Archive for real estate

Economic Turmoil is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on June 8, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

You will experience this only three times in your lifetime.

A recession is coming and has likely started. The “everything bubble” is beginning to pop. Third quarter is looking like it could be rough. Get ready, it is coming quickly.

What can you do to capitalize? Talk with your financial adviser.

Cash will be king! Liquidity is coming out of the system.

Housing sales are dropping! You will have the opportunity to buy homes at discounts not available since the Great Financial Crisis where we were buying homes below cost. It will be scary, you will not want to invest, but I will tell you when the time is right and Generational Wealth will be available.

I need your help to reach 1000 subscribers. if you like the content, please give a thumbs up and subscribe.

In the meantime, the direction of the Real Estate market is Down, similar to 2006. A Recession is imminent, possible a severe recession. Will a waterfall event happen?

Commercial Real Estate looks like it is going to take a beating. Office space is empty in major metropolitans.

Those who have investments in the Endangered Cities might consider speaking to their brokers; should you decide to keep your properties, the hold will be probably at least 5 years. You will do better in Florida, Texas, or Arizona, particularly here in Phoenix.

Prices in commodities are coming down.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

50% Potential Loss to the Great Triumvirate: Stocks, Bonds, and Real Estate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 30, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Proverbs 22:16 Whoever oppresses the poor to increase his own wealth, or gives to the rich, will only come to poverty.

Michael Douville took the time to talk with President of Pento Portfolio Strategies, Michael Pento.

For those who are interested in a deep discussion about bonds, debt, and lending. How will this affect real estate, bonds, and stocks? Click on the YouTube video link below.

Michael Pento lays out the Risk in the Equity Market, the Bond Market, and the Real Estate Market: The “Great Triumvirate”.

Pento and Douville see trouble coming in the real estate market. Is the bubble popping?

Commercial real estate properties are increasing with vacancies in major cities across the United States.

The Federal Reserve is shrinking the money supply. Liquidity is drying up globally.

Michael Pento discusses the explosion of Debt and its relationship to the Gross Domestic Product, GDP. Debt is 263% of GDP!

Investors might limit their exposure to “High Beta” Stocks. Avoid technology stocks.

Pento likes short term government treasuries (3 years of less), gold, and utilities.

Interest rates have never been raised this quickly and this high. The yield curve is inverted.

How will the banking industry be affected? Personal Bank Accounts should be kept to under the FDIC approved $250,000 limit. A few months of Cash liquidity kept at home would be prudent.

Michael Pento outlines the Financial Risk coming. Pento sees a deep recession coming. The conversation flows swiftly with great and valuable content.

Michael Pento, President and Founder Pento Portfolio Strategies

www.pentoport.com

~

Check out Michael Douville’s latest take on the real estate market and the economy.

Fortunes will be LOST! Fortunes will be MADE. Timing is Everything. Our timing model is showing that the Real Estate Market will be showing evidence of the slowdown by the end of the 2nd quarter or maybe early 3rd Quarter of 2023.

Prices could decline in Out-Migration States by much more than Florida, Texas, or Arizona. Could prices decline over 30%? My Timing Model forecasts that possibility.

Pending home sales are slowing and Builders are selling like crazy as they attempt to liquidate their properties. They are scared to death and will make deals.

By buying rates down and making concessions, builders are going to have trouble with their lenders.

The Real Estate market has probably peaked and the 2nd and final Peak is forming now!

A recession is coming with a likely hard landing. The recession has likely started.

Michael discusses cities at risk across America due to crime, poor management and leadership. Large, corporate businesses are leaving major metropolitans. Tax bases and revenues are decreasing in these cities.

Pensions are losing their value in Europe due to negative interest rate bonds.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Market Overview with Michael Douville & Dr. Charles Nenner, December 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Charles Nenner and Michael Douville discuss the results of Nenner Research.

Bitcoin is discussed and how regular the cycles are clearly delineating the top and bottom creating excellent trading opportunities. Charles’ forecasts are reviewed as well as over 200% in Crypto gains versus an asset loss of 82%.

Bonds are indicating lower rates for a a short time which gives an opportunity to sell property, or refinance.

Charles also is predicting a very difficult economy with social upheaval and geo-political problems.

Time got away from us! This is a little longer than usual, but full of very good and timely information.

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Now would be a good time to listen!

Watch the latest interview of Charles Nenner with Michael Douville where they discuss:

1️⃣S&P

2️⃣Problems in the economy

3️⃣Recession, Inflation & Bear Market

4️⃣Gold & Silver

5️⃣Commodity index going down

6️⃣Bonds, Fed Funds & 10-year Treasury

7️⃣Bitcoin & Crypto Currencies

8️⃣Lumber, Lennar & Copper

9️⃣Crude oil is down until the end of the month

🔟Dollar cycle, War Cycle & Social unrest.

📌Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 🚀Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

WARNING!!! MARKET DANGER!!! Charles Nenner & Michael Douville, October 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Markets could be about to get really serious…

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

So, when Charles Nenner forecasts something, it is in your best interest to listen!!

As you may know, I have interviewed Dr. Charles Nenner for many years. What you may not know is that Charles Nenner advised President Bush Sr. and was an investment analyst for the proprietary trading division of Goldman Sachs.

Further, he forecast to the day the 1987 Crash and the peak of the 2007 Stock Market in December 2007. He and I spoke just prior to the Covid-19 Crash, no one knew it was coming, where he predicted the mass unemployment, crashing GDP, and forecast the huge Oil decline.

A Special Interview with Charles Nenner. The 2022 Stock Market is mimicking the 1929 Stock Market which may indicate that October 21, 2022, may be a very dangerous time frame for many asset classes. If it is a repeat of 1929, then the trading days around October 21, 2022 could be very, very volatile… plus or minus a couple of days from October 21, 2022. Time to take actions!

Charles further forecasts the Fed Rate appears to indicate NO RELIEF for interest rates.

Current stock market charts in 2022 are mimicking the market crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Are markets are on the verge of repeating history?

Nenner has concerns of a market crash within the next week to 10 days. Are we about to witness a market crash? Extreme caution is warranted.

Asset classes (tech stocks, gold, and real estate) are lining up and they all suggest the same thing. Volatile trouble is coming…

~

The following comments below are from Dr. Nenner.

We still do not recommend being long any of the equity markets.

We are still not interested in being long gold or silver assets due to negative weekly cycles.

We recommend standing aside cryptocurrencies because cycles are down.

We have leaders in the world in all kinds of countries who have no idea about anything, especially about economics.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Something Evil This Way Comes… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on June 20, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 3:18 She (wisdom) is a tree of life to those who lay hold of her; those who hold her fast are called blessed.

photo: iStock

Michael Douville is making the call for a recession. It is time to prepare. Think through your financial plan.

Inflation is the culprit. Gas prices are out of control and there is no end in sight.

Real Estate continues to increase in price in different parts of the United States. Demand continues for housing. It would appear rental property is a consideration. Home Buyer sentiment is crashing. One size does not fit all.

Some commodities (lumber, copper) are dropping in price.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is beginning to slow.

Jobless claims are beginning to increase. Jobs are starting to go away.

University of Michigan’s consumer index is the lowest in history.

The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates into an economic slow down. Historically, 100% of the time, this leads to a recession.

michael@michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Michael Douville’s 2022 Economic Preview

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on January 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Ecclesiastes 7:19 Wisdom makes the wise man stronger than ten rulers in a city.

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

We have been talking about Inflation and Retirement for a couple of years and it’s here now! Inflation is here. It will cause Economic and Social Turmoil; watch Turkey!

If you are retired this is a crisis for you. If you do not think Inflation can happen here, think again! How is Inflation going to affect you! November Durable Goods, a component of the CPI went up 14.9%. You are going to get run over!!!!!

You need an investment that changes with the Economy and can increase the revenue with Inflation. Single Family Rentals are one of the best Inflation Hedges we can buy! In 1975, the last time the Durable goods were that high, it ushered in 6 years of double-digit Home Prices. It was not just Houses; EVERYTHING went up!

What is going to happen if the dollar goes down in strength? Look at what is happening in Turkey with a devalued currency. The Lira continues to crash. EVERYTHING goes up!

Click on the link below for the first of two videos by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

What are housing prices going to do in 2022? Michael says prices will continue to go higher, much higher! There is a national housing shortage. Builders cannot keep up. Michael discusses factors why prices will continue to move to the upside. Economic graphs and data are provided.

Michael reviews where we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle. The explosive phase of prices is approaching.

Dr. Charles Nenner provides economic charts and analysis for real estate.

Click on the second of two videos below by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Dr. Charles Nenner, Out of Stocks, December 2021

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 30, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Dr. Charles Nenner is considered one of the Top Cycle researchers in the World. A former Goldman Sachs researcher, he is often interviewed on CNBC, Bloomberg, and MarketWatch.

If Dr. Nenner is talking, you should listen. Well… Michael Douville recently sat down with Dr. Charles Nenner to get his thoughts on the markets.

This is an in depth interview with Charles Nenner discussing Charles Nenner’s proprietary charts of the Dow, S&P, FANGS, and the Retail Chart.

Charles Nenner is out of the Stock Market, but other asset classes offer opportunity.

In addition, Dr. Nenner discusses the Bond Market with a forecast for declining interest rates.

The Gold market is soon poised for a multi-year upward trend; the Gold market has not yet bottomed, but is getting closer. Dividends from Gold mining stocks supplement income streams while waiting for the uptrend to begin.

Toll Brothers as a proxy for Real Estate is still in an uptrend until 2023.

Click on the video below for in depth market analysis.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Nenner says market volatility is coming. So… don’t listen to the media. The media is conflicted.

“Why” is the wrong question. “Why” has already happened.

“When” and “What” are more important. They tell you what is coming.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Inflation Pressure and Demographic Pressure!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on November 16, 2021 by paulthepoke

INFLATION!!!

Here is the latest from Michael Douville. Michael is call for home prices to continue to increase across the country per his cyclical timing model. The 18 Year Real Estate Cycle is reviewed. Michael points out where we are in the model. How much longer will prices continue to rise?

The mainstream press reports of “transitory” inflation. Or are we witnessing a full blown inflation cycle. Michael thinks inflation is here to stay for awhile. But for how long?

Inflation is occurring around the globe. Producers like China and Japan have inflation that is greater than our consuming inflation here in the United States. What does this mean for future prices here in the United States?

Inflation is showing no signs of slowing. Inflation is broad based across all sectors of the economy. We are currently on track for the highest inflation in 50 years dating back to the 1970’s. The majority of the population has never experienced this level of inflation.

What role does Demographics play in this scenario? Millennials (born from 1982-2000) are moving out of their parent’s basements. This is the largest segment of the United States population.

Millennials are starting to rent apartments and houses. Rent continues to increase year over year.

Millennials are getting married and families are developing. They will need to buy goods. And they will need to buy houses.

Home inventories across the country are the lowest in decades. There is a shortage of homes to buy. Building and construction pressures are mounting. Lenders are beginning to relax borrowing standards.

Click on the video below to get the details from Michael.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. John the Revelator promises that hyperinflation is coming at some point prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Hyperinflation is on the scene prior to the onset of the Great Tribulation. Are we watching the dominoes being put into place??? Are we witnessing the seeds of hyperinflation? Be on guard and watch!

We are living in interesting times as the Chinese would say…

michael@michaeldouville.com

%d bloggers like this: