold and silver. 

MichaelIt has taken almost 400 years, but according to Convoy Investments, Bitcoin has surpassed The Tulip Bulb Bubble, where even Sir Issac Newton lost his fortune, as the largest Financial Bubble in History.  Everyone wants to get rich! Everyone wants to be part of this phenomenon.  When queried,  there is a complete lack of understanding what Bitcoin is or can do. It is a “Store of Wealth”, however, you cannot go to Walmart and buy clothes or food with Bitcoin, nor can you fill up your car at the Gas Station. You cannot pay your mortgage,  health costs, utilities, or even buy a really good meal with Bitcoin! Yet, there is a rush to spend precious Investment Dollars, Retirement Funds, or worse yet, the Family “Nest Egg” in pursuit of the…

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Consider: Another Good Year For Real Estate…Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Uncategorized, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on January 16, 2018 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 14:15 The simple believes everything, but the prudent gives thought to his steps.

Michael

Consider these two items to change your investment thoughts: P/E ratios and Margin Debt! The Case Shiller P/E of 15.21 has been the average for years and years. It represents approximately a 6.6% annual total return of the S&P. As of January 8th, 2018, the Case Shiller P/E is 33.34 indicating an extremely high valuation; maybe an extreme overvaluation! Good times eventually end! In order to “normalize” to the 15.21 level, the S&P Pendulum would have to deliver a 60%+ loss. This time could be different, but the pendulum has never stopped at “Normal or Average” when the Cycle ends, but continues to the “Equal but Opposite” extreme delivering an 80-90% loss. Margin Debt, especially the current “Historic Margin Debt” facilitates the extreme by accelerating the downward move.

pic-1jpg

 

Margin Debt is magical when the market trend is positive and is an absolute Nightmare when the selling begins. Margin Stock Sale Requirements are set by the Investment House and once triggered, the margined stock is sold at whatever the market will bear, usually at a significant loss. Selling begets more selling and wild price swings can ensue; also crashes! The individual investor is often caught in a very bad and costly event. No one wants to leave the Party early! FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is notorious for clouding judgment regarding Risk! Rental Property in the growth corridors of America may provide even better returns at much less Risk!

Consider these conservative facts: Maricopa County, the Home of Phoenix, Scottsdale, and Chandler in Arizona has appreciated 3.98% per year for almost 35 years including the Great Recession when Phoenix became the Poster Child for Excesses! 3.98% does not sound like much, but consider this: Investment Down Payment is only 20%. Purchase a $200,000 rental with $40,000 down and the appreciation in the Rental Investment generated 19.9% gain in just a normal year! 2017 was a stellar year for Maricopa County with estimates of an average 9.8% appreciation. That $200,000 rental property is now almost $220,000 with a gain of 19,600. Remember that $40,000 Down Payment? In 2017, that $40,000 gained 49%!!!! As Income Investors, there is always cash flow that grows year after year, the initial rate has been at least 5%; that needs to be added! A Standard Year with 3.98% appreciation including cash flow and the return is almost 25%. There is more!!!

The first year Principal Reduction on a $160,000 mortgage, paid by the Tenant, is over 6%! Add that to the Return Mix and the rental property is returning over 31%. If the Investor qualifies for Depreciation, a $200,000 rental property will provide Tax Savings which can significantly vary from one Investor to another, however, typically another 4%+ is achieved. Add that to the 31% and in an average year, the cash flowing, cash flow growing Rental Property has returned 35%+!!!!!!

Consider the Risk! Consider Income growth! Consider Investment growth. Consider Maricopa County that receives 222 new residents everyday for part of your portfolio.

Revelation: Philadelphia, The New Jerusalem

Posted in Prophecy, Revelation with tags , , , , on January 14, 2018 by paulthepoke

Revelation 3:12c…and the name of the city of my God, the new Jerusalem, which comes down from my God out of heaven…

The name of the city is The New Jerusalem.

