Archive for Black Sea

This Week in Prophecy: Pope Denies Hell; Russia; China; Banking Woes

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Ezekiel 38-39, Hell, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 18, 2023 by paulthepoke

Matthew 10:28 “And do not fear those who kill the body but cannot kill the soul. But rather fear Him who is able to destroy both soul and body in hell.” -Jesus

See also Luke 12:5, Revelation 20:14, 15, 21:8 (Lake of Fire)

Pope Francis denies the physical existence of Hell.

Hell is not a place. If one goes to attend the Last Judgment, and sees the faces of those who go to Hell, one gets scared. If you read Dante, you get scared. But these are media representations.

Hell is a state, there are people who live in Hell continuously.” -Pope Francis

With these comments, along with others, the Vatican went into spin mode.

All official, final texts of the Holy Father are found on the Vatican website,” and since they were never published by the Holy See Press Office they “should not be considered official texts.” -Holy See Press Office

https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/pope-francis-denies-that-hell-is-a-place-says-it-is-a-posture-towards-life/

Ezekiel 38: Sons of Magog and Rosh, modern day Russia. For more details on ancient Magog, click on the link below.

Tension is on the rise with Russia attempting to spray a U.S. drone with jet fuel over the Black Sea in international waters. The Russian pilot got a little too close for comfort and appears to graze the drone.

The International Criminal Court has issued a warrant for the arrest of Russian President Vladimir Putin as a war criminal for illegally exporting Ukrainian children.

https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-ukraine-icc-judges-issue-arrest-warrants-against-vladimir-vladimirovich-putin-and

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Revelation 9:16 And the number of mounted troops was two hundred million; I heard their number.

Tension increases in the Pacific. The United States and the United Kingdom have agreed to sell nuclear submarines to Australia.

The United States has sold 220 Tomahawk cruise missiles to Australia. Japan may be interested in buying cruise missiles as well.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11851407/MARK-ALMOND-China-puts-economy-war-footing-submarine-deal-just-start.html

https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/16/australia/australia-tomahawk-missiles-aukus-intl-hnk/index.html

China’s President Xi is headed to Moscow early next week. The focus is peace between Russia and Ukraine. Some think China is on the verge of a weapon’s deal with the Russians.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64986486

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Leviticus 19:36 You shall have honest scales, honest weights, an honest ephah, and an honest hin: I am the LORD your God, who brought you out of the land of Egypt.

God wants honesty when it comes to economic matters.

The last couple of weeks in financial markets and global economics has been rocky. In the last two business weeks 5 banks have crashed. The United States has witnessed two of its largest bank failures in history.

Moody’s Investor Service has downgraded the entire United States banking system to negative.

We have changed to negative from stable our outlook on the US banking system to reflect the rapid deterioration in the operating environment following deposit runs at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank (SNY) and the failures of SVB and SNY.” -Moody’s

The banks in the United States includes: Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank. The mess has made its way across the Atlantic to Europe. Switzerland’s Credit Suisse required a bailout from the Swiss government.

The US Department of Treasury decided to insure all depositors in banks that expose a “systemic risk exception”, even those above the insured threshold of $250,000. The two banks who meet this “exception” include Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. All depositors were “made whole”.

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1337

This “exception” appears to be on a case by case basis as decided by the boards of the FDIC, the Federal Reserve, President Biden, Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen.

During hearings with the Senate, Oklahoma Senator James Lankford (R) pressed Secretary Yellen. This exchange was extraordinary.

Banks only get the treatment if the failure to protected uninsured depositors would create systemic risk.” -Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen

PLEASE WATCH!

If a bank does not meet the threshold of “exception” and one has deposits over the FDIC insured amount of $250,000 in said bank, tough! No bailout for you!

Plan Accordingly!!!

Money is flying out of smaller banks and being deposited into Tier 1 Wall Street banks. These Tier 1 banks include JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup. And the rich get richer.

Will Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell raise interest rates next week?

The Debt Limit deadline looms some time around April 2023. The United States has wracked up $31.4 trillion in debt (31,400,000,000,000). Secretary Yellen has already warned Congress that if the Debt Limit is not increased, it would be crushing to the banking system.

Buckle up! This is going to get rough!

Is all of this dishonesty in the banking industry reaching a tipping point? God says judgment is ultimately coming.

Micah 6:11-13 Can I excuse dishonest scales or bags of false weights? For the wealthy of the city are full of violence, and its residents speak lies; their tongues are deceitful in their mouths. Therefore I am striking you severely, to ruin you because of your sins. -The LORD God

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

This Week in Prophecy: Bibi’s Back, Energy, Russia & Jordan, Wuhan Lockdown

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on November 7, 2022 by paulthepoke

On This Week in Prophecy… Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel again. Netanyahu’s coalition collected 64 of the 120 seats in Israel’s parliament.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/11/3/netanyahu-and-far-right-declared-winners-in-israeli-elections

United Kingdom Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has changed his mind. Previously in August of 2022, Sunak indicated he sees Jerusalem as “Israel’s historic capital” in front of a Conservative Friends of Israel event.

Sunak had also publicly stated, “To me, it’s indisputably the historic capital… it seems to me that there is a very strong case to it, to recognize what is a historic and practical step. It would be something where we’d be acting in concert with our allies in the region and, in general, one of our closest allies, so it’s something I’d like to do.”

But now, “there are no current plans to change the location of our embassy.”

Muslim leaders wrote letters to King Charles III.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uk-scraps-plan-move-israel-embassy-jerusalem-tel-aviv

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uk-israel-embassy-jerusalem-condemned-muslim-leaders-grand-mufti

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Ezekiel 38:13 …”Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?”

Israel has begun drilling in the Karish Gas Field in the Mediterranean Sea.

Prime Minister Yair Lapid made the following comment, “Producing gas from the Karish field will lower energy costs in Israel, will turn Israel into a regional energy supplier, and will help Europe deal with the energy crisis.”

https://www.timesofisrael.com/as-gas-begins-to-flow-lapid-tours-karish-hailing-implications-for-israels-economy

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It would appear there is an emerging diesel shortage and potential crisis evolving on the east coast of the United States. According to Oilprice.com there are 4 reasons why this is happening.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Gas-Prices/Four-Reasons-Why-The-US-Is-Grappling-With-A-Diesel-Shortage.html

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Russia is playing a part again in grain exports in the Black Sea, for humanitarian purposes of course.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-russia-ukraine-grain-deal-mediation-guarantees

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Russia and Jordan are agreeing to coordinate efforts in Syria. This is definitely an issue to watch closely in light of Ezekiel 38-39.

Ezekiel 39:11 On that day I will give to Gog a place for burial in Israel, the Valley of the Travelers, east of the sea. It will block the travelers, for there Gog and all his multitude will be buried. It will be called the Valley of Hamon-gog.

Jordan’s Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi met Russian Sergei Lavrov in Amman, Jordan on November 3, 2022.

“The truth is Russian presence in Syria has been a stabilizing factor in the south because the vacuum would be filled by militias and other groups that will not be able to ensure stability in those places,” Jordan Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi.

Syria makes over 10 billion dollars from an amphetamine-like drug. Jordan has also had hundreds of thousand of refugees from Syria as a result of the civil war.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/jordan-seeks-closer-coordination-russia-over-syria

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China is experiencing another wave of COVID-19. The Communists continue with their “COVID Zero” policy. President Xi Jinping has taken power for a third term. Wuhan is back in the news with another round of lockdowns.

China now has over 210,000,000 in lockdown in 28 cities. Food shortages and inflation are being reported in these cities.

https://www.the-sun.com/news/6539905/wuhan-plunged-lockdown-covid-quarantine/

https://paulthepoke.com/?s=wuhan

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Remember to get out and vote this Tuesday, November 8, 2022!!!

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

This Week in Prophecy: Earthquake in Philippines, Monkeypox, Nitrogen & Food Security, B(razil)R(ussia)I(ndia)C(hina)S(Africa)

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Earthquakes/Volcanoes, Ezekiel 38-39, Pestilence, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 27, 2022 by paulthepoke

TWIP, July 27, 2022:

Luke 21:10-11 Then He said to them, “Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. And there will be great earthquakes in various places, and famines and pestilences; and there will be fearful sights and great signs from heaven.

A 7.0 magnitude earthquake has struck the northern most island of the Philippines.

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map

The World Health Organization has declare the