Archive for savings

Time to Assess Vulnerabilities, Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , on October 22, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven:

Ecclesiastes 3:3b a time to break down, and a time to build up…

ice berg douville

https://michaeldouville.com

The decision to retire is a Financial Decision, not an Age Requirement! Once Financial Freedom is achieved, one’s Life’s Savings, Nest Egg, Capital Stack must be preserved. A simple recognition of Risk demands action!


Everyone is always amazed at how quickly the Stock Market can drop! The Stock Market declined 1300 points in 7 days! Oct 3, the Dow recorded a nominal new high; in a video, I suggested that would be an outstanding time to take profits. The adage “you cannot go broke taking a profit” certainly applies. More than profits, take at least half out of Harm’s Way and reduce Risk and Exposure. Back in February, when the Stock Market dropped 3000 points in just a few weeks and then stabilized, many analysis suggested the Market would recover to record a new high.

Indeed, there was a gap on the S&P near 2830 which further suggested a return to the old highs.

The market did recover and did make a nominal new high; perhaps a “Double Top? Only for a day! After 1300 points, the question now is will the Stock Market recover and again make another nominal new high or is the Top for this Cycle already achieved? The answer should not matter; as a baby Boomer, can we really take the chance? Can we assume the Risk?

The decision to retire is a Financial Decision, not an Age Requirement! Once Financial Freedom is achieved, one’s Life’s Savings, Nest Egg, Capital Stack must be preserved. A simple recognition of Risk demands action! An assessment of Vulnerabilities should be conducted with your Financial Professional for your protection. By all measures, the current Stock Market has provided the participants with excellent returns; however, many metrics point to a vulnerable market. Although the current market may go considerably higher, there comes a time when Prudence demands thought; how much downside can be tolerated? There is Historic Margin debt financing the portfolios; leverage accentuates gains and creates tremendous profits in a Rising Market.

A Declining Market creates “Air Pocket” plunges as margin Calls produce stock liquidations usually at precarious moments accelerating the downside. At 65, 69, or 72 years of age and beyond, there is no time to recover losses. There is no “Long Run” left! Should a portfolio experience a 39.6% decline which represents the losses incurred in a typical cycle completion, how would your Life be affected? The market may be Vulnerable, are YOU?

There are times to be Aggressive; now is not one of them. Consider reducing exposure to Risk and increasing the Cash Flow component of your Wealth Portfolio.  Risk cannot be totally eliminated, but can be drastically reduced.  The recognition of change is a great advantage; there will be another Bull Market, it will just change asset classes. Consider accumulating very conservative rental properties in the entry level price range. Typically, there are very good opportunities close to everyone’s home. There are several strong growth markets across America that may provide conservative, consistent, cash flow for many years that may prove to be a “Lifeboat” for your Family and your Future.

https://michaeldouville.com

 

Do You Have a Plan B?…Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville with tags , , , , on January 29, 2018 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 6:6-8 Go to the ant, O sluggard; consider her ways, and be wise. Without having any chief, officer, or ruler, she prepares her bread in summer and gathers her food in harvest.

Check out Michael Douville as he discusses preparing for a rainy day…

 

Money Troubles Breed Very Bad Judgment…Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on December 26, 2017 by paulthepoke

1 Timothy 6:10 For the love of money is a root of all kinds of evil, for which some have strayed from the faith in their greediness, and pierced themselves through with many sorrows.

My Grandfather lived on a Farm in Minnesota. He grew his own vegetables and a raised a few chickens. He had a very limited Income, but had all of the money he needed. My Grandfather owned his Farm, did not have a credit card, nor a HELOC (Home Equity Line of Credit), nor a Margin Account; he was an extremely Happy Man!

moneytroubles

Do you find that you can’t sleep at night? Are you always on edge? Arguing with your spouse and yelling at the kids? Are you drinking more than you should, but need the alcohol to “take the edge off”. Financial stress is generally the root cause of Marital Discord, Child Abuse, Alcoholism, Drug Abuse, and Workplace Strife and Violence. Debt is the cause; the opium pervasive in our society. Credit can be a very useful tool to enhance and build Wealth; it can also destroy Families.

Debt is insidious and pervasive; there is enormous temptation to indulge today and book that lavish vacation or lease that expensive car to feel important and look successful. After all, you only pay and pay and pay for months or years. You can have all these things and more; just allow your work, your ingenuity, and your sacrifice to benefit you not the Bank! Get out of DEBT! Then use the money that is NOT going to the Banks for your Future! The Banks will Hate that!

Set a goal of Debt Freedom. Once started, the savings start to build quickly. Start by cutting expenses: clean your own house, eat meals at home with the family, rent DVD’s or online entertainment like Netflix or Amazon Prime to reduce the Cable bill, cut your own grass, clean your own car, downgrade your car to a good clean economy car like a Toyota Camry or Honda Accord rather than a Mercedes or BMW. Reduce or eliminate every expense and use the savings to start to pay down credit cards, student loans, HELOCs, and any personal debt. Review Investment debt and refinance for better terms. Sacrifice for just a few short years and the debt will go away. Once the Debt is gone, keep up the habits and start to build reserves; this was also known to the Ancients as “SAVINGS”!

Do not reward yourself with a renewed indulgence in Debt! You can reward yourself with Investments for your future. Investments that will PAY you; a big change from Debt! Accumulating cash flowing assets will become easier as they add to your Wealth. After you have been disciplined in your Financial Habits, you will recognize the moment you have earned the right to indulge, the right to upgrade to First Class or the Penthouse. At that moment, you will realize, you have all the money you need and you will sleep very well at night! If you are lucky, you might even be Happy!

 

 

Homelessness is Rising in America…Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , on December 14, 2017 by paulthepoke

Matthew 25:34-40 Then the King will say to those on His right hand, ‘Come, you blessed of My Father, inherit the kingdom prepared for you from the foundation of the world: for I was hungry and you gave Me food; I was thirsty and you gave Me drink; I was a stranger and you took Me in; I was naked and you clothed Me; I was sick and you visited Me; I was in prison and you came to Me.’ “Then the righteous will answer Him, saying, ‘Lord, when did we see You hungry and feed You, or thirsty and give You drink? When did we see You a stranger and take You in, or naked and clothe You? Or when did we see You sick, or in prison, and come to You?’ And the King will answer and say to them, ‘Assuredly, I say to you, inasmuch as you did it to one of the least of these My brethren, you did it to Me.’ 

Michael

Homelessness is rising in America. It is going to be worse; much worse. Over 400 “Tent Camps’ have sprung up in the Seattle Area, people are sleeping along walkways, under overpasses, and throughout urban parks; anywhere that might offer a degree of shelter and safety. Over 168,000 people are estimated to be Homeless along the West Coast. In September 2016, almost 58,000 New Yorkers slept in the 5 Burroughs shelters just one cold night. Over 50% of Public School Children qualify for the School Lunch program providing Breakfast and Lunch; often, the only food the children will receive for the day. Indeed, 47% of Americans report feeding their family is a daily concern. Over 1.5 Million American families supplement their diets with visits to the local Food Banks which are already feeling the pressure. These Americans did not start out Life dreaming of Homelessness as a Life Goal. They did not Prepare, they did not Plan.  How many Americans are 1 or 2 paychecks away from living under the Bridge?

The data and charts show that huge numbers of Americans are living well beyond their means. As the availability of Credit at low teaser rates has been expanded, many, many families have indulged in artificially raising their Living Standard by going into debt to supplement their Income; going into massive debt to buy unnecessary things and keep up appearances.

Obviously the counter trend of massive personal debt is an extremely low Savings Rate. Once the Credit Lines have been maximized, misery sets in as years of paying for past indulgences lies ahead. Credit Cards, Auto Loans, School Loans, and Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC) doom the debtor. Surveys reveal 46% of Americans cannot even afford $400 in Cash for an Emergency. When all of the Reserves are gone, any calamity jeopardizes the Family.

The Economy has not yet turned down, but some forecasts are indicating it may soon. There may still be time to build reserves, pay off debt, and cut expenses. Should a Recession arrive, and it is inevitable that it will, Income and Revenues will be endangered. Survival will be paramount; survival for those with Capital will build Fortunes. Those that have purchased Income Producing Assets will benefit from the climatic changing Economic Environment and have built their “Lifeboat” will fair much better than those that are over-leveraged and debt laddened,

Economic Turmoil is coming, it is not IF, but WHEN. The Cycles of Real Estate and Commodities will supplant the Aging Cycles of both Stocks and Bonds. Those that take heed and Prepare their Finances will weather the Economic Storm, Protect their family, and have the Opportunity to build Generational Wealth in just a few short years. Those that do not heed or prefer to do nothing, will SUFFER. Perhaps the last of the credit line should be used for Camping Equipment!

 

PaulthePoke

Prophecy Watch & Bible Study

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