It is “the” New Jerusalem. There is a Greek definite article in front of “New Jerusalem”. The text literally reads… “the New Jerusalem” in the original Greek. The koine Greek of the New Testament has no indefinite article like we do in English. There are no “a” or “an” in the language. A definite article is a point of emphasis.

At least three times in the book of Revelation, the text refers to the city of New Jerusalem as descending from Heaven. The first is noted in the verse above. Two other references are indicated in Revelation 21, the definitive chapter on the description of New Jerusalem. See Revelation 22 for additional information regarding New Jerusalem. Jesus says the city is a gift from God. The city is a pure, beautiful, stunning bride. This is our eternal home.

Revelation 21:2 And I saw the holy city, new Jerusalem, coming down out of heaven from God, prepared as a bride adorned for her husband.

Revelation 21:10 And he carried me away in the Spirit to a great, high mountain, and showed me the holy city Jerusalem coming down out of heaven from God…

 

Galatians 4:26 But the Jerusalem above is free, and she is our mother.

The heavenly Jerusalem is called “free” or ἐλεύθερος/eleutheros in Greek. The comparison is to a slave in Galatians 4:25. Strong’s Concordance defines the term as unshackled or unbound. New Jerusalem is liberated and delivered from obligation.

 

Revelation 3:12d…and my own new name.

Jesus has a name change coming. Christ will have a different name, and it is personal.

Revelation 19:12 His eyes are a flame of fire, and on His head are many diadems; and He has a name written on Him which no one knows except Himself.

And that name will be written on the believer as well.

 

Please listen. Seven times in Revelation, Christ appeals to the churches to listen. This is the sixth time Jesus calls on all the churches to listen. He will appeal once more to the churches collectively to listen. One way or another, we are all running out of time.

Revelation 3:13 He who has an ear, let him hear what the Spirit says to the churches.

 

Rapture compressedhttps://www.smashwords.com/books/view/731160

Available in ebook and paperback at Amazon.com

https://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss_2?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=Rapture+Bride+Redeemed

Also available online at Barnes & Noble, iBooks, Kobo, and Inktera

Our Daily Bread…Featuring Paul Beverly

Posted in Our Daily Bread, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on January 11, 2018 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:6 Train up a child in the way he should go; even when he is old he will not depart from it.

The rod of discipline is an option…

Proverbs 13:24 Whoever spares the rod hates his son, but he who loves him is diligent to discipline him.

paddle

So Kelly Clarkson is catching a lot of backlash after admitting to spanking her children. Not beating them or hitting them hard, but spanking to let them know what they did isn’t okay. They are calling her lazy & ignorant for parenting this way. I’m guessing these are the same people that feel entitled & are raising entitled children. I received my fair share of spankings as a child & rightfully deserved them. I was a slow learner sometimes, but I figured it out. The American Academy of Pediatrics says any kind of physical punishment is wrong. I don’t agree with them. Each child is different in how they respond to punishment I believe. Time out may work for one child where it has no affect on another. Spanking may not work for some children when trying to get your point across. There is a fine line when it comes to spanking I believe, but parent the best way you know how, without crossing the line. Thoughts?

Proverbs 22:15 Foolishness is bound up in the heart of a child; the rod of discipline will remove it far from him.

Proverbs 23:13 Do not hold back discipline from the child, although you strike him with the rod, he will not die.

Proverbs 29:15 The rod and reproof give wisdom, but a child who gets his own way brings shame to his mother.

Trend Update: Turkey’s Naval Base on the Red Sea, January 2018

Posted in Egypt/Nile River, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , on January 10, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

For insight linking Meshech, Tubal, Gomer, and Beth-Togarmah to modern day Turkey, click the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

January 2018: Turkey is quietly building a naval presence on the Red Sea. The Turks and the Sudanese have inked a deal.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has proclaimed Turkey has been given access to the Suakin Island from Sudan. The island is effectively across the Red Sea from Mecca, Saudia Arabia. Historically, Turkey is no stranger to the area. The Suakin Island has ties to the Ottoman Empire during the 16th century. The island was the capital of the Habes Province.

