Archive for Inflation

No Confusion, A Severe Recession is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

The “Seasonally Adjusted” employment numbers came in higher than expected. This will virtually guarantee another Fed Rate Hike into an already struggling Economy. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing. Job openings are decreasing.

Chicago PMI is below 50 to 45 indicating contraction. Orders for manufacturing are slower. Dr. Copper is dropping indicating a recession is coming. People are taking on more consumer debt with credit cards.

European inflation is over 10%. The cost of energy continues to increase. The Euro is under pressure and declining in value.

In a previous video, I mentioned hiking into a declining economy has always resulted in a Recession. If the Fed hiked in September, I expected a Severe Recession; further hikes will result in further deterioration of the Economy into something that may be much worse that a Severe Recession!!!!

Mortgage applications are at a 25-year low and in Phoenix, there are already rumors of staff cuts at local lenders. Get ready for a phenomenal buying opportunity; not yet but coming.

Dr. Charles Nenner believes there will be a bounce in the Equity and Bond Markets too. He looks to late October into November for the bounce. Be nimble and quick, it is just a bounce in the markets.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Federal Reserve has it all under control (sarcasm).

Inflation will no longer be a concern in the coming months. Is inflation peaking? Food, energy, and housing inflation continues to rise.

Your Job is going to be your concern. The Federal Reserve is using the Strategy of Demand Destruction to control Inflation. They know that Severe Recessions KILL Inflation. It also kills jobs, and Businesses, investments, futures…

Real wages are decreasing. People have less money.

More Interest rate hikes are likely to come. Pay off your debts. The cost of money is going up.

It may be awhile. At some point, opportunity is coming. Be prepared and ready!

This Week In Prophecy: Shofar & Elul, Cultural Rot, Railroad Strike?, China & Russia, Caucuses

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Culture, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 14, 2022 by paulthepoke

On This Week in Prophecy… It is the month of Elul. Blow the shofar! Yehuda Glick is blowing his shofar on the Mount of Olives. He was arrested for a recording of a shofar blast on the Temple Mount.

Isaiah 5:20 Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness, who put bitter for sweet and sweet for bitter!

FX parent company Disney has released a new cartoon, Little Demon. Satan’s Teen Daughter is the antichrist. The “reluctant” mother is a practicing witch. They are just trying to live a normal life.

“Don’t let other people’s moral laws make you think what you did was wrong,” Satan said sweetly. “Together, you and I can create a future without rules, call your own shots, live the life you wanna live.”

Hell is not real. Satan comes from a place the cool kids like, the “metaphysical realm”.

The you heroine antichrist goes to a woke school. “We’re not racist anymore!” 

Satan is played by Danny DeVito. “I think you’re gonna find that in the show Satan is really a good guy. The guy was deprived of his spawn— who is a girl— but of course, I thought it was gonna be a boy. But the future is female.”

Aubrey Plaza plays the antichrist. “I love that we are normalizing paganism. Laura is a pagan. She’s a witch. She’s jacked.” 

https://www.fxnetworks.com/shows/little-demon

https://www.israel365news.com/274610/new-disney-animated-series-features-satans-daughter-as-the-heroine/

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United States railway workers are threatening to strike? How would this affect us? Supply chain disruptions across the economy could cause up to $2 billion per day. Inflation would likely increase and inflict more pain to an already stressed consumer. Energy, food, transportation, and manufacturing would take direct hits.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/14/economy/railroad-strike-economic-impact/index.html

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China and Russia announce China can pay for Russian gas in rubles and the yuan. Economic consequences ripple around the globe.

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/9/6/china-agrees-to-pay-for-russian-gazprom-gas-in-rubles-and-yuan

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Armenia and Azerbaijan are fighting again. Who supports who is mind-bending and confusing.

There are religious implications. Azerbaijan is viewed as a secular country by the Muslim world. Nearly a quarter of the population identifies itself as Muslim. Of that group, Azerbaijan is mostly a Shia Muslim country.

Armenia is a predominantly Christian nation. As of 2011, 97% of the country identified as Christian and members of the Armenian Apostolic Church (Wikipedia).

The conflict has nations quickly aligning with one of the two nations.

Countries supporting Azerbaijan include: Turkey, Pakistan, and Israel.

Countries supporting Armenia include: Russia, India, and Iran.

https://www.dw.com/en/armenia-announces-cease-fire-agreement-with-azerbaijan/a-63124495

All of this and more on TWIP. Click the YouTube link below for news, analysis, and commentary.

Dollar Inflation? Rising to 20 or 25% Inflation? Is this possible? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on August 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Well, I do not have good news. Dr. Nenner believes Inflation will be with us in the US for a very long time. How is this possible?

