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No Confusion, A Severe Recession is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

The “Seasonally Adjusted” employment numbers came in higher than expected. This will virtually guarantee another Fed Rate Hike into an already struggling Economy. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing. Job openings are decreasing.

Chicago PMI is below 50 to 45 indicating contraction. Orders for manufacturing are slower. Dr. Copper is dropping indicating a recession is coming. People are taking on more consumer debt with credit cards.

European inflation is over 10%. The cost of energy continues to increase. The Euro is under pressure and declining in value.

In a previous video, I mentioned hiking into a declining economy has always resulted in a Recession. If the Fed hiked in September, I expected a Severe Recession; further hikes will result in further deterioration of the Economy into something that may be much worse that a Severe Recession!!!!

Mortgage applications are at a 25-year low and in Phoenix, there are already rumors of staff cuts at local lenders. Get ready for a phenomenal buying opportunity; not yet but coming.

Dr. Charles Nenner believes there will be a bounce in the Equity and Bond Markets too. He looks to late October into November for the bounce. Be nimble and quick, it is just a bounce in the markets.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Federal Reserve has it all under control (sarcasm).

Inflation will no longer be a concern in the coming months. Is inflation peaking? Food, energy, and housing inflation continues to rise.

Your Job is going to be your concern. The Federal Reserve is using the Strategy of Demand Destruction to control Inflation. They know that Severe Recessions KILL Inflation. It also kills jobs, and Businesses, investments, futures…

Real wages are decreasing. People have less money.

More Interest rate hikes are likely to come. Pay off your debts. The cost of money is going up.

It may be awhile. At some point, opportunity is coming. Be prepared and ready!

Current State of the Economy, January 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 12, 2021 by paulthepoke

One of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. At http://Paulthepoke.com we are watching economic conditions, specifically trends regarding inflation.

Michael Douville is our go to expert on all things economic. Douville is connected with the brightest economic minds in the industry. Today, he offers his insights into the current status of the global economy.

The economy is recovering. There are still many areas that are struggling , but there are also many areas that are actually BOOMING. Manufacturing, Industrials, IT, DoD, Construction, Housing are doing very well and are poised to do even better as the Economy heals… Q1 and Q2 look great.

black and white business chart computer
Photo by Lorenzo on Pexels.com

Michael provides current economic data with regard to industrial production, commodity prices, inflation, economic recovery, monetary effects of “lockdowns”, current money supply, savings rates, gross domestic product data, and federal stimulus programs.

Where is the dollar headed? Higher or lower?

What about mortgage rates? What direction are they headed? Where are we in the real estate cycle?

Should we be weary of a “Mad Max Event”?

To contact me michael@michaeldouville.com

The video below is jam packed with real data and charts. Michael’s explanations are straight forward and to the point. No economic cheerleading or bias here, just the facts.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Bible says hyperinflation is coming at some point in the future. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat. Be on watch!

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Global Economics and Market (P)Review, June 2020… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on June 10, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Business cycles come and go. What goes up must come down. What goes down eventually comes up again. Where are we in the cycle? Major market forces are coming together and they will impact our future and world. Understand the times we are witnessing.

Michael Douville breaks down the global economy and how trends in the dollar and interest rates will affect consumers. We live in historic and interesting economic times. Opportunity is around the corner.

Michael has talked with Dr. Charles Nenner regarding the real estate market, his timing model and charts. Mortgage rates are discussed. How low will interest rates go? Is it time to buy a new home or refinance an existing mortgage? Where will the housing market be in the next 18-24 months?

Michael discusses the impact of the dollar relative to commodity prices. Is the dollar starting to top out? What happens if the dollar loses its value? Commodities and goods are going higher in price.

Countries around the world are broke and cannot pay their bills in dollar denominated debt. What happens if the dollar gets stronger? Debt gets more expensive. Over 100 nations have reached out to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for financial help.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 189 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world.

Created in 1945, the IMF is governed by and accountable to the 189 countries that make up its near-global membership. The IMF is a part of the United Nations (UN) system. https://www.imf.org/en/About

Make decisions now. Prepare and plan. Navigate through current and future economic trends.

Be ready. The explosive phase is coming!!!

Check out Michael’s comprehensive review and current standing of global markets, interest rates, currencies and more on the YouTube link below…

Michael Douville is an author and syndicated columnist.

Interest Rates Below 2%???

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on October 2, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Can mortgage rates fall below 2%? Yes they can. Listen to Michael’s comments on interest rates and global currency considerations.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 20:10 Unequal weights and unequal measures are both alike an abomination to the LORD.

Countries around the world are trying to manipulate their currencies. The US Dollar is getting stronger. What are the implications in today’s global economy? Michael shares his thoughts in his latest video below.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

The Next Recession will be EPIC! Featuring Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville, Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 24, 2018 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3

1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven:

2b a time to plant, and a time to pluck up what is planted;
3b a time to break down, and a time to build up;
5a a time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together;
6 a time to seek, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to cast away;
7 a time to tear, and a time to sew…

MichaelSomething has changed! A Global down turn is underway; it can be seen in the Industrial statistics, the”Yield Curve” Spreads, the Baltic Dry Index. The slowdown can be seen in declining  Home Mortgage Applications and increasingly higher Auto loan delinquencies;  much, much higher credit card debt with slower repayments. Not surprisingly, the Spring Real Estate market in many regions of the US are exhibiting slowing sales when Property sales should be seasonally expanding. These are all signs of an aging Business Cycle.

This happens in Free Markets; it happened in 2010, 2012, and a longer decline in 2015. Each decline was met with Global Central Bank interference in the form of massive Liquidity injections via purchases in the Equity Markets and massive purchases of all forms of Bonds and Debt Instruments. Maybe a not so “Free market”.

Something has changed! Instead of ZIRP (zero interest rate policy), rates are rising! Instead of Massive Global Central Bank purchasing in a declining market, the Federal Reserve is actually selling! In April of 2017, the Central Banks were purchasing at the rate on $1.7 Trillion Dollars; tapering in April 2018 to an alleged big fat ZERO! The ECB is still caught supporting the European Markets as is the Bank of Japan for the Japanese Markets. The simple reason is that no else is willing to enter theses markets; no one entering at the current reduced and manipulated rates!

Something has Changed! Without the Financial Credit Pulse of coordinated Global Central Banks, Volatility and RISK have reappeared. The support has been removed and The Federal Reserve has announced not only are they NOT purchasing, but they are selling; $8 Billion Feb 5, 2018 alone. It is time to Pay Attention!!!

Recession-ahead

Your Wealth is at Risk! Americans 55 years and older  have a 70% of their Nest Egg in the Stock Market and 20% in the Bond Market; rising rates devastate Bond Funds! Those approaching retirement age are not “in it for the long Haul!” There is not enough time to recoup losses before the funds are needed.  There are times to be Aggressive and times to be Conservative; the Fed has transparently announced their intentions. This may be a time to be very conservative. In fact, one does not need to be fully invested 100% of the time. Without support, the Markets are free to act the way Markets are suppose to act. The next downturn could be EPIC!

Something has changed! Your Future is at stake! Now might be a very appropriate time to review your goals and concerns with your Financial Professional. Maybe an “Exit Strategy” should be developed with a goal to transfer into different asset classes.

https://michaeldouville.com

michael@michaeldouville.com