Suakin Island

photo: Daily Sabah

Turkey will manage and rebuild infrastructure. The agreement is open ended in regards to time. Sudanese Foreign Minister Ibrahim Ghandour indicated military and security cooperation are part of the agreement. With the treaty, Turkey now has access to other ports in Sudan.

The military commanders in chief of Turkey, Qatar, and Sudan met at the signing. This alliance is consistent with the Sunni branch of Islam and the Muslim Brotherhood.

 

The alliance between Turkey and Sudan is concerning to the southern coalition of Sunni Muslims including Egypt and Saudia Arabia. Egypt is expressing concern. The Egyptians have a water problem. Access to the Nile River is the issue. Egypt gets 90% of their water from the Nile River. Sudan and Egypt are not working together regarding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.

https://paulthepoke.com/2018/01/04/trend-update-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-january-2018/

Egypt is currently spending millions beefing up their military. They recently purchased two helicopter carriers, one frigate from France, three submarines from Germany, and dozens of warplanes from France and Russia.

 

The Turks currently have a seaport in Somalia. Turkey already has military troops in Qatar. Turkey’s Recep Erdogan has his eyes on the religious sites in Mecca.

http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Is-Turkey-setting-up-a-naval-base-on-the-Red-Sea-532904

Water and Muslim religious sites are volatile issues.

 

The prophet Ezekiel stated Russia, Turkey, and allies are prophesied to invade Israel (Ezekiel 38-39). Russia and Sudan have recently formed ties. Russia has entered Libya as of early 2017.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/12/01/trend-update-sudan-calls-russia-for-help-december-2017/

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/03/20/trend-update-russian-special-forces-in-libya-march-2017/

The southern front of the invasion appears to be taking shape.

 

Trend Update: Israel Strikes SCUD Targets East of Damascus, January 2018

Posted in Burden of Damascus, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , on January 9, 2018 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 17:1 The oracle concerning Damascus. “Behold, Damascus is about to be removed from being a city and will become a fallen ruin.

January 9, 2018: Syria is claiming Israel has fired missiles from fighter jets at targets northeast of Damascus. Surface to surface missiles were fired from the Golan Heights area. Targets appeared to be related to scud missiles near the town of al-Qutayfah, Syria.

The incidents took place at approximately 2:00-3:00 in the morning.

Syria says that Israel is “fully responsible” for the military action.

Damascus is upset with Israel “as Israel does not announce their raids against Syrian targets.”

“The Israeli aggression affirms again the support of the occupying entity to terrorist organizations in Syria and its desperate attempts to raise their morale after the painful blows they received in Harasta in eastern Ghouta in Damascus countryside and the sweeping victories the Syrian Arab Army is achieving in Idlib.” -Syrian Army Spokesman

Syria is claiming to have hit an Israeli jet and intercepted incoming missiles…allegedly.

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has sent a letter to the United Nations (UN). Syria warned Israel had better stop the aggression. Excerpts from the letter indicated the following…

“Israel’s aggressive attitude will lead to a regional conflagration and further exacerbate the situation. This is in order to support terror and perpetuate the occupation of Arab lands. The repeated Israeli strikes on Syria will not succeed in protecting terror organizations of Israel’s that are used as its agents, with the heads being ISIS and the Al-Nusra Front.”

“The Syrian government will repeat its warning to Israel of the serious consequences of striking Syria and the continued support to armed terror movements, and it holds it responsible. The Security Council must condemn the Israeli strikes and take steps to stop its aggression.” President al-Assad letter to UN

 

The Israeli Defense Forces have not publicly commented. It should be noted that Israel has admitted to hitting over 100 Hezbollah convoys and military targets. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated the Jewish state will strike when “we have information and operational feasibility.”

https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5068669,00.html

http://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/Syrian-army-claims-Israel-struck-targets-near-Damascus-in-overnight-raids-533211

 

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