Archive for Russia

Russian Aircraft Downed In Syria, Yom Kippur 5779/2018

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 18, 2018 by paulthepoke

Latakia, Syria, September 17, 2018: Initial reports indicated Israel shot down a Russian IL-20 airplane. Latakia is home to a Russian Military Base. Four F16 Israeli jets were reported in the altercation. Fifteen (15) Russian service men are reported dead.

Russia Latakia

Map: Russian Defense Ministry

“Israel did not warn the command of the Russian troops in Syria about the planned operation. We received a notification via a hotline less than a minute before the strike, which did not allow the Russian aircraft to be directed to a safe zone,” Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov said.

Timeline of events provided at link below by Sputnik News.

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/201809181068121621-france-russia-plane-syria

Click on the link below for additional analysis and geography.

 

The following is a sequence of tweets from the Israeli Defense Force spokesperson.

Israel expresses sorrow for the death of the aircrew members of the Russian plane that was downed tonight due to Syrian anti-aircraft fire. Israel holds the Assad regime, whose military shot down the Russian plane, fully responsible for this incident.

Israel also holds Iran and the Hezbollah terror organization accountable for this unfortunate incident.

Overnight, IDF fighter jets targeted a facility of the Syrian Armed Forces from which systems to manufacture accurate and lethal weapons were about to be transferred on behalf of Iran to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The IDF and the Russian army have a deconfliction system, which was agreed upon by the states’ leaders, and has proven itself many times over recent years. This system was in use tonight as well.

An initial inquiry of the incident suggests:

1. Extensive and inaccurate Syrian anti-aircraft (Surface to Air missile) fire caused the Russian plane to be hit and downed.

2. When the Syrian Army launched the missiles that hit the Russian plane, IAF jets were already within Israeli airspace.

3. During the strike against the target in Latakia, the Russian plane that was then hit was not within the area of the operation.

4. The Syrian anti-air batteries fired indiscriminately and from what we understand, did not bother to ensure that no Russian planes were in the air.

Israel will share all the relevant information with the Russian Government to review the incident and to confirm the facts in this inquiry.

IL-20M

“By using the Russian plane as a cover the Israeli air pilots made it vulnerable to Syrian air defense fire. As a result, the Ilyushin-20, its reflective surface being far greater than that of F-16, was downed by a missile launched with the S-200 system,” Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov.

Russian President Vladimir Putin statement, “Israel didn’t shoot down the Russian plane deliberately. It was a result of a chain of tragic circumstances.”

For detail of recent events, click on the link below from the Times of Israel.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/russia-blames-israel-after-syria-downs-plane-while-trying-to-repel-attack/

Russia has requested the Israeli envoy to Moscow. The diplomat has arrived and discussions have started. This is a developing story. The plot thickens…

Ezekiel 38:4 And I will turn you about and put hooks into your jaws, and I will bring you out, and all your army, horses and horsemen, all of them clothed in full armor, a great host, all of them with buckler and shield, wielding swords.

Ezekiel 39:2 And I will turn you about and drive you forward, and bring you up from the uttermost parts of the north, and lead you against the mountains of Israel.

 

 

 

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Russia: An Emerging Market

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 17, 2018 by paulthepoke

Featuring: Michael Douville, Paul Lehr

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

For evidence pointing to modern day Russia, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

Modern day, 21st century Russians refer to themselves as the ancient Scythians or Magogians. See the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/08/23/trend-update-putin-netanyahu-meet-in-sochi-russia-august-2017/

https://michaeldouville.com

Russia has an impressive military with Nuclear Weapons, but when it comes to Economic prowess, it is an Emerging Market! It has been only 20 years since Russia collapsed financially and it is still working through the economic disruption. Although blessed with huge Natural Resources, Russia is still very dependent on Foreign Capital to develop it’s mining,  gas and oil fields.  Foreign Capital is needed not only for developing the resources themselves, but the infrastructure to bring them to market.  Global Markets dictate much of Russia’s income as the price of basic materials fluctuate with the Business Cycle. As one of the World’s leading oil producers, Russia has benefited from the recent run up in Oil prices which are expressed in US Dollars. Basic Materials are also expressed in US Dollars, but are very sensitive to demand dynamics; much, much more sensitive. Dollar dependency is a two edged sword for although the demand for the energy component is less elastic, the price can fluctuate wildly.  The price of Natural Resources can plummet as the Global Slowdown intensifies; as with any Emerging Market repayment of Foreign Loans becomes more and more difficult.

The BRICs were the darling of the Investment Community. Now Brazil and India are struggling. China financed much of it’s Capital needs with internal financing through it’s Shadow Banking and while these loans are certainly at risk, they are less visible. Russia has done much better than many Emerging Market Nations, but Russia is still affected by a rising US Dollar and rising Global Interest Rates. The balance of Trade impacts the International repayments. A Global Slowdown is underway and many Emerging Markets are at risk of depleting Dollar Reserves and thus entering a Liquidity Crisis. Which leads to Turkey!

Commodity prices will fall crushing the Emerging Markets which will cause Turmoil throughout the World. Debts will not be paid and alliances will be stretched if not completely broken.

Turkey, along with Argentina and Brazil, is rapidly running out of Dollar Reserves. Turkey imports much more than it exports and as it’s currency declines, purchasing power falls dramatically.  Turkey needs Cash to not only finance Government offices, public utilities,  and to service domestic needs, but any recent Military adventures such as last year’s excursion into Iraq and just recently Syria. Everything needs to be financed. The Credit lines from Western Nations and the US come with restrictions which the Turkish Government seems to be unwilling to accept. Turkey is now in overtures to Russia and China to provide US Dollars to solve it’s Liquidity demands. Currently, Turkey is involved in operations with Russia in Syria; an operation that benefits both Geo-politically, but is adverse to Turkish Allies objectives.  This becomes a very interesting puzzle!

Russia and China can forestall Turkey’s liquidity crisis for awhile; a few months, maybe a year. However, both are still Emerging Markets themselves and a prolonged Global downturn will inevitably affect any extension of Credit.

A Global Downturn has been evident for months. Demand for natural Resources and eventually Energy will fall, slowly at first then much more rapidly. Commodity prices will fall crushing the Emerging Markets which will cause Turmoil throughout the World. Debts will not be paid and alliances will be stretched if not completely broken. There is still time to prepare; payoff debt, build reserves, store things like food, water, and medicine.  As quickly as possible, build a personal cash reserve held outside of financial institutions and as important, build a Financial Lifeboat of Cash Flowing assets.

https://michaeldouville.com

Remember, the reason for Russia’s future invasion of Israel is economic. Russia will seek to take Israel’s resources.

Ezekiel 38:13 Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

 

Will Turkey Align with Russia?

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 10, 2018 by paulthepoke

Featuring: Michael Douville, Paul Lehr

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

For more evidence pointing to modern day Turkey, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

For evidence pointing to modern day Russia, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

Modern day, 21st century Russians refer to themselves as the ancient Scythians or Magogians. See the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/2017/08/23/trend-update-putin-netanyahu-meet-in-sochi-russia-august-2017/

https://michaeldouville.com

No Presidential Decree from Turkey’s de facto ruler will stop the Lira’s decline against the US Dollar.

Nations are no different than Families; each has a credit line. Using credit to enjoy today is always at the expense of tomorrow; maybe at the expense of a lot of tomorrows.

The US Dollar is cycling higher as uncertainty in Financial Markets starts to spread; just Capital looking for Safety! The easy credit and absurdly low interest rates of the last decade have encouraged gorging on Debt across the Villages, Hamlets, Towns, Cities, and Nations of the World. The Joy of Financed Prosperity is ending and the Day of Judgment is coming as the servicing of the Debt now is impeding Prosperity and the Creditors are looking for re-payment. Emerging Markets rely heavily on Debt to finance schools, airports, roads, water sanitation and all of the infrastructure already in place in modern countries. Further, Emerging Markets rely heavily on Foreign Investments for Capital to build retail, restaurants and housing. When local currencies start to decline against the benchmarks such as the US Dollar, these pools of Capital start to leave causing a liquidity problem for local governments and eventually a loss in confidence which can quickly and adversely affect exchange rates. Capital in Argentina, Brazil, India, Greece, Macedonia, Poland and of course Turkey is fleeing to the Safety of the US Dollar and their currency’s purchasing power is declining. Once started, it is very difficult to stop: even Presidential decrees do not work.

                                  JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index

Nations are no different than Families; each has a credit line. Using credit to enjoy today is always at the expense of tomorrow; maybe at the expense of a lot of tomorrows. Eventually the credit line is completely spent; maybe an extension or two will postpone the inevitable. However, just as Families, nations can only service so much Debt and then something has to change. Families can declare Bankruptcy or allow a Foreclosure. Nations DEFAULT!!

Before a Nation Defaults, plans must be made for the continuation of the Government and essential services. This is done by securing funding from other sources; sources that previously would not even be considered; desperation changes things! Turkey is running out of Credit! Turkey will not accept constraints imposed by the IMF or creditor Banks and has received an emergency $15 Billion from Qatar.  The Debt must be addressed while the Turkish economy and currency is quickly declining creating a very difficult situation.  Overtures to Russia and China for funding will be a game changer. If the future funding requirements can be obtained, Turkey will be able to default on it’s Debt; geopolitics are also economic realities. Capital is fleeing now, time is short.

Prepare for Turmoil, but also prepare for opportunity! Defaults in Emerging Markets would impact Stocks and Bonds across the Globe.  Reduce or eliminate debt, create personal reserves, stockpile needed medicine, store extra food and water, and keep personal cash handy. The Financial Asset Cycle is ending and Real Assets will rise. Natural Resources, Agriculture, Mining and Minerals, Lumber, Copper, Oil, Aluminum, and most if not all of the basic materials should rise as currencies decline. Things should be accumulate; very conservative Real Estate such as rental houses should do well. It is time to prepare, time to change,  time to prepare for the next opportunity.

 

Currently, American economic sanctions and a strong US dollar are crippling the currencies of Russia, Turkey, and Iran. All of these countries are feeling an economic, monetary squeeze. Ultimately, the reason for the invasion of Israel from the north appears to be economic. Israel is a prosperous country.

Ezekiel 38:13 Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

Is now this time? It is looking like it more and more with each passing day. But, that remains to be seen. Will Turkey Align with Russia? God’s prophet Ezekiel says emphatically “Yes”!

 

Russia, Turkey, & Iran Continue South Towards Israel, August 2018

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on August 2, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

See the video link below for geography and analysis.

 

 

Magog was a son of Japheth. Genesis 10:2 The sons of Japheth were Gomer and Magog and Madai and Javan and Tubal and Meshech and Tiras. Japheth was the son of Noah. The sons of Japheth were born after the flood (Genesis 10:1).

The Bible and historians are consistent. Magog is modern day Russia. The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

Ezekiel 38:5 Persia, Ethiopia and Put with them, all of them with shield and helmet…

Russia will be joined by several countries with their future invasion of Israel (Ezekiel 38-39). Another of those countries is Persia. This is modern day Iran. The country was known as Persia until the name change in the 20th century.

Magogs Invasion

For more detail regarding these ancient peoples and their modern-day counterparts, click on the links below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/17/ezekiel-38-who-is-persia/

Rouhani Putin Erdogan

August 2, 2018: Russia, Turkey, and Iran continue to move south towards Israel as promised by the prophet Ezekiel.

 

 

Day Light to Dark in Russia, July 2018

Posted in Fake News???, Prophecy, Signs: Sun, Moon, Stars..., Trend Update with tags , , , on July 27, 2018 by paulthepoke

Amos 8:9 “And on that day,” declares the Lord GOD, “I will make the sun go down at noon and darken the earth in broad daylight.”

July 25, 2018: And the lights went out in Russia… in the middle of the day. And this is Newsweek reporting! The sky went dark as night from 11:30 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. in the middle of the day. The event took place in Siberian Russia in the Yakutia region.

Dark day Russian Life

Photo: Russian Life

“When the sun fell out of sight people started phoning the local administration. Many, especially older people, got spooked. It did not come immediately but gradually. The sun was not visible from 11:30 a.m. to 2 p.m. during the day. We went out on the street especially for it, which many can confirm. Now we don’t even know what to think. We do not have any specialists and the rumors keep multiplying.” Konstantin Starostin, head of Nizhne-Bytantaysk.

“It was around 11 in the morning and the house was pitch dark. Nothing was visible without electricity. Everyone was walking around with torches on. There was no wind. Being out in the street was impossible.”

“How can something cover the sun so that it is not visible? Only a lunar (eclipse) is likely to and if that is the case that this issue is not for us. We do not observe for solar eclipses,” Yuri Degterenko, Deputy Head of the Weather Board’s Environmental Monitoring Group.

“If it was smog from fires, people would know. There would be smoke and a burning smell. Our meteorological stations did not trace such a thing.”

“It was overcast in general so maybe some dark cloud blocked the sun but it could be something that was not a cloud. There was no rain after that,” Yevgeny Potapov, Head of Verkhoyansk.

