Archive for US dollar

Printing Money!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on March 22, 2021 by paulthepoke
heap of different nominal per dollars
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39% of all dollars in the economy were created in 2020. Keep in mind, the Federal Reserve was created in 1919. Of all the dollars created in the last century, 39% were in the last year alone. And to top it off, more money is promised into the system moving forward.

Can you say inflation potential??? The consumer is experiencing a loss of purchasing power. Imagine what will happen if inflation starts to take off and up. What is your hedge against inflation?

Where are we in the 18 year real estate cycle?

Huge gains have been made particularly for high leverage properties. There is a temptation to capture the gains by selling. The Historic Money Supply will add fuel for much greater gains than one can imagine and the Cyclical Model is still pointing higher. Everyone is different!

Click on the link below to listen to Michael’s comments.

Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. John the Revelator promises that hyperinflation is coming at some point prior to the return of Jesus Christ. Are we watching the dominoes being put into place???

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners.jpg

Breaking: Turkish Lira Crashing

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , on March 21, 2021 by paulthepoke

Breaking News: Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan has fired the Central Bank Chief. The market is not responding well to this news.

As of the open of trade on Sunday night in America, Monday morning in Turkey, the Lira has dropped up to 15-17% against the dollar.

There is big time concern this could to lead to a recession in Turkey. Monday could be an interesting day in the markets. Sadly, this means more inflation for the people of Turkey.

chart: Bloomberg

There are many reasons to watch Turkey as a key player in Bible prophecy. Turkey will be part of a coalition lead by Russia along with Iran and others when they will invade Israel from the north.

Recent history tells us that Turkey’s President Erdogan responds to financial crisis with military aggression. Somebody is likely to get attacked…

The brothers of Magog (Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal) appear to point to modern day Turkey.

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

Magog was a son of Japheth. Genesis 10:2 The sons of Japheth were Gomer and Magog and Madai and Javan and Tubal and Meshech and Tiras. Japheth was the son of Noah. The sons of Japheth were born after the flood (Genesis 10:1).

Current State of the Economy, January 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on January 12, 2021 by paulthepoke

One of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. At http://Paulthepoke.com we are watching economic conditions, specifically trends regarding inflation.

Michael Douville is our go to expert on all things economic. Douville is connected with the brightest economic minds in the industry. Today, he offers his insights into the current status of the global economy.

The economy is recovering. There are still many areas that are struggling , but there are also many areas that are actually BOOMING. Manufacturing, Industrials, IT, DoD, Construction, Housing are doing very well and are poised to do even better as the Economy heals… Q1 and Q2 look great.

black and white business chart computer
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Michael provides current economic data with regard to industrial production, commodity prices, inflation, economic recovery, monetary effects of “lockdowns”, current money supply, savings rates, gross domestic product data, and federal stimulus programs.

Where is the dollar headed? Higher or lower?

What about mortgage rates? What direction are they headed? Where are we in the real estate cycle?

Should we be weary of a “Mad Max Event”?

To contact me michael@michaeldouville.com

The video below is jam packed with real data and charts. Michael’s explanations are straight forward and to the point. No economic cheerleading or bias here, just the facts.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Bible says hyperinflation is coming at some point in the future. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat. Be on watch!

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Global Economics and Market (P)Review, June 2020… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on June 10, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Business cycles come and go. What goes up must come down. What goes down eventually comes up again. Where are we in the cycle? Major market forces are coming together and they will impact our future and world. Understand the times we are witnessing.

Michael Douville breaks down the global economy and how trends in the dollar and interest rates will affect consumers. We live in historic and interesting economic times. Opportunity is around the corner.

Michael has talked with Dr. Charles Nenner regarding the real estate market, his timing model and charts. Mortgage rates are discussed. How low will interest rates go? Is it time to buy a new home or refinance an existing mortgage? Where will the housing market be in the next 18-24 months?

Michael discusses the impact of the dollar relative to commodity prices. Is the dollar starting to top out? What happens if the dollar loses its value? Commodities and goods are going higher in price.

Countries around the world are broke and cannot pay their bills in dollar denominated debt. What happens if the dollar gets stronger? Debt gets more expensive. Over 100 nations have reached out to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for financial help.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization of 189 countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and reduce poverty around the world.

Created in 1945, the IMF is governed by and accountable to the 189 countries that make up its near-global membership. The IMF is a part of the United Nations (UN) system. https://www.imf.org/en/About

Make decisions now. Prepare and plan. Navigate through current and future economic trends.

Be ready. The explosive phase is coming!!!

