Archive for US dollar

Charles Nenner; The US Economy Is Heading Into TROUBLE! Interviewed by Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on May 11, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

With inflation, market volatility, and economic changes occurring in today’s world, Michael Douville had a chance to sit down and visit with one of the world’s foremost cyclical economist and market forecaster, Dr. Charles Nenner.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

photo: Pinterest

May 2022: An Amazing and Candid interview with Charles Nenner. Charles discusses his Dow Jones Weekly chart showing all three of his Cycles that rule the Equity Market. The three cycles are all topping; topping just as they did in 2007. The Cycles are worse than in 2007-2008, the amount of downside in the last 4 months is the worst in 80 years; if this is the beginning, it can be a very bad time. There is a window of opportunity to sell into a bounce that appears to be imminent.

Dr. Nenner recommended to exit the Bond market for the last 2 years. The amount of money lost is tremendous; Q1 2022 was the worst Quarter for Bonds in 157 years. Interest rates are going much higher.

Charles Nenner sees a slight short term topping of Inflation and a near term moderation of Inflation, but sees Inflation for many years very similar as in the 80’s. Inflation will be a big problem moving forward. Natural gas and Crude oil are a big component.

Charles thinks there is nowhere to hide, but Cash is King at the moment. He believes Inflation will continue to be a major problem. European pension funds are in Bonds, many that are below zero. This is very difficult for Pension funds, it is not safe and no return. It will be very difficult for people to retire. It is not good to “Be in it for the long term!”

Dr. Nenner and Michael Douville have a significant discussion on the housing market. Are we in the process of peaking???

The Us Dollar is flirting with the 104 on the DXY, it is possible the US will get very strong and possibly go up to possible the low 120’s.

Looking at the Wheat chart, the prices are heading higher. Food prices are going to get much higher.

Click on the link below for all the economic details with Dr. Nenner’s proprietary charts and analysis.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Watchmen: Temple Mount, Israeli & Russian Tension, Chinese Yuan, Cross of Christ, Russia & Sudan, US Middle East Policy

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world…

In this episode of The Watchmen we look at drama on the Temple Mount. In an opinion piece from the Jerusalem Post, a prominent Israeli Rabbi calls for the construction of the third Temple. Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid calls the maintenance of the status quo on the Temple Mount. Confused???

Tension continues to build between Russian and Israel. Ezekiel 38-39 tells us Russia will eventually turn on Israel. Russian President Vladimir Putin demands ownership of a Russian Orthodox Church in the Christian Quarter of Jerusalem.

Israel is adding the Chinese Yuan and cutting the United States dollar to their reserve holdings. The dollar continues to fall in global holdings.

Was a relic of the cross of Jesus Christ on the sunken Russian warship Moskva? If so, did the piece of the cross sink to the bottom of the Black Sea?

Russia’s Wagner Group is in Sudan. Russia wants a port on the Red Sea. Ezekiel’s gang continues to come together.

The Saudis are looking to the Chinese as a business partner. Will the Saudis conduct business dealings in the Chinese Yuan. What would the potential consequences be to the value of the US dollar? Can the Saudis trust the United States?

What is the current United States policy in the Middle East? History since the 2011 Arab Spring is reviewed.

All of this and more on this episode of the Watchmen. Click on the link below for insights and analysis.

https://www.jpost.com/christianworld/article-704445

https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-reaffirms-israels-official-commitment-to-maintaining-temple-mount-status-quo/

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/article-704490

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/dollar-vs-yuan-israel-central-bank-chinese-currency-holdings-reserves-2022-4

https://www.jpost.com/christianworld/article-704498

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/04/russia-wagner-group-expand-ties-sudan

https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-u-s-saudi-relations-reached-the-breaking-point-11650383578

https://thepoliticalinsider.com/al-qaeda-is-on-our-side-how-obama-biden-team-empowered-terrorist-networks-in-syria/

This Week in Prophecy: Israeli Defense Pact, Grain Shortages Emerging, Gold Backed Ruble?, Russian Gas Flow, Food Inflation

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

This Week in Prophecy, April 4th, 2022:

The Negev Summit was completed this past week in Israel. Is a military alliance forming between Israel, Morocco, Egypt, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States? Air and Naval exercises have been completed in the Red and Mediterranean Seas. The objective is regional “peace and security”.

Revelation 6 prophecies of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to provide for basic provisions to eat a loaf of bread. Food shortages, supply chain disruption, and inflation are trending toward difficult times.

The early results of the Russian invasion of Ukraine are in. Israel is facing shortages of eggs and wheat. Exports out of Ukraine have stopped. Israeli suppliers are scrambling to fill the void left in food supply chains.

