Archive for real estate

Something Evil This Way Comes… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on June 20, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 3:18 She (wisdom) is a tree of life to those who lay hold of her; those who hold her fast are called blessed.

photo: iStock

Michael Douville is making the call for a recession. It is time to prepare. Think through your financial plan.

Inflation is the culprit. Gas prices are out of control and there is no end in sight.

Real Estate continues to increase in price in different parts of the United States. Demand continues for housing. It would appear rental property is a consideration. Home Buyer sentiment is crashing. One size does not fit all.

Some commodities (lumber, copper) are dropping in price.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is beginning to slow.

Jobless claims are beginning to increase. Jobs are starting to go away.

University of Michigan’s consumer index is the lowest in history.

The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates into an economic slow down. Historically, 100% of the time, this leads to a recession.

michael@michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Michael Douville’s 2022 Economic Preview

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on January 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Ecclesiastes 7:19 Wisdom makes the wise man stronger than ten rulers in a city.

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

We have been talking about Inflation and Retirement for a couple of years and it’s here now! Inflation is here. It will cause Economic and Social Turmoil; watch Turkey!

If you are retired this is a crisis for you. If you do not think Inflation can happen here, think again! How is Inflation going to affect you! November Durable Goods, a component of the CPI went up 14.9%. You are going to get run over!!!!!

You need an investment that changes with the Economy and can increase the revenue with Inflation. Single Family Rentals are one of the best Inflation Hedges we can buy! In 1975, the last time the Durable goods were that high, it ushered in 6 years of double-digit Home Prices. It was not just Houses; EVERYTHING went up!

What is going to happen if the dollar goes down in strength? Look at what is happening in Turkey with a devalued currency. The Lira continues to crash. EVERYTHING goes up!

Click on the link below for the first of two videos by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

What are housing prices going to do in 2022? Michael says prices will continue to go higher, much higher! There is a national housing shortage. Builders cannot keep up. Michael discusses factors why prices will continue to move to the upside. Economic graphs and data are provided.

Michael reviews where we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle. The explosive phase of prices is approaching.

Dr. Charles Nenner provides economic charts and analysis for real estate.

Click on the second of two videos below by Michael.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Dr. Charles Nenner, Out of Stocks, December 2021

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 30, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Dr. Charles Nenner is considered one of the Top Cycle researchers in the World. A former Goldman Sachs researcher, he is often interviewed on CNBC, Bloomberg, and MarketWatch.

If Dr. Nenner is talking, you should listen. Well… Michael Douville recently sat down with Dr. Charles Nenner to get his thoughts on the markets.

This is an in depth interview with Charles Nenner discussing Charles Nenner’s proprietary charts of the Dow, S&P, FANGS, and the Retail Chart.

Charles Nenner is out of the Stock Market, but other asset classes offer opportunity.

In addition, Dr. Nenner discusses the Bond Market with a forecast for declining interest rates.

The Gold market is soon poised for a multi-year upward trend; the Gold market has not yet bottomed, but is getting closer. Dividends from Gold mining stocks supplement income streams while waiting for the uptrend to begin.

Toll Brothers as a proxy for Real Estate is still in an uptrend until 2023.

Click on the video below for in depth market analysis.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Nenner says market volatility is coming. So… don’t listen to the media. The media is conflicted.

“Why” is the wrong question. “Why” has already happened.

“When” and “What” are more important. They tell you what is coming.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Inflation Pressure and Demographic Pressure!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on November 16, 2021 by paulthepoke

INFLATION!!!

Here is the latest from Michael Douville. Michael is call for home prices to continue to increase across the country per his cyclical timing model. The 18 Year Real Estate Cycle is reviewed. Michael points out where we are in the model. How much longer will prices continue to rise?

The mainstream press reports of “transitory” inflation. Or are we witnessing a full blown inflation cycle. Michael thinks inflation is here to stay for awhile. But for how long?

Inflation is occurring around the globe. Producers like China and Japan have inflation that is greater than our consuming inflation here in the United States. What does this mean for future prices here in the United States?

Inflation is showing no signs of slowing. Inflation is broad based across all sectors of the economy. We are currently on track for the highest inflation in 50 years dating back to the 1970’s. The majority of the population has never experienced this level of inflation.

What role does Demographics play in this scenario? Millennials (born from 1982-2000) are moving out of their parent’s basements. This is the largest segment of the United States population.

Millennials are starting to rent apartments and houses. Rent continues to increase year over year.

Millennials are getting married and families are developing. They will need to buy goods. And they will need to buy houses.

Home inventories across the country are the lowest in decades. There is a shortage of homes to buy. Building and construction pressures are mounting. Lenders are beginning to relax borrowing standards.

Click on the video below to get the details from Michael.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. John the Revelator promises that hyperinflation is coming at some point prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Hyperinflation is on the scene prior to the onset of the Great Tribulation. Are we watching the dominoes being put into place??? Are we witnessing the seeds of hyperinflation? Be on guard and watch!

We are living in interesting times as the Chinese would say…

michael@michaeldouville.com

China’s Evergrande & Inflation Continues… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , on September 30, 2021 by paulthepoke

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

China has 65 million vacant housing units. Will this affect us? How will this affect the global economy?

Check out Michael’s comments on the situation in China and their faltering real estate company, Evergrande. They have missed debt payments for two weeks now. China state backed firms are being asked to buy Evergrande assets. This company is five times the size of Lehman Brothers. Remember 2008???

China is also having significant issues with their power grid. Coal is in short supply. Factories are shutting down across the country.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Inflation is driving the price of housing higher. The Phoenix housing market is up 33% in the last year alone. Prices around the United States are increasing as well. Michael says prices will go higher. How high will prices go?

The government continues to pump more money into the market. The government promises to pump even more money in the market! Commodity prices continue to go up. The end result is more inflation and prices go higher across the board.

Have a plan! Talk to your financial adviser!

To be involved, to ask any questions, for us to help acquire a few rentals for you in Phoenix: 

michael@michaeldouville.com

Economic Report for Q2, Economy Slowing, Inflation Rising… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , on July 6, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Our go to guy for all things economic, Michael Douville has two reports in this update. First, Douville recaps economic growth for the second quarter of the year. Second, Michael offers his thoughts on economic growth for the second half of the year and discusses the likelihood of continued inflation.

Better than Goldman Sach’s Forecast! The Economy is Exploding and with it comes Demand!! Watch for RISING PRICES across all asset classes except Bonds!

The G7 got together to spend money they don’t have; they are going to monetize the debt through inflation.

Manufacturing is doing very well, Industrials are doing very well, IT is doing very well, Construction is doing very well, and Real Estate is doing incredibly well.

Money Supply is at a Historic level; a Money Supply spike of $Trillion and Trillions of dollars looking for a place to get a return on investment! The Money Supply is getting used and and there is the beginning of Monetary Inflation. Money supply is being used as shown by a GDP that should print over 10% which will cause money to be used and Inflation begin.

Global Inflation! It is Global in Nature! You need to protect your purchasing power and a single family home is the greatest Inflation Hedge the average person can have! In the great markets of Florida, Texas, and Arizona are great places to invest. In Arizona, home prices are going up 3% a month. Transactions should start to slow; just a return to Normal! However, prices do appear to continue rising. Go buy a house, help your kids, your grandkids, and if you are a Baby Boomer, go buy just 2 rentals and it will change your life.

Click below for Michael’s Q2 Review

http://www.michaeldouville.com

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It looks like the Economy is starting to slowdown just a bit. It has been on a Historic, unsustainable tear for months. The pace is unsustainable.

The ISM and Markit Indexes are dropping to a more normal level. The 2nd Quarter will not reach double digit, but 8.5 to 8.5% GDP is incredible and it is slowing to NORMAL.

There is still a backlog of business orders which means Manufacturing, Industrials, IT, Finance, Constructions and Real Estate is doing incredibly well; just slowing to Normal.

However, Inflation appears to be continuing it’s acceleration. It may be: “Transitory Hyper-Inflation”. Maybe for a 4 year period.

You must own Real Estate to protect your purchasing power and to participate in the rise of real assets.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Inflation In the Headlines! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , on May 17, 2021 by paulthepoke

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat. We should pay attention. And inflation is in the headlines. We are trending and living in inflationary times.

Wall Street Banks like Goldman Sachs are calling for inflation.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-warns-substantial-surge-home-prices-expects-bigger-housing-bubble-2007

marketing businessman person hands
Photo by Anna Nekrashevich on Pexels.com

Inflation in Commodities has risen 73%, Lumber futures have risen 400%, Steel has risen 216%. However, homes have risen 11.2%… prices could go much, much higher.

Do not be priced out of the market. Particularly for Baby Boomers: protect your purchasing power! Protect yourself against inflation! Go buy a House right now!!!

Don’t forget about the cost of food. Soft commodity prices are on the rise as well. Prices at the wholesale level are taking up and off.

Are we on the verge of an inflation cycle??? We are living in the times of a historic money supply. The velocity of money is increasing. Money has to go some where in the economy. Governments around the planet are printing money as well.

Michael reviews the real estate cycle. Where are we in the cycle? Check out Michael’s financial update below.

Economic Update, December 2020, Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on December 3, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

What a year! Tremendous volatility has been observed in the Equity market. Interest rates have been stable, but may have bottomed. Demographic trends still favor Florida, Texas, and Arizona.

What is the status of the United States economy? How will a potential lock down affect markets? Michael looks for interest rates to start going up. So, listen to Michael Douville as he breaks down the markets and discusses the economy.

For more Information, to “Brainstorm”, or be involved: Michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

One of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. Michael Douville is our go to expert on all things economic. Douville is connected with the brightest economic minds in the industry.

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

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