Russia’s weather agency did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the matter.

https://www.newsweek.com/did-sun-go-out-over-siberia-russians-want-answers-devilry-broad-daylight-1041138

Amos 8:9 “And on that day,” declares the Lord GOD, “I will make the sun go down at noon and darken the earth in broad daylight.”

Is this the fulfillment of Amos 8? I don’t think so. The context of the verse is the Lord pronouncing judgment on Israel. I take it this event will ultimately be fulfilled in Israel during a period of judgment.

But don’t kid yourself… This event shows the scenario is possible. It happened just like the verse declared.

 

Trend Update: Blood Red Rain, Norilsk, Russia, July 2018

Posted in Revelation, Trend Update with tags , , on July 5, 2018 by paulthepoke

Revelation 16:4 Then the third angel poured out his bowl into the rivers and the springs of waters; and they became blood.

See video link below for geography and additional analysis.

July 2018: Red rain is falling from the sky in Norilsk, Russia. This is the city’s second blood red water event in the last couple of years.

Video below compliments of Sputnik News.

Norilsk, Russia is home to the Nadezhda Metallurgical Factory. The factory is run by Norilsk Nickel. This is the world’s largest producer of nickel and palladium.

Relax, local officials indicated this event is not reason for concern or health risk. Officials from the metallurgical plant indicated the event was caused by dust accumulated on the roof of a plant shop. This is not an incident of pollution. The rain washed the dust off the plant and caused the red rain… allegedly.

Rain-984303 express co uk

Photo: express.co.uk

Norilsk, Russia has made Time Magazine’s most polluted places in the world. The following is from Time.

Norilsk was founded in 1935 as a Siberian slave labor camp, and life there has pretty much gone downhill since. Home to the world’s largest heavy metal smelting complex, more than 4 million tons of cadmium, copper, lead, nickel, arsenic, selenium and zinc are released into the air every year. Air samples exceed the maximum allowance for both copper and nickel, and mortality from respiratory diseases is much higher than in Russia as a whole. “Within 30 miles (48 km) of the nickel smelter there’s not a single living tree,” says Fuller. “It’s just a wasteland.” –Bryan Walsh, Time Magazine.

http://content.time.com/time/specials/2007/article/0,28804,1661031_1661028_1661022,0

With 3 blood red water events, Russia has taken a commanding lead against the rest of the world. The closest competitors only have one event held by several other countries.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/984303/blood-red-rain-Russia-freak-weather-viral-video

Everybody relax. We are not in the tribulation. This is just a little red rain in a remote Siberian city.

 

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Trend Update: Recep Erdogan Wins Re-Election in Turkey, June 2018

Posted in Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on June 27, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/04/ezekiel-38-who-is-magog/

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

According to the prophet Ezekiel, Russia will be joined by several countries in their future invasion of Israel. One of those countries is modern day Turkey. Scripture says Turkey is a player in the Ezekiel 38-39 scenario, the Gog and Magog War and invasion of Israel. The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Tubal, Gomer and his son Togarmah) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

See the video link below for additional analysis.

erdogan 4
photo: Bloomberg

June 25, 2018: Turkey’s Recep Erdogan was re elected to four more years as President. This should come as no surprise. Erdogan called for the elections a couple of months ago. He was not calling for an election and expecting to lose. As a result of the victory, Erdogan’s power has broadened and increased. The president declared the big winner was the people of Turkey.

 

Recep Erdogan will be in power four more years until 2022 without further elections. Erdogan now has the authority to do away with the position of Prime Minister. He can dissolve parliament if needed. The president can make changes at the central bank and affect economic policy. He controls the political party’s bloc in parliament. Erdogan effectively can not be prosecuted. The opposing party has essentially no path to impeachment.

https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/turkey/turkey-elections-erdogan-s-win-paves-the-road-toward-autocracy-1.6202003

Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulated Erdogan on his victory.

“The head of the Russian state stressed that the outcome of the vote fully confirms Erdogan’s great political authority, broad support of the course pursued under his leadership towards solving vital social and economic tasks facing Turkey, and enhancing the country’s foreign policy positions.”

“The Russian president confirmed readiness to continue substantive dialogue, close joint work on a bilateral, regional and international agenda, stressing that no doubt, this meets vital interests of the Russian and Turkish people, and is in line with maintaining peace, stability and security on the Eurasian continent.”

http://tass.com/world/1010842

putin erdogan

Photo Credit: via protothema.gr

Russia and Turkey are drawing closer together… just like Ezekiel said they would.

 

 

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