Archive for economy

No Confusion, A Severe Recession is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

The “Seasonally Adjusted” employment numbers came in higher than expected. This will virtually guarantee another Fed Rate Hike into an already struggling Economy. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing. Job openings are decreasing.

Chicago PMI is below 50 to 45 indicating contraction. Orders for manufacturing are slower. Dr. Copper is dropping indicating a recession is coming. People are taking on more consumer debt with credit cards.

European inflation is over 10%. The cost of energy continues to increase. The Euro is under pressure and declining in value.

In a previous video, I mentioned hiking into a declining economy has always resulted in a Recession. If the Fed hiked in September, I expected a Severe Recession; further hikes will result in further deterioration of the Economy into something that may be much worse that a Severe Recession!!!!

Mortgage applications are at a 25-year low and in Phoenix, there are already rumors of staff cuts at local lenders. Get ready for a phenomenal buying opportunity; not yet but coming.

Dr. Charles Nenner believes there will be a bounce in the Equity and Bond Markets too. He looks to late October into November for the bounce. Be nimble and quick, it is just a bounce in the markets.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Federal Reserve has it all under control (sarcasm).

Inflation will no longer be a concern in the coming months. Is inflation peaking? Food, energy, and housing inflation continues to rise.

Your Job is going to be your concern. The Federal Reserve is using the Strategy of Demand Destruction to control Inflation. They know that Severe Recessions KILL Inflation. It also kills jobs, and Businesses, investments, futures…

Real wages are decreasing. People have less money.

More Interest rate hikes are likely to come. Pay off your debts. The cost of money is going up.

It may be awhile. At some point, opportunity is coming. Be prepared and ready!

Nowhere to hide! Uh-Oh! Michael Douville & Charles Nenner

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times things which have not been done, saying, “My purpose will be established, and I will accomplish all My good pleasure.”

Isaiah 14:27 For the Lord of hosts has planned, and who can frustrate it? And as for His stretched-out hand, who can turn it back?

Dr. Charles Nenner reviews some major markets including the Goldman-Sachs Commodities, the DBB ETF for Base Metals, the Proprietary graph for Copper, Corn, Wheat, Gold, Silver, and Natural Gas. All showing weakness… there is nowhere to hide.

Rule #1, Don’t Lose Money!

Follow the math and do not listen to the media.

Cash is king. The US Dollar is strong and gaining.

Photo: iStock

Dr. Nenner says a significant recession is coming. The economy is getting weaker. Brace yourself, this may take awhile. Nenner discusses the likelihood of a significant stock market correction. Would you believe a Dow 5,000 target scenario? The average recession costs American’s 40% of their portfolio.

Commodities are rolling over in the short term. Inflation appears to be slowing. But watch out. Eventually, prices are going higher again towards the end of the year.

What does Dr. Nenner’s work say about gold and silver? The BIG bull market is coming, but when? Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to go long and buy. Listen to Dr. Nenner’s commentary and analysis for details.

Interest rates have turned and rates are going up. We are witnessing a significant cycle change according to Nenner’s research.

Wheat prices appear to be on the cusp of turning up again.

Energy prices are discussed in this video. Oil and natural gas are significant considerations to our pocket books.

Dr. Nenner recommended to go into cash around the first of the year 2022. If you had listened to Nenner’s research and recommendations, your retirement account and stocks would have been spared a 20-30% reduction.

Don’t fight the cycles…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information.

DON’T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY… Charles Nenner will be holding a Private Live Webinar where attendees can listen live and ask some questions. Attendance is going to be limited. This amazing opportunity to get a insiders view on the markets is scheduled for August 7th, 2022. Send your request to attend to info@charlesnenner.com. Details will be sent.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Michael Douville’s 2022 Economic Preview

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on January 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Ecclesiastes 7:19 Wisdom makes the wise man stronger than ten rulers in a city.

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

We have been talking about Inflation and Retirement for a couple of years and it’s here now! Inflation is here. It will cause Economic and Social Turmoil; watch Turkey!

If you are retired this is a crisis for you. If you do not think Inflation can happen here, think again! How is Inflation going to affect you! November Durable Goods, a component of the CPI went up 14.9%. You are going to get run over!!!!!

You need an investment that changes with the Economy and can increase the revenue with Inflation. Single Family Rentals are one of the best Inflation Hedges we can buy! In 1975, the last time the Durable goods were that high, it ushered in 6 years of double-digit Home Prices. It was not just Houses; EVERYTHING went up!

What is going to happen if the dollar goes down in strength? Look at what is happening in Turkey with a devalued currency. The Lira continues to crash. EVERYTHING goes up!

Click on the link below for the first of two videos by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

What are housing prices going to do in 2022? Michael says prices will continue to go higher, much higher! There is a national housing shortage. Builders cannot keep up. Michael discusses factors why prices will continue to move to the upside. Economic graphs and data are provided.

Michael reviews where we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle. The explosive phase of prices is approaching.

Dr. Charles Nenner provides economic charts and analysis for real estate.

Click on the second of two videos below by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

State of the Economy, June 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on June 5, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

The Economy, Inflation and Real Estate Investing. In this video Michael looks at the state of the economy, the rebound and where things are heading. He analyzes the importance of holding real estate as a hedge against inflation.

Michael reviews first quarter growth in the economy. Growth was revised to 6.4%. Michael is calling for possible double digit growth in the second quarter of 2021.

Quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations on Wall Street.

Consumer confidence is high. There are shortages in all areas of the economy for durable goods and supplies. Computer chips are in short supply. Automobile manufacturing has been affected. Demand is up!

Inflation continues. Michael says this is not transitory. He is looking for an inflation cycle and this is not ending any time soon. Michael reviews commodity charts and provides analysis across the commodity complex. Protect your purchasing power.

Real estate prices are going up. Will this be the greatest historical bull market in housing? Michael expects prices to over shoot to the upside.

All of this and more in the video below. Wall street caliber economic information and analysis.

Michael’s Website: https://michaeldouville.com

Michael talks about his recent book which was written to guide the beginner investor.

Buy Michael’s Books Here: Amazon Links:

https://amzn.to/3ia7AYL Real Estate Investing for Beginners Creating Generational Wealth

https://amzn.to/3ySXtNR How To Create A Real Estate Money Machine and Retire With Income

Don’t forget to subscribe for more content: If you are new to this channel, Welcome. This channel is about real estate investing and how to do it successfully. By subscribing you will be getting the most current market information which will help you make the best decisions for you.

Economy Is Booming!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , on April 27, 2021 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 9:9 Instruct a wise man, and he will be wiser still; teach a righteous man, and he will increase his learning.

Proverbs 14:6 A scoffer seeks wisdom and finds none, but knowledge is easy for one who has understanding.

Check out the latest update provided by Michael Douville, our go to guy on all things economic.

The 1st and 2nd Quarters of 2021 are proving the forecast is correct. Manufacturing, the Industrials, the Service Sector, and Housing are TERRIFIC.

Wallpaper Access

In this video, Michael provides numbers and analysis on the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data. Manufacturing is exploding. There is a shortage of supplies, materials, and products. Will we have 6-10% growth in the 2nd Quarter of 2021?

IHS Markit data on United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is reviewed with charts provided.

Michael also assesses Real Estate home sales across the United States. He reviews where we are in the 18 Year Real Estate Cycle. Be a full cycle investor and pay attention to the times and where we are in the cycle.

Click on the YouTube link below for Michael’s latest update.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise person will hear and increase in learning, And a person of understanding will acquire wise counsel…

Check out Michael Douville’s latest book. Now available on Amazon.

Real Estate Investing For Beginners Creating Generational Wealth

Click on the Amazon link below for details.

Dr. Charles Nenner, Caution in the Stock Market

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 13, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

April 6, 2021: It has been six months and Dr. Charles Nenner is back.

Dr. Nenner takes time to explain his proprietary research and charts with Michael Douville. Actual research charts explained with commentary. When Charles Nenner speaks, it usually pays to listen!

Dr. Nenner and Michael take a deep dive and go with an in depth interview to discuss his charts of Gold, the Dow, Bonds, and Volatility.

The Charles Nenner Research Center provides independent market timing research to clients around the world, including hedge funds, banks, brokerage firms, family offices, governments and individuals.

Charles Nenner also offers 4 weeks free trial offer for his research: www.Charlesnenner.com

To contact Michael Douville: michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael represents Real Estate Investors and specializes in conservative Passive Income.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners.jpg

Improving Economy and Big Time Government Spending… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on March 10, 2021 by paulthepoke

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) points to an Improving Economy. The Economy is recovering. How long will it be before Inflation and Higher Rates start in earnest? Inflation reduces purchasing power.

Rising rates will cause Bond Risk. Is it time to Refinance? Rising rates threaten Bond holders. Is it time to lock in loans?

Check out Michael’s assessment on the economy. Click on the video below.

michael@michaeldouville.com

~

The price of food is going up around the globe. Food prices have increased for the ninth consecutive month. The cost of eating is as high as it has been since 2014. Grain prices have shot up 25% in the last year.

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-consumer-prices-jump-fastest-pace-7-months-february

Today, Congress approved a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan for the United States. President Biden plans on signing the bill into law on Friday, March 12, 2021. Direct payments to the people along with emergency unemployment payments are part of the plan. For those who are interested where the money is going, click on the link below.

https://apnews.com/article/what-is-inside-covid-19-bill-relief-package-52fa93ac75d38eae4cd3dbb6402e7eba

Wait! President Biden is not finished. On Thursday night, March 11, 2021, the President is looking to do more with “The Next Phase”. Here comes a massive infrastructure plan. And after that, the Biden Administration is looking to rid the planet of cancer.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/here-come-trillions-more-biden-will-unveil-next-phase-covid-response-thursday

Crank up the printing press. More money! more money! more money!

And remember, Revelation 6 is promised. The Bible says hyperinflation is coming at some point in the future. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. We are not there yet. But, the pace of food inflation is increasing.

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners.jpg

Inflation Is Coming… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on February 8, 2021 by paulthepoke

For those who are new to the site, one of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. At http://Paulthepoke.com we are watching economic conditions, specifically trends regarding inflation.

white android tablet turned on displaying a graph
Photo by Burak K on Pexels.com

Michael Douville sees inflation coming into the economy. In fact, inflation is just now entering the Economy; it is probably going to get worse. Commodities are increasing in price from lumber to copper to steel. The value of the dollar is likely headed lower impacting purchasing power.

Click on the YouTube link below for Michael’s comments.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell has publicly stated he does not mind if “inflation runs a little hot”.

Here are some quotes from Chairman Powell.

“When the time comes to raise interest rates, we’ll certainly do that, and that time, by the way, is no time soon. If inflation were to move up in ways that are unwelcome, we have the tools for that, and we will use them. No one should doubt that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/14/powell-sees-no-interest-rate-hikes-on-the-horizon-as-long-as-inflation-stays-low.html

Everyone relax, the Federal Reserve has this under control…

%d bloggers like this: