Archive for stock market

This Time is Different! It Is Way Worse! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , on February 22, 2024 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 8:6 For there is a right time and procedure to every purpose, though a man’s misery weighs heavily upon him.

Here are a couple of economic videos and updates from Michael Douville.

My Timing model is a Real Estate Cycle Timing model. These cycles repeat over and over again on a fairly regular basis. This will be my 3rd or 4th cycle.

The main reason why Asset Bubbles are created is Excess Liquidity and, in this Cycle, there has been a massive amount of Excess Liquidity, or Economic Fuel, that is going to be resolved back to the “Mean”, probably a credit event of epic proportions.

Those that buy too late in the Cycle risk taking major losses as the Historic Bubble deflates.

For all segments of Real Estate. Most are focusing on Housing, which is also set to complete, but evidence that the Cycle is completing is centered in the Commercial Real Estate space.

I am encouraging Investors in Endangered Cities to move their investments to better markets via an IRC 1031 Tax deferred exchange. This is very inexpensive and does not trigger a tax implication. Schedule an appointment to review your situation. Let’s get ready to invest when the time is right. Contact me to schedule an appointment.

~

Banks, Pension Funds, and Insurance Companies are Doomed!

Most are focusing on Housing which is also set to complete, but the Collapse is most evident in Commercial Real Estate. The Real Estate Cycle is completing, and it is centered in the Commercial Real Estate space. Currently in the Office Market, but very well could migrate to multi-family.

When the devastation has passed, those that have their Capital, have their Credit, and have their Income Streams will make a generational FORTUNE!

My Model is forecasting tougher times to come that could last 24-20 months.

DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind.

Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’

Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel.

Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites.

All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.

Classes for Investing are being scheduled in Phoenix, AZ.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

What Is About To Break? What Scared the Fed? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on January 6, 2024 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

What is about to break? Something scared the Fed. The Pivot is coming from the Federal Reserve. They only do this when something scares them. I am hearing things overseas. Europe is a basket case, Japan is in trouble, and China is in trouble too. That is going to come here. We are still seeing manufacturing slowing, it’s getting better. The Federal Reserve put $60 Billion in the Economy, and it pumped up the Stock market, the Bond Market, and rates came down so Real Estate got better. Let’s get ready to invest when the time is right. Contact me to schedule an appointment.

~

DISCLAIMERS: Any information or advice available on this channel is intended for educational and general guidance only. Michael Douville shall not be liable for any direct, incidental, consequential, indirect, or punitive damages arising out of access to or use of any of the content available on this channel. Consult a financial advisor or other wealth management professional before you make investments of any kind. Although Michael Douville and his affiliates take all reasonable care to ensure that the contents of this channel are accurate and up to date, all information contained on it is provided ‘as is.’ Michael Douville makes no warranties or representations of any kind concerning the accuracy or suitability of the information contained on this channel. Any links to other websites are provided only as a convenience and Michael Douville encourages you to read the privacy statements of any third-party websites. All comments will be reviewed by Michael Douville and staff and may be deleted if deemed inappropriate. Comments which are off-topic, offensive or promotional will not be posted. The comments/posts are from members of the public and do not necessarily reflect the views of Michael Douville and his affiliates.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Economic Turmoil is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on June 8, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

You will experience this only three times in your lifetime.

A recession is coming and has likely started. The “everything bubble” is beginning to pop. Third quarter is looking like it could be rough. Get ready, it is coming quickly.

What can you do to capitalize? Talk with your financial adviser.

Cash will be king! Liquidity is coming out of the system.

Housing sales are dropping! You will have the opportunity to buy homes at discounts not available since the Great Financial Crisis where we were buying homes below cost. It will be scary, you will not want to invest, but I will tell you when the time is right and Generational Wealth will be available.

I need your help to reach 1000 subscribers. if you like the content, please give a thumbs up and subscribe.

In the meantime, the direction of the Real Estate market is Down, similar to 2006. A Recession is imminent, possible a severe recession. Will a waterfall event happen?

Commercial Real Estate looks like it is going to take a beating. Office space is empty in major metropolitans.

Those who have investments in the Endangered Cities might consider speaking to their brokers; should you decide to keep your properties, the hold will be probably at least 5 years. You will do better in Florida, Texas, or Arizona, particularly here in Phoenix.

Prices in commodities are coming down.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

50% Potential Loss to the Great Triumvirate: Stocks, Bonds, and Real Estate

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 30, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:7 The rich rules over the poor, and the borrower is the slave of the lender.

Proverbs 22:16 Whoever oppresses the poor to increase his own wealth, or gives to the rich, will only come to poverty.

