Archive for cash

No Recession Narrative is full of Baloney! Who do you believe? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 9, 2023 by paulthepoke

John 18:38 Pilate says to Him, “What is truth?” And having said this, he went out again to the Jews and says to them, “I find no guilt in Him.

Who is most concerned about YOU? Do you trust the Federal Government to take care of YOU?

What you decide and what you start to realize, is going to make a huge impact on the way you survive in the Economy in the next 18-24 months.

Now, the Government and Wall Street would like you to believe we are heading toward a soft landing; that continues to be the narrative. Now, there are lots of advantages for Wall Street and the Administration. The Administration does not want to be blamed for a bad economy and bringing a Recession to our doorsteps.

What you decide is going to make a huge difference for YOU!

There has been a soft landing ONE time in history. That was in the 1990’s.

We are currently experiencing historic interest rate hikes. Pay off your credit card debt immediately. Raise cash if you can.

Wall Street gets paid on your money, assets under management (AUM).

Michael Douville sees a hard landing coming. Bankruptcies are increasing. Stores are closing around the country. Shipping box production is declining rapidly. Manufacturing jobs are in contraction.

Interest on government debt is heading towards $1,000,000,000,000 (trillion) per year.

The definition is the problem; what constitutes “Unemployed”? There are about 35.5 million working aged people who are not in the workforce. They are not counted in the 3.5% unemployment figures. What are these people doing? They are not working, and not disabled, not stay at home parents; what are they doing? If they would like to work, yet cannot find a job, then the unemployment rate is waaaay more than 3.5%. Further, how can there be a robust economy with that number of people idle.

Jobs Report: 585,000 full time jobs lost: 972,000 part-time added, and 118,000 new multi-job workers.

Liquidity (cash) is coming out of the market at a record pace. It looks like a Recession coming to me.

Germany is already officially in a Recession.

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Paul Volcker absolutely destroyed my Real Estate portfolio. He destroyed my Real Estate practice and I lost absolutely everything. I was a very young man; a product of the 1980 to 1982 double recession. When Paul Volcker stepped on the Gas and raised interest rates and literally destroyed my Business, my Real Estate practice, my holdings. I lost everything. Paul Volcker raised interest rates to the point where everybody stopped.

In Chicago, there were 60,000 Journeymen Electricians out of work, steel mills closed, Bethlehem Steel and Republic Steel, closed. Auto plants closed, retail was affected, construction was affected. It was awful. I lost virtually everything I owned…

Current Chairman Jerome Powell’s hero is Paul Volcker.

I know what can happen.

DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel.

Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind. Do your homework!

Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’

Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel.

Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites.

All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Economic Turmoil is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on June 8, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

You will experience this only three times in your lifetime.

A recession is coming and has likely started. The “everything bubble” is beginning to pop. Third quarter is looking like it could be rough. Get ready, it is coming quickly.

What can you do to capitalize? Talk with your financial adviser.

Cash will be king! Liquidity is coming out of the system.

Housing sales are dropping! You will have the opportunity to buy homes at discounts not available since the Great Financial Crisis where we were buying homes below cost. It will be scary, you will not want to invest, but I will tell you when the time is right and Generational Wealth will be available.

I need your help to reach 1000 subscribers. if you like the content, please give a thumbs up and subscribe.

In the meantime, the direction of the Real Estate market is Down, similar to 2006. A Recession is imminent, possible a severe recession. Will a waterfall event happen?

Commercial Real Estate looks like it is going to take a beating. Office space is empty in major metropolitans.

Those who have investments in the Endangered Cities might consider speaking to their brokers; should you decide to keep your properties, the hold will be probably at least 5 years. You will do better in Florida, Texas, or Arizona, particularly here in Phoenix.

Prices in commodities are coming down.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

50% Potential Loss to the Great Triumvirate: Stocks, Bonds, and Real Estate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 30, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Proverbs 22:16 Whoever oppresses the poor to increase his own wealth, or gives to the rich, will only come to poverty.

Michael Douville took the time to talk with President of Pento Portfolio Strategies, Michael Pento.

For those who are interested in a deep discussion about bonds, debt, and lending. How will this affect real estate, bonds, and stocks? Click on the YouTube video link below.

Michael Pento lays out the Risk in the Equity Market, the Bond Market, and the Real Estate Market: The “Great Triumvirate”.

Pento and Douville see trouble coming in the real estate market. Is the bubble popping?

Commercial real estate properties are increasing with vacancies in major cities across the United States.

The Federal Reserve is shrinking the money supply. Liquidity is drying up globally.

Michael Pento discusses the explosion of Debt and its relationship to the Gross Domestic Product, GDP. Debt is 263% of GDP!

Investors might limit their exposure to “High Beta” Stocks. Avoid technology stocks.

Pento likes short term government treasuries (3 years of less), gold, and utilities.

Interest rates have never been raised this quickly and this high. The yield curve is inverted.

How will the banking industry be affected? Personal Bank Accounts should be kept to under the FDIC approved $250,000 limit. A few months of Cash liquidity kept at home would be prudent.

Michael Pento outlines the Financial Risk coming. Pento sees a deep recession coming. The conversation flows swiftly with great and valuable content.

Michael Pento, President and Founder Pento Portfolio Strategies

www.pentoport.com

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Check out Michael Douville’s latest take on the real estate market and the economy.

Fortunes will be LOST! Fortunes will be MADE. Timing is Everything. Our timing model is showing that the Real Estate Market will be showing evidence of the slowdown by the end of the 2nd quarter or maybe early 3rd Quarter of 2023.

Prices could decline in Out-Migration States by much more than Florida, Texas, or Arizona. Could prices decline over 30%? My Timing Model forecasts that possibility.

Pending home sales are slowing and Builders are selling like crazy as they attempt to liquidate their properties. They are scared to death and will make deals.

By buying rates down and making concessions, builders are going to have trouble with their lenders.

The Real Estate market has probably peaked and the 2nd and final Peak is forming now!

A recession is coming with a likely hard landing. The recession has likely started.

Michael discusses cities at risk across America due to crime, poor management and leadership. Large, corporate businesses are leaving major metropolitans. Tax bases and revenues are decreasing in these cities.

Pensions are losing their value in Europe due to negative interest rate bonds.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Credit Event Coming??? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Are we entering another Credit Event? I remember Lehman Brothers and Bear Stears. These events start slow and gather speed until things start to cascade.

Germany’s Deutsche Bank is in the news. Credit Default Swaps (insurance) are soaring! Tier 1 Bonds are crashing. Did Deutsche Bank receive $60 billion in Federal Reserve Foreign Repo Agreements?

European banks hold bonds yielding less than 0%. They are losing money big time as interest rates go up.

Global liquidity and money are in short supply. Liquidity is the fuel of the economy. Bank deposits are decreasing. Things are getting more difficult to get a loan.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is focused on lowering inflation. He says interest rates are not coming down any time soon.

Michael Douville recommends reading an article, Too Small To Not Fail, A Short History of the World by Danielle DiMartino Booth. For those not familiar, Danielle is a former Federal Reserve Insider. She is the CEO & Chief Strategist, Quill Intelligence LLC, and Economist.

Instead of mass mobilizing against Powell as if he was the reincarnation of King Louis XVI, why not grow up? In the absence of a solution without consequences, he’s made an attempt to steer the economy into the first recession from which it has the slightest chance of exiting without the dead weight of zombie companies, without the corrupt practice of anointing Wall Street’s kingpins the de facto makers of monetary policy. A wise man once said, “There is no such thing as a free lunch.”

Damn right there’s not. Perhaps we accept the truth in this wisdom and, in doing so, the consequences of our actions. -Danielle DiMartino Booth

https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/p/too-small-to-not-fail-history

Check out Michael’s analysis, economic news, charts, and commentary below on the YouTube video. Click on the red play button.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael Douville With… Charles Nenner: The Whole System is Shaky! Will the Fed Raise rates?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 21, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville and Charles Nenner discuss the latest in economic and market news. What’s coming next. Dr. Nenner is one of the world’s best when it comes to economic cycles.

What an amazing interview.

Charles Nenner believes the current Banking Crisis will resolve itself for a short time only. The Banking Index will rise for a “Bounce” only. Charles believes the Whole System is ready to go under.

We need to make plans.

One of the 3 strategies would be trading. This is not a “Buy and Hold” environment.

Charles also believes Inflation will start up again after May.

We are in for a “terrible” time. Charles’ War Cycle and Civil Disruption are turning up.

It is time to be cautious. Build cash reserves. Hold some cash at home, and when buying physical gold, take possession.

Click on the link below for the interview and video. You can’t afford not to listen…

Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 

Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

This Week in Prophecy: Pope Denies Hell; Russia; China; Banking Woes

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Ezekiel 38-39, Hell, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 18, 2023 by paulthepoke

Matthew 10:28 “And do not fear those who kill the body but cannot kill the soul. But rather fear Him who is able to destroy both soul and body in hell.” -Jesus

See also Luke 12:5, Revelation 20:14, 15, 21:8 (Lake of Fire)

Pope Francis denies the physical existence of Hell.

Hell is not a place. If one goes to attend the Last Judgment, and sees the faces of those who go to Hell, one gets scared. If you read Dante, you get scared. But these are media representations.

Hell is a state, there are people who live in Hell continuously.” -Pope Francis

With these comments, along with others, the Vatican went into spin mode.

All official, final texts of the Holy Father are found on the Vatican website,” and since they were never published by the Holy See Press Office they “should not be considered official texts.” -Holy See Press Office

https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/pope-francis-denies-that-hell-is-a-place-says-it-is-a-posture-towards-life/

Ezekiel 38: Sons of Magog and Rosh, modern day Russia. For more details on ancient Magog, click on the link below.

Tension is on the rise with Russia attempting to spray a U.S. drone with jet fuel over the Black Sea in international waters. The Russian pilot got a little too close for comfort and appears to graze the drone.

The International Criminal Court has issued a warrant for the arrest of Russian President Vladimir Putin as a war criminal for illegally exporting Ukrainian children.

https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and

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Revelation 9:16 And the number of mounted troops was two hundred million; I heard their number.

Tension increases in the Pacific. The United States and the United Kingdom have agreed to sell nuclear submarines to Australia.

The United States has sold 220 Tomahawk cruise missiles to Australia. Japan may be interested in buying cruise missiles as well.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11851407/MARK-ALMOND-China-puts-economy-war-footing-submarine-deal-just-start.html

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/16/australia/australia-tomahawk-missiles-aukus-intl-hnk/index.html

China’s President Xi is headed to Moscow early next week. The focus is peace between Russia and Ukraine. Some think China is on the verge of a weapon’s deal with the Russians.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64986486

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Leviticus 19:36 You shall have honest scales, honest weights, an honest ephah, and an honest hin: I am the LORD your God, who brought you out of the land of Egypt.

God wants honesty when it comes to economic matters.

The last couple of weeks in financial markets and global economics has been rocky. In the last two business weeks 5 banks have crashed. The United States has witnessed two of its largest bank failures in history.

Moody’s Investor Service has downgraded the entire United States banking system to negative.

We have changed to negative from stable our outlook on the US banking system to reflect the rapid deterioration in the operating environment following deposit runs at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank (SNY) and the failures of SVB and SNY.” -Moody’s

The banks in the United States includes: Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank. The mess has made its way across the Atlantic to Europe. Switzerland’s Credit Suisse required a bailout from the Swiss government.

The US Department of Treasury decided to insure all depositors in banks that expose a “systemic risk exception”, even those above the insured threshold of $250,000. The two banks who meet this “exception” include Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. All depositors were “made whole”.

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1337

This “exception” appears to be on a case by case basis as decided by the boards of the FDIC, the Federal Reserve, President Biden, Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen.

During hearings with the Senate, Oklahoma Senator James Lankford (R) pressed Secretary Yellen. This exchange was extraordinary.

Banks only get the treatment if the failure to protected uninsured depositors would create systemic risk.” -Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen

PLEASE WATCH!

If a bank does not meet the threshold of “exception” and one has deposits over the FDIC insured amount of $250,000 in said bank, tough! No bailout for you!

Plan Accordingly!!!

Money is flying out of smaller banks and being deposited into Tier 1 Wall Street banks. These Tier 1 banks include JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup. And the rich get richer.

Will Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell raise interest rates next week?

The Debt Limit deadline looms some time around April 2023. The United States has wracked up $31.4 trillion in debt (31,400,000,000,000). Secretary Yellen has already warned Congress that if the Debt Limit is not increased, it would be crushing to the banking system.

Buckle up! This is going to get rough!

Is all of this dishonesty in the banking industry reaching a tipping point? God says judgment is ultimately coming.

Micah 6:11-13 Can I excuse dishonest scales or bags of false weights? For the wealthy of the city are full of violence, and its residents speak lies; their tongues are deceitful in their mouths. Therefore I am striking you severely, to ruin you because of your sins. -The LORD God

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Nowhere to hide! Uh-Oh! Michael Douville & Charles Nenner

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times things which have not been done, saying, “My purpose will be established, and I will accomplish all My good pleasure.”

Isaiah 14:27 For the Lord of hosts has planned, and who can frustrate it? And as for His stretched-out hand, who can turn it back?

Dr. Charles Nenner reviews some major markets including the Goldman-Sachs Commodities, the DBB ETF for Base Metals, the Proprietary graph for Copper, Corn, Wheat, Gold, Silver, and Natural Gas. All showing weakness… there is nowhere to hide.

Rule #1, Don’t Lose Money!

Follow the math and do not listen to the media.

Cash is king. The US Dollar is strong and gaining.

Photo: iStock

Dr. Nenner says a significant recession is coming. The economy is getting weaker. Brace yourself, this may take awhile. Nenner discusses the likelihood of a significant stock market correction. Would you believe a Dow 5,000 target scenario? The average recession costs American’s 40% of their portfolio.

Commodities are rolling over in the short term. Inflation appears to be slowing. But watch out. Eventually, prices are going higher again towards the end of the year.

What does Dr. Nenner’s work say about gold and silver? The BIG bull market is coming, but when? Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to go long and buy. Listen to Dr. Nenner’s commentary and analysis for details.

Interest rates have turned and rates are going up. We are witnessing a significant cycle change according to Nenner’s research.

Wheat prices appear to be on the cusp of turning up again.

Energy prices are discussed in this video. Oil and natural gas are significant considerations to our pocket books.

Dr. Nenner recommended to go into cash around the first of the year 2022. If you had listened to Nenner’s research and recommendations, your retirement account and stocks would have been spared a 20-30% reduction.

Don’t fight the cycles…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information.

DON’T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY… Charles Nenner will be holding a Private Live Webinar where attendees can listen live and ask some questions. Attendance is going to be limited. This amazing opportunity to get a insiders view on the markets is scheduled for August 7th, 2022. Send your request to attend to info@charlesnenner.com. Details will be sent.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Charles Nenner; The US Economy Is Heading Into TROUBLE! Interviewed by Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 11, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

With inflation, market volatility, and economic changes occurring in today’s world, Michael Douville had a chance to sit down and visit with one of the world’s foremost cyclical economist and market forecaster, Dr. Charles Nenner.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

photo: Pinterest

May 2022: An Amazing and Candid interview with Charles Nenner. Charles discusses his Dow Jones Weekly chart showing all three of his Cycles that rule the Equity Market. The three cycles are all topping; topping just as they did in 2007. The Cycles are worse than in 2007-2008, the amount of downside in the last 4 months is the worst in 80 years; if this is the beginning, it can be a very bad time. There is a window of opportunity to sell into a bounce that appears to be imminent.

Dr. Nenner recommended to exit the Bond market for the last 2 years. The amount of money lost is tremendous; Q1 2022 was the worst Quarter for Bonds in 157 years. Interest rates are going much higher.

Charles Nenner sees a slight short term topping of Inflation and a near term moderation of Inflation, but sees Inflation for many years very similar as in the 80’s. Inflation will be a big problem moving forward. Natural gas and Crude oil are a big component.

Charles thinks there is nowhere to hide, but Cash is King at the moment. He believes Inflation will continue to be a major problem. European pension funds are in Bonds, many that are below zero. This is very difficult for Pension funds, it is not safe and no return. It will be very difficult for people to retire. It is not good to “Be in it for the long term!”

Dr. Nenner and Michael Douville have a significant discussion on the housing market. Are we in the process of peaking???

The Us Dollar is flirting with the 104 on the DXY, it is possible the US will get very strong and possibly go up to possible the low 120’s.

Looking at the Wheat chart, the prices are heading higher. Food prices are going to get much higher.

Click on the link below for all the economic details with Dr. Nenner’s proprietary charts and analysis.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Global Recession Coming???

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on March 26, 2019 by paulthepoke

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Michael updates what is happening around the world and how it will impact the U.S. Understand the economic times and conditions we are living. Do you have a plan?

Another indicator that the US might be entering into recession. Michael explains the Yields on Debt indicates recession coming to our shores.


http://www.michaeldouville.com

Do you have all your money in stocks and bonds? Are you holding debt? What happens if we see a sharp reduction in the markets. Have you prepared your life boat?


http://www.michaeldouville.com

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