Check out Michael’s comprehensive review and current standing of global markets, interest rates, currencies and more on the YouTube link below…

Michael Douville is an author and syndicated columnist.

Global Economy Trying to Recover… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on May 26, 2020 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:23 Know well the condition of your flocks, and give attention to your herds…

The Economy is trying to bottom and start the recovery. GDP is worse than the Great Recession, the damage is widespread and Many retailers and restauranteurs will not recover. However, change will bring new innovation and Huge Investment Opportunities.

Michael continues to watch the global impact of the U.S. Dollar. Diversify your resources and do your home work. Seek a financial adviser.

Click on the link below to get the latest economic news from Michael Douville.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

U.S. Oil Market Trades Below ZERO! April 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on April 20, 2020 by paulthepoke

April 20, 2020: For the first time ever, oil has traded below zero. The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil absolutely crashed to a low of -$38.08 during trading on Monday. As of this post, the price had corrected upwards to approximately $1.00 a barrel.

The price of international Brent crude fell to $26.60 a barrel. Brent crude capacity is not land locked as is the case in North America.

The oil price war between the Saudis and the Russians has not helped the matter either. You can bet both of these actors are watching the current situation carefully.

As a result of COVID-19, demand for oil and gas has decreased. Supply has increased to the point where there is essentially no place to store the oil in North America.

The oil storage facility in Cushing, Oklahoma is filling up fast. It is estimated the facility can hold around 85 million barrels. This is the key storage facility in North America.

The global economy is experiencing first hand the result of a lack of working and the free flow of commerce. People around the globe have been shut in their homes because of the COVID-19 coronavirus. Without economic demand, prices are falling.

The ripple effects of this move merit watching. Soft commodity food prices are on the verge of breaking lower as well. The idea of cheaper costs sounds good in the short term.

But eventually, producers and suppliers will cut back their production. And this will lead to an inventory squeeze, a spike in prices and ultimately inflation.

With the opening of the third seal in Revelation 6, John speaks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage for food. About 2,000 years ago, a denarius was a day’s wage for labor. Remember this is looming at some point in the future… A day’s wage to eat.

The dollar is breaking to higher levels against the currencies of the world. Will a strong US Dollar lead to the scenario of hyperinflation described in Revelation 6?

Revelation 6:6 And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Dollar Appreciation Continues… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy with tags , , , , , , , , , on March 23, 2020 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 20:10 Unequal weights and unequal measures are both alike an abomination to the LORD.

Micah 6:10-11 Can I forget any longer the treasures of wickedness in the house of the wicked, and the scant measure that is accursed? Shall I acquit the man with wicked scales and with a bag of deceitful weights?

Michael

All currencies are not created equal. Values of currencies change. God is not a fan of currency manipulation. Global markets and governments manipulate currencies on a daily basis. Imagine that, humanity outside of God’s economic laws…

The end result of currency changes can be dramatic. Michael explains the consequences of a rising dollar and what it means to global economics.

Michael has been talking with Technical Analyst Walter Zimmerman. He has target prices of the DXY (US Dollar) at 103.00. In an extreme case, Zimmerman has a target of 120.00 for the DXY. The end result would be cheaper prices and deflation in the United States. The rest of the world would pay higher prices and experience inflation. The US dollar is currently the global reserve currency.

Oil prices could drop as low as $15 per barrel in extreme cases. Michael Douville comments if we hit 120.00 on the DXY, oil could be roughly $5 per barrel. Recently, the DXY touched 102.82 and closed today at 102.10.

Global debt is financed in dollars. At some point, the bill comes due for borrowing money…

These are interesting times and it pays to be informed and prepared. Have a plan. Talk with your financial adviser.

For Michael’s timely comments, see the link below.

michael@michaeldouville.com
https://michaeldouville.com/

It would appear the current trend of a strong dollar continues as the world struggles with COVID-19 coronavirus…

Michael Douville is a Syndicated Columnist.

Library of videos and articles: www.michaeldouville.com

Interest Rates Below 2%???

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on October 2, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Can mortgage rates fall below 2%? Yes they can. Listen to Michael’s comments on interest rates and global currency considerations.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Proverbs 20:10 Unequal weights and unequal measures are both alike an abomination to the LORD.

Countries around the world are trying to manipulate their currencies. The US Dollar is getting stronger. What are the implications in today’s global economy? Michael shares his thoughts in his latest video below.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

International Economics and Bible Prophecy

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , on August 26, 2019 by paulthepoke

Michael Douville and Paul Lehr discuss international economics and how it lines up with Biblical Prophecy. Biblical Prophecy is being fulfilled as we speak!

The economic situation in Turkey continues to deteriorate. The Turkish government is desperate for resources. How does the situation in modern day Turkey relate to Bible prophecy?

Ezekiel 38:12-13 to seize spoil and carry off plunder, to turn your hand against the waste places that are now inhabited, and the people who were gathered from the nations, who have acquired livestock and goods, who dwell at the center of the earth. Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

For recent history regarding Russia, Turkey, Iran, and Ezekiel’s prophecy, see the link below.

https://paulthepoke.com/category/ezekiel-38-39/

Click on the link below with Michael and Paul for discussion.

https://paulthepoke.com/
https://michaeldouville.com/

Will a strong US Dollar lead to the scenario of hyperinflation described in Revelation 6?

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Is Turkey the “Catalyst” that Breaks the World?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on April 1, 2019 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 47:11 But evil shall come upon you, which you will not know how to charm away; disaster shall fall upon you, for which you will not be able to atone; and ruin shall come upon you suddenly, of which you know nothing.

Pay Attention!!!

By Michael Douville – I have forecast the Global Slowdown and now that fact has been recognized by virtually everyone. The Globe is slowing so quickly that the World may be entering a period of vulnerability to a sudden downdraft.

To paraphrase the famous question of “how does this happen?”: slowly, then all of a sudden! The economy has been dragged to the edge of a cliff; something just needs to push it over!

https://michaeldouville.com/

The last decade of repressed interest rates has encouraged a Global Debt Binge!

Italy is in Recession, The Netherlands is also. Germany is teetering avoiding a the statistical recession as the 3rdQuarter GDP was -0.2% but the 4thQuarter managed to rise to 0.0%. Revisions later may change the statistics.

The 1stQuarter of 2019 is looking dismal as Global demand for Autos declined and mighty BMW announced it will not make earnings projections. The stock dropped over 6%.  Lower earnings = lower stock prices!

More bad news for Germany as several Economic Indices are severely declining and the European Industrial powerhouse may be heading into further trouble. As Germany’s trading partners suffer, so suffers Germany as the German Economy is certainly Export driven. 

European Interest Rates have been driven into negative returns forcing European Banks to search for better yields in Sovereign and Corporate Debt. Many Spanish, Italian, and German Banks have still not recovered from the Great Financial Crisis and are “woefully unprepared” for the next financial crisis and the currency union is not resilient enough to emerge unscathed from unexpected economic storms” as reported by Christine Legarde.

Which brings us to Turkey! The last decade of repressed interest rates has encouraged a Global Debt Binge! Not only has business and private borrowers indulged beyond their capacity, but Nations across the World have found that it was very easy and expedient to borrow their way to Prosperity!

Turkey is in trouble! The Turkish Economy has officially entered a Recession. Inflation has been unleashed on the population driving prices of everyday goods beyond reach. The Turkish national currency the Lira has lost tremendous value as the Foreign Exchange rate, although improved from the near 7 Lira to the US Dollar, is still vastly devalued at 5.75 Lira to the US Dollar. To make matters worse, the US Dollar is cycling higher. Portending Turmoil!

Debt denominated in US Dollars is now coming due; Billions and Billions of US Dollars are coming due all while the Lira sinks and the Nation of Turkey is gripped by a Recession. Much of this debt is owed to the Banks of Spain, Italy, and Germany;  Banks that are “ill prepared” for Loss!! Banks that are “Systemically Important”!

Could Corporations in Turkey, struggling with Debt Repayment default on their loans? For that matter, could Turkey default on it’s Sovereign Debt? A Turkish default could lead to losses in Systemically Important Banks; losses now, while Europe struggles, would be felt everywhere!!! 

As I have recommended before, build reserves, pay down debt, cut expenses, review vulnerabilities both personal and Business, and discuss with your advisers as to what is Prudent in your Investment Portfolio. If contagion ignites, financing will be restricted; check with your lenders and review loans for refinance and Lines of Credit. Preserve Capital for the huge Opportunities that will surely present themselves. Review rental agreements and maximize tenant quality rather than maximize revenue. Rental cash flows may be the “Life Boat” to sustain the quality of life jeopardized by a Global Recession.

https://michaeldouville.com/

For more detail linking modern day Turkey to ancient Meshech, Tubal, Gomer, and Beth Togarmah, see the link below.

https://godinanutshell.com/2017/08/08/ezekiel-38-who-are-meshech-tubal-gomer-beth-togarmah/

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