Is Russia looking to return to a gold and commodity backed Ruble? The central bank is buying gold. President Vladimir Putin is demanding natural gas be paid in rubles from those buying the Russian product. Will Putin cut off the flow of natural gas to Europe if they refuse to pay in Rubles?

Will oil and commodity payment be linked to the ruble as well? What does this mean for commodity and precious metal prices? How will this affect the paper gold market of the COMEX?

The Russian Ruble has almost recovered to levels prior to the invasion of Ukraine. What does the future hold for the value of the Russian Ruble and the US Dollar?

German grocery prices are headed up from 20 to 50% starting Monday…

Click on the video link below for analysis and commentary.

https://www.allisrael.com/emerging-arab-israeli-air-defense-alliance-aims-to-counter-iranian-threat

https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-scrambles-for-solutions-as-ukraine-war-chokes-off-egg-wheat-imports

https://www.rt.com/business/553099-gold-backed-ruble-gamechanger-west/

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4498704-russias-3-step-program-to-put-the-ruble-on-a-gold-standard

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-60944322

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/german-retailers-increase-food-prices-20-50-monday

Printing Money!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on March 22, 2021 by paulthepoke
heap of different nominal per dollars
Photo by Karolina Grabowska on Pexels.com

39% of all dollars in the economy were created in 2020. Keep in mind, the Federal Reserve was created in 1919. Of all the dollars created in the last century, 39% were in the last year alone. And to top it off, more money is promised into the system moving forward.

Can you say inflation potential??? The consumer is experiencing a loss of purchasing power. Imagine what will happen if inflation starts to take off and up. What is your hedge against inflation?

Where are we in the 18 year real estate cycle?

Huge gains have been made particularly for high leverage properties. There is a temptation to capture the gains by selling. The Historic Money Supply will add fuel for much greater gains than one can imagine and the Cyclical Model is still pointing higher. Everyone is different!

Click on the link below to listen to Michael’s comments.

Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. John the Revelator promises that hyperinflation is coming at some point prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Are we watching the dominoes being put into place???

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners.jpg

Breaking: Turkish Lira Crashing

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , on March 21, 2021 by paulthepoke

Breaking News: Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan has fired the Central Bank Chief. The market is not responding well to this news.

As of the open of trade on Sunday night in America, Monday morning in Turkey, the Lira has dropped up to 15-17% against the dollar.

There is big time concern this could to lead to a recession in Turkey. Monday could be an interesting day in the markets. Sadly, this means more inflation for the people of Turkey.

chart: Bloomberg

There are many reasons to watch Turkey as a key player in Bible prophecy. Turkey will be part of a coalition lead by Russia along with Iran and others when they will invade Israel from the north.

Recent history tells us that Turkey’s President Erdogan responds to financial crisis with military aggression. Somebody is likely to get attacked…

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

Magog was a son of Japheth. Genesis 10:2 The sons of Japheth were Gomer and Magog and Madai and Javan and Tubal and Meshech and Tiras. Japheth was the son of Noah. The sons of Japheth were born after the flood (Genesis 10:1).

Current State of the Economy, January 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 12, 2021 by paulthepoke

One of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. At http://Paulthepoke.com we are watching economic conditions, specifically trends regarding inflation.

Michael Douville is our go to expert on all things economic. Douville is connected with the brightest economic minds in the industry. Today, he offers his insights into the current status of the global economy.

The economy is recovering. There are still many areas that are struggling , but there are also many areas that are actually BOOMING. Manufacturing, Industrials, IT, DoD, Construction, Housing are doing very well and are poised to do even better as the Economy heals… Q1 and Q2 look great.

black and white business chart computer
Photo by Lorenzo on Pexels.com

Michael provides current economic data with regard to industrial production, commodity prices, inflation, economic recovery, monetary effects of “lockdowns”, current money supply, savings rates, gross domestic product data, and federal stimulus programs.

Where is the dollar headed? Higher or lower?

What about mortgage rates? What direction are they headed? Where are we in the real estate cycle?

Should we be weary of a “Mad Max Event”?

To contact me michael@michaeldouville.com

The video below is jam packed with real data and charts. Michael’s explanations are straight forward and to the point. No economic cheerleading or bias here, just the facts.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Bible says hyperinflation is coming at some point in the future. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat. Be on watch!

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Global Economics and Market (P)Review, June 2020… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on June 10, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Business cycles come and go. What goes up must come down. What goes down eventually comes up again. Where are we in the cycle? Major market forces are coming together and they will impact our future and world. Understand the times we are witnessing.

Michael Douville breaks down the global economy and how trends in the dollar and interest rates will affect consumers. We live in historic and interesting economic times. Opportunity is around the corner.

Michael has talked with Dr. Charles Nenner regarding the real estate market, his timing model and charts. Mortgage rates are discussed. How low will interest rates go? Is it time to buy a new home or refinance an existing mortgage? Where will the housing market be in the next 18-24 months?

Michael discusses the impact of the dollar relative to commodity prices. Is the dollar starting to top out? What happens if the dollar loses its value? Commodities and goods are going higher in price.

Countries around the world are broke and cannot pay their bills in dollar denominated debt. What happens if the dollar gets stronger? Debt gets more expensive. Over 100 nations have reached out to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for financial help.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 189 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world.

Created in 1945, the IMF is governed by and accountable to the 189 countries that make up its near-global membership. The IMF is a part of the United Nations (UN) system. https://www.imf.org/en/About

Make decisions now. Prepare and plan. Navigate through current and future economic trends.

Be ready. The explosive phase is coming!!!

Check out Michael’s comprehensive review and current standing of global markets, interest rates, currencies and more on the YouTube link below…

Michael Douville is an author and syndicated columnist.

Global Economy Trying to Recover… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on May 26, 2020 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:23 Know well the condition of your flocks, and give attention to your herds…

The Economy is trying to bottom and start the recovery. GDP is worse than the Great Recession, the damage is widespread and Many retailers and restauranteurs will not recover. However, change will bring new innovation and Huge Investment Opportunities.

Michael continues to watch the global impact of the U.S. Dollar. Diversify your resources and do your home work. Seek a financial adviser.

Click on the link below to get the latest economic news from Michael Douville.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

U.S. Oil Market Trades Below ZERO! April 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on April 20, 2020 by paulthepoke

April 20, 2020: For the first time ever, oil has traded below zero. The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil absolutely crashed to a low of -$38.08 during trading on Monday. As of this post, the price had corrected upwards to approximately $1.00 a barrel.

The price of international Brent crude fell to $26.60 a barrel. Brent crude capacity is not land locked as is the case in North America.

The oil price war between the Saudis and the Russians has not helped the matter either. You can bet both of these actors are watching the current situation carefully.

As a result of COVID-19, demand for oil and gas has decreased. Supply has increased to the point where there is essentially no place to store the oil in North America.

The oil storage facility in Cushing, Oklahoma is filling up fast. It is estimated the facility can hold around 85 million barrels. This is the key storage facility in North America.

The global economy is experiencing first hand the result of a lack of working and the free flow of commerce. People around the globe have been shut in their homes because of the COVID-19 coronavirus. Without economic demand, prices are falling.

The ripple effects of this move merit watching. Soft commodity food prices are on the verge of breaking lower as well. The idea of cheaper costs sounds good in the short term.

But eventually, producers and suppliers will cut back their production. And this will lead to an inventory squeeze, a spike in prices and ultimately inflation.

With the opening of the third seal in Revelation 6, John speaks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage for food. About 2,000 years ago, a denarius was a day’s wage for labor. Remember this is looming at some point in the future… A day’s wage to eat.

The dollar is breaking to higher levels against the currencies of the world. Will a strong US Dollar lead to the scenario of hyperinflation described in Revelation 6?

Revelation 6:6 And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Dollar Appreciation Continues… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy with tags , , , , , , , , , on March 23, 2020 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 20:10 Unequal weights and unequal measures are both alike an abomination to the LORD.

Micah 6:10-11 Can I forget any longer the treasures of wickedness in the house of the wicked, and the scant measure that is accursed? Shall I acquit the man with wicked scales and with a bag of deceitful weights?

Michael

All currencies are not created equal. Values of currencies change. God is not a fan of currency manipulation. Global markets and governments manipulate currencies on a daily basis. Imagine that, humanity outside of God’s economic laws…

The end result of currency changes can be dramatic. Michael explains the consequences of a rising dollar and what it means to global economics.

Michael has been talking with Technical Analyst Walter Zimmerman. He has target prices of the DXY (US Dollar) at 103.00. In an extreme case, Zimmerman has a target of 120.00 for the DXY. The end result would be cheaper prices and deflation in the United States. The rest of the world would pay higher prices and experience inflation. The US dollar is currently the global reserve currency.

Oil prices could drop as low as $15 per barrel in extreme cases. Michael Douville comments if we hit 120.00 on the DXY, oil could be roughly $5 per barrel. Recently, the DXY touched 102.82 and closed today at 102.10.

Global debt is financed in dollars. At some point, the bill comes due for borrowing money…

These are interesting times and it pays to be informed and prepared. Have a plan. Talk with your financial adviser.

For Michael’s timely comments, see the link below.

michael@michaeldouville.com
https://michaeldouville.com/

It would appear the current trend of a strong dollar continues as the world struggles with COVID-19 coronavirus…

Michael Douville is a Syndicated Columnist.

Library of videos and articles: www.michaeldouville.com

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