There are government restrictions of Resources like food and energy that will cause scarcity and scarcity causes prices to rise. The United States is experiencing policies of restriction. Scarcity Inflation!

There is now a restriction of Credit, higher interest rates and Quantitative Tightening by less purchasing of Mortgage-backed securities. When it costs more, it raises expenses and higher expenses causes higher prices.

With the US dollar heading toward all-time highs, the US is exporting our Inflation. The dollar is now stronger than the Euro. The dollar is gaining strength against currencies around the world. When the US Dollar is high, this causes Inflation, much higher prices, in countries with weaker currencies.

Utility and energy costs are exploding across Europe. Germans are paying 14X more for electricity than they were a year ago. European Businesses are closing across the European Union. Goods are being restricted affecting industrial production and construction.

What happens when, not if, when the US Dollar Cycles down. Will prices react as well? Will prices go up 20%, 30 % or more?

Make plans now!!!

Check out Michael’s latest video and please share with others.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

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Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat.

Are we there yet? No, I don’t believe the seven year tribulation has started.

We know how we get to the beginning of the tribulation: a peace maker, war, hyperinflation, starvation. We are trending and living in inflationary times…

This Week in Prophecy: Russia/Iran/Turkey, Space & Rubles, Energy Inflation

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 14, 2022 by paulthepoke

This Week in Prophecy: 8/14/22

On This Week in Prophecy… Russia and Iran have formed a joint venture to launch an Iranian satellite into space. The goal is monitor the climate in Iran for peaceful purposes. It is not illegal because nobody “owns” space… so they say…

https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2022/08/09/new-cold-war-update-russia-launches-iranian-satellite-n488330

photo: Twitter Space.com

“We agreed on the ruble with Putin.” -Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan. Turkey has agreed to pay for Russian natural gas in rubles.

https://www.dailysabah.com/business/turkey-to-pay-in-rubles-for-russian-gas-as-demand-increases/news

Energy bills are exploding in price across Europe. England is looking at cost caps in an attempt to manage inflation. History tells us this never works…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11094795/Energy-bills-hit-4-400-April.html

A US Congressional delegation landed in Taiwan. How will China will respond?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11110391/US-lawmakers-visiting-Taiwan-12-days-Pelosi-visit.html

Interest rates and inflation are spiraling out of control around the world. Look at what is taking place in Argentina.

For all of this and more analysis and commentary, click on the YouTube link below. Welcome to This Week in Prophecy.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Nowhere to hide! Uh-Oh! Michael Douville & Charles Nenner

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times things which have not been done, saying, “My purpose will be established, and I will accomplish all My good pleasure.”

Isaiah 14:27 For the Lord of hosts has planned, and who can frustrate it? And as for His stretched-out hand, who can turn it back?

Dr. Charles Nenner reviews some major markets including the Goldman-Sachs Commodities, the DBB ETF for Base Metals, the Proprietary graph for Copper, Corn, Wheat, Gold, Silver, and Natural Gas. All showing weakness… there is nowhere to hide.

Rule #1, Don’t Lose Money!

Follow the math and do not listen to the media.

Cash is king. The US Dollar is strong and gaining.

Photo: iStock

Dr. Nenner says a significant recession is coming. The economy is getting weaker. Brace yourself, this may take awhile. Nenner discusses the likelihood of a significant stock market correction. Would you believe a Dow 5,000 target scenario? The average recession costs American’s 40% of their portfolio.

Commodities are rolling over in the short term. Inflation appears to be slowing. But watch out. Eventually, prices are going higher again towards the end of the year.

What does Dr. Nenner’s work say about gold and silver? The BIG bull market is coming, but when? Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to go long and buy. Listen to Dr. Nenner’s commentary and analysis for details.

Interest rates have turned and rates are going up. We are witnessing a significant cycle change according to Nenner’s research.

Wheat prices appear to be on the cusp of turning up again.

Energy prices are discussed in this video. Oil and natural gas are significant considerations to our pocket books.

Dr. Nenner recommended to go into cash around the first of the year 2022. If you had listened to Nenner’s research and recommendations, your retirement account and stocks would have been spared a 20-30% reduction.

Don’t fight the cycles…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information.

DON’T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY… Charles Nenner will be holding a Private Live Webinar where attendees can listen live and ask some questions. Attendance is going to be limited. This amazing opportunity to get a insiders view on the markets is scheduled for August 7th, 2022. Send your request to attend to info@charlesnenner.com. Details will be sent.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Something Evil This Way Comes… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on June 20, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 3:18 She (wisdom) is a tree of life to those who lay hold of her; those who hold her fast are called blessed.

photo: iStock

Michael Douville is making the call for a recession. It is time to prepare. Think through your financial plan.

Inflation is the culprit. Gas prices are out of control and there is no end in sight.

Real Estate continues to increase in price in different parts of the United States. Demand continues for housing. It would appear rental property is a consideration. Home Buyer sentiment is crashing. One size does not fit all.

Some commodities (lumber, copper) are dropping in price.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is beginning to slow.

Jobless claims are beginning to increase. Jobs are starting to go away.

University of Michigan’s consumer index is the lowest in history.

The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates into an economic slow down. Historically, 100% of the time, this leads to a recession.

michael@michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Watchmen: Rolling Stone & End Times, Tigris River Drying, Saudi & Israeli Economic Ties, Food Supplies Tighten, More Inflation, Iran, China & Taiwan, Cultural Changes & Hate Speech

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on June 7, 2022 by paulthepoke

The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world…

First and foremost, my apologies for audio quality, sorry.

In this episode of The Watchmen, The Rolling Stone fulfills Peter’s prophetic words. The Rolling Stone offers their take on Evangelical Christians and current affairs as related to the second coming of Jesus Christ.

2 Peter 3:4 They will say, “Where is the promise of his coming? For ever since the fathers fell asleep, all things are continuing as they were from the beginning of creation.”

The Tigris River and the Mosul Dam are back in the news. Water resources are dwindling in Iraq. Farmers are feeling the affects of drought in the region. Turkey has a system of dams impacting the Tigris River valley. Nahum says ancient Nineveh and the river valley eventually get flushed and flooded.

Nahum 1:8 But with an overwhelming flood He will make an end of Nineveh and pursue His enemies into darkness.

Nahum 2:6-8 The river gates are thrown open and the palace collapses. It is decreed that the city be exiled and carried away; her maidservants moan like doves, and beat upon their breasts. Nineveh has been like a pool of water throughout her days, but now it is draining away. “Stop! Stop!” they cry, but no one turns back.

Saudi Arabia and Israel are talking economic agreement regarding a variety of topics The futuristic city of Neom is a consideration. This is a $500 billion investment!!!

Russia is allegedly targeting Ukraine grain stock piles. Food resources continue to be targeted across the United States. Turkey is experiencing run away inflation of up to 75%. Supply chains continue to be disrupted. The cost of food is going up around the planet. Revelation 6 talks of food hyperinflation and a day’s wage to feed a family.

Things are not exactly rosy inside of Iran. Citizens continue to protest against the government.

China is encroaching on Taiwan. Are we getting closer to another geo political event?

Traditional marriage and hate speech… Western society and culture continue to move further away from Judeo Christian values. Does God really have standards for “traditional” marriage? What does God say about same sex marriage and relationships? See Romans 1. Talk with God about it, He is the messenger.

https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-news/end-times-christians-russia-ukraine-invasion-jesus-return-1317243/

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-10870737/Ruins-3-400-year-old-submerged-city-Iraq-reappear-river-surface-dam-dries-up.html

https://en.globes.co.il/en/article-saudi-arabia-and-israel-preparing-major-diplomatic-meeting-1001413466

https://timesofmalta.com/articles/view/turkey-inflation-hits-highest-rate-since-1998-at-735.959372

https://justthenews.com/world/middle-east/iranian-dissident-weve-lost-all-hope-biden-will-overthrow-regime-or-without-us

https://andmagazine.substack.com/p/is-china-about-to-make-its-move-on?s=r

https://www.yahoo.com/now/hateful-anti-lgbtq-graduation-speech-123809018.html

Charles Nenner; The US Economy Is Heading Into TROUBLE! Interviewed by Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 11, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

With inflation, market volatility, and economic changes occurring in today’s world, Michael Douville had a chance to sit down and visit with one of the world’s foremost cyclical economist and market forecaster, Dr. Charles Nenner.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

photo: Pinterest

May 2022: An Amazing and Candid interview with Charles Nenner. Charles discusses his Dow Jones Weekly chart showing all three of his Cycles that rule the Equity Market. The three cycles are all topping; topping just as they did in 2007. The Cycles are worse than in 2007-2008, the amount of downside in the last 4 months is the worst in 80 years; if this is the beginning, it can be a very bad time. There is a window of opportunity to sell into a bounce that appears to be imminent.

Dr. Nenner recommended to exit the Bond market for the last 2 years. The amount of money lost is tremendous; Q1 2022 was the worst Quarter for Bonds in 157 years. Interest rates are going much higher.

Charles Nenner sees a slight short term topping of Inflation and a near term moderation of Inflation, but sees Inflation for many years very similar as in the 80’s. Inflation will be a big problem moving forward. Natural gas and Crude oil are a big component.

Charles thinks there is nowhere to hide, but Cash is King at the moment. He believes Inflation will continue to be a major problem. European pension funds are in Bonds, many that are below zero. This is very difficult for Pension funds, it is not safe and no return. It will be very difficult for people to retire. It is not good to “Be in it for the long term!”

Dr. Nenner and Michael Douville have a significant discussion on the housing market. Are we in the process of peaking???

The Us Dollar is flirting with the 104 on the DXY, it is possible the US will get very strong and possibly go up to possible the low 120’s.

Looking at the Wheat chart, the prices are heading higher. Food prices are going to get much higher.

Click on the link below for all the economic details with Dr. Nenner’s proprietary charts and analysis.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

This Week in Prophecy: IDF & Gaza, Passover Re enactment, Israeli Gas, Russia & Donbas Region, Shanghai Port, Supply Chain Shock, Sri Lanka Bankrupt

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 18, 2022 by paulthepoke

This Week in Prophecy, April 18th, 2022:

Israel has launched military operations in the Gaza Strip in response to incoming missiles. This follows conflict on the Temple Mount between the Palestinians and Israeli security.

A Passover sacrifice re enactment was completed near the Western Wall outside of the Temple Mount.

The European Union is looking to rid itself of dependence of Russian energy. Israel looks to fill the void and sell natural gas to Europe.

Later, Russia calls out Israel for UN Security Council and General Assembly violations against the Palestinians.

Russia has launched a major military offensive in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine.

Shanghai is under a significant lockdown. Supply chains will be disrupted. This will likely lead to further inflation and shortages of goods.

Sri Lanka announces bankruptcy.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

https://www.israel365news.com/268420/passover-sacrifice-reenactment-takes-place-despite-threats-of-terror/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/us-deeply-concerned-by-jerusalem-violence-urges-care-for-temple-mount-status-quo/

https://www.timesofisrael.com/as-eu-eyes-stopping-russian-fuel-imports-israel-sees-an-opening-for-its-natural-gas

The Watchmen: Joseph’s Tomb, Israel’s Gov’t Fracture, Russia & Ukraine, Turkey Inflation, Lebanon Bankrupt, Shanghai Gridlock, Iran Nuclear Deal, Pakistan PM Out

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Prophecy with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 11, 2022 by paulthepoke

The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world…

In this episode of The Watchmen we look at the destruction of Joseph’s Tomb in Nablus.

Mark 3:24-25 If a kingdom is divided against itself, that kingdom cannot stand. And if a house is divided against itself, that house will not be able to stand.

Revelation 2:9 I know your tribulation and your poverty (but you are rich) and the slander of those who say that they are Jews and are not, but are a synagogue of Satan.

Israel’s fractured coalition government is splintering. Coalition whip Idit Silman from Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s Yamina party announced she was joining the opposition led by Benjamin Netanyahu, allegedly.

Waves of terror from the Palestinians continue across Israel during the Islamic holy month of Ramadan. The Mosaic Law’s Spring Feast of Passover is set for later this week. Civil tension is growing.

Listen to the latest from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Check out up to date situational maps from the region.

The ripple effects from the war are having economic implications. Turkey is experiencing historic inflation. Lebanon has declared bankruptcy.

China has locked down 25,000,000 in Shanghai due to a COVID 19 variant. People are starving. Supply chain disruptions are occurring in the world’s largest logistical port.

The chatter around the Iran Nuclear deal continues. What does the arrest of 2 men in Washington have to do with this? Where did they come from? Visas trace their activity back to Iran and Pakistan.

The Prime Minister of Pakistan, Imran Khan, has received a vote of no confidence and has been ousted from power. Who is behind this? People are taking to the streets across Pakistan by the thousands protesting. Pakistan is home to the largest Shia population outside of Iran. Something smells fishy…

All of this and more from the Watchmen. Click on the link below for content and analysis.

https://www.axios.com/israeli-government-coalition-collapse-21df1f2e-3f52-4369-b426-31d9a995d2bc.html

https://www.timesofisrael.com/amid-terror-wave-man-shot-dead-after-snatching-soldiers-weapon-near-ashkelon/

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/04/turkey-inflation-hits-61-fallout-ukraine-war-continues

https://www.raillynews.com/2022/04/lebanon-central-bank-declares-bankruptcy/

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220410-iran-says-us-imposing-new-conditions-in-nuclear-talks

https://andmagazine.substack.com/p/something-more-than-just-con-men

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-61047736

https://www.dawn.com/news/1684269/absolutely-no-truth-in-claims-of-involvement-us

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