Michael Douville took the time to talk with President of Pento Portfolio Strategies, Michael Pento.

For those who are interested in a deep discussion about bonds, debt, and lending. How will this affect real estate, bonds, and stocks? Click on the YouTube video link below.

Michael Pento lays out the Risk in the Equity Market, the Bond Market, and the Real Estate Market: The “Great Triumvirate”.

Pento and Douville see trouble coming in the real estate market. Is the bubble popping?

Commercial real estate properties are increasing with vacancies in major cities across the United States.

The Federal Reserve is shrinking the money supply. Liquidity is drying up globally.

Michael Pento discusses the explosion of Debt and its relationship to the Gross Domestic Product, GDP. Debt is 263% of GDP!

Investors might limit their exposure to “High Beta” Stocks. Avoid technology stocks.

Pento likes short term government treasuries (3 years of less), gold, and utilities.

Interest rates have never been raised this quickly and this high. The yield curve is inverted.

How will the banking industry be affected? Personal Bank Accounts should be kept to under the FDIC approved $250,000 limit. A few months of Cash liquidity kept at home would be prudent.

Michael Pento outlines the Financial Risk coming. Pento sees a deep recession coming. The conversation flows swiftly with great and valuable content.

Michael Pento, President and Founder Pento Portfolio Strategies

www.pentoport.com

~

Check out Michael Douville’s latest take on the real estate market and the economy.

Fortunes will be LOST! Fortunes will be MADE. Timing is Everything. Our timing model is showing that the Real Estate Market will be showing evidence of the slowdown by the end of the 2nd quarter or maybe early 3rd Quarter of 2023.

Prices could decline in Out-Migration States by much more than Florida, Texas, or Arizona. Could prices decline over 30%? My Timing Model forecasts that possibility.

Pending home sales are slowing and Builders are selling like crazy as they attempt to liquidate their properties. They are scared to death and will make deals.

By buying rates down and making concessions, builders are going to have trouble with their lenders.

The Real Estate market has probably peaked and the 2nd and final Peak is forming now!

A recession is coming with a likely hard landing. The recession has likely started.

Michael discusses cities at risk across America due to crime, poor management and leadership. Large, corporate businesses are leaving major metropolitans. Tax bases and revenues are decreasing in these cities.

Pensions are losing their value in Europe due to negative interest rate bonds.

Website: https://michaeldouville.com/

Michael Douville With… Charles Nenner: The Whole System is Shaky! Will the Fed Raise rates?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 21, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville and Charles Nenner discuss the latest in economic and market news. What’s coming next. Dr. Nenner is one of the world’s best when it comes to economic cycles.

What an amazing interview.

Charles Nenner believes the current Banking Crisis will resolve itself for a short time only. The Banking Index will rise for a “Bounce” only. Charles believes the Whole System is ready to go under.

We need to make plans.

One of the 3 strategies would be trading. This is not a “Buy and Hold” environment.

Charles also believes Inflation will start up again after May.

We are in for a “terrible” time. Charles’ War Cycle and Civil Disruption are turning up.

It is time to be cautious. Build cash reserves. Hold some cash at home, and when buying physical gold, take possession.

Click on the link below for the interview and video. You can’t afford not to listen…

Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 

Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Take Heed! Charles Nenner, Paul Lehr, and Michael Douville discuss the Markets and End Times!

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on December 28, 2022 by paulthepoke

The conversation was 2 hours long: amazing, candid, tying Old Testament and New Testament Biblical Prophecy to the current Geopolitical and Economic problems of today. This is the economic portion… LOL!!! Only 20 minutes.

If there is enough interest, I will publish the remainder.

Charles Nenner has been Head of Proprietary Trading at Goldman Sachs. Dr. Nenner was an Advisor to President George Bush. He is often a guest on CNBC and Bloomberg. In this video, Nenner discusses his Cycle Research with Paul Lehr.

Paul Lehr is a Biblical Scholar. He is author of a series of books including the Rapture, The Bride Redeemed. Paul is a contributor to GodInANutshell Productions. Paul Lehr is the Host, Editor and Publisher of www.PaulthePoke.com.

Photo: Wikipedia

Charts for a possible, sudden stock crash are shown in an overlay of the current S&P Index and the 1929 Crash. Charts are tracing out the same pattern. Is a Crash Imminent? Maybe, the economics are deteriorating.

How do the Economic and Geopolitics of Dr. Nenner’s work align with Biblical Prophecy?

https://michaeldouville.com/

This was an amazing and candid 2-hour discussion that does not lend itself well to editing for YouTube. If there is additional interest, please leave a comment.

For a free 30-day Research Newsletter from Charles Nenner: www.charlesnenner.com.

For books authored by Paul Lehr… https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

WARNING!!! MARKET DANGER!!! Charles Nenner & Michael Douville, October 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Markets could be about to get really serious…

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

So, when Charles Nenner forecasts something, it is in your best interest to listen!!

As you may know, I have interviewed Dr. Charles Nenner for many years. What you may not know is that Charles Nenner advised President Bush Sr. and was an investment analyst for the proprietary trading division of Goldman Sachs.

Further, he forecast to the day the 1987 Crash and the peak of the 2007 Stock Market in December 2007. He and I spoke just prior to the Covid-19 Crash, no one knew it was coming, where he predicted the mass unemployment, crashing GDP, and forecast the huge Oil decline.

A Special Interview with Charles Nenner. The 2022 Stock Market is mimicking the 1929 Stock Market which may indicate that October 21, 2022, may be a very dangerous time frame for many asset classes. If it is a repeat of 1929, then the trading days around October 21, 2022 could be very, very volatile… plus or minus a couple of days from October 21, 2022. Time to take actions!

Charles further forecasts the Fed Rate appears to indicate NO RELIEF for interest rates.

Current stock market charts in 2022 are mimicking the market crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Are markets are on the verge of repeating history?

Nenner has concerns of a market crash within the next week to 10 days. Are we about to witness a market crash? Extreme caution is warranted.

Asset classes (tech stocks, gold, and real estate) are lining up and they all suggest the same thing. Volatile trouble is coming…

~

The following comments below are from Dr. Nenner.

We still do not recommend being long any of the equity markets.

We are still not interested in being long gold or silver assets due to negative weekly cycles.

We recommend standing aside cryptocurrencies because cycles are down.

We have leaders in the world in all kinds of countries who have no idea about anything, especially about economics.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Nowhere to hide! Uh-Oh! Michael Douville & Charles Nenner

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times things which have not been done, saying, “My purpose will be established, and I will accomplish all My good pleasure.”

Isaiah 14:27 For the Lord of hosts has planned, and who can frustrate it? And as for His stretched-out hand, who can turn it back?

Dr. Charles Nenner reviews some major markets including the Goldman-Sachs Commodities, the DBB ETF for Base Metals, the Proprietary graph for Copper, Corn, Wheat, Gold, Silver, and Natural Gas. All showing weakness… there is nowhere to hide.

Rule #1, Don’t Lose Money!

Follow the math and do not listen to the media.

Cash is king. The US Dollar is strong and gaining.

Photo: iStock

Dr. Nenner says a significant recession is coming. The economy is getting weaker. Brace yourself, this may take awhile. Nenner discusses the likelihood of a significant stock market correction. Would you believe a Dow 5,000 target scenario? The average recession costs American’s 40% of their portfolio.

Commodities are rolling over in the short term. Inflation appears to be slowing. But watch out. Eventually, prices are going higher again towards the end of the year.

What does Dr. Nenner’s work say about gold and silver? The BIG bull market is coming, but when? Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to go long and buy. Listen to Dr. Nenner’s commentary and analysis for details.

Interest rates have turned and rates are going up. We are witnessing a significant cycle change according to Nenner’s research.

Wheat prices appear to be on the cusp of turning up again.

Energy prices are discussed in this video. Oil and natural gas are significant considerations to our pocket books.

Dr. Nenner recommended to go into cash around the first of the year 2022. If you had listened to Nenner’s research and recommendations, your retirement account and stocks would have been spared a 20-30% reduction.

Don’t fight the cycles…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information.

DON’T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY… Charles Nenner will be holding a Private Live Webinar where attendees can listen live and ask some questions. Attendance is going to be limited. This amazing opportunity to get a insiders view on the markets is scheduled for August 7th, 2022. Send your request to attend to info@charlesnenner.com. Details will be sent.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Dr. Charles Nenner, Caution in the Stock Market

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 13, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

April 6, 2021: It has been six months and Dr. Charles Nenner is back.

Dr. Nenner takes time to explain his proprietary research and charts with Michael Douville. Actual research charts explained with commentary. When Charles Nenner speaks, it usually pays to listen!

Dr. Nenner and Michael take a deep dive and go with an in depth interview to discuss his charts of Gold, the Dow, Bonds, and Volatility.

The Charles Nenner Research Center provides independent market timing research to clients around the world, including hedge funds, banks, brokerage firms, family offices, governments and individuals.

Charles Nenner also offers 4 weeks free trial offer for his research: www.Charlesnenner.com

To contact Michael Douville: michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael represents Real Estate Investors and specializes in conservative Passive Income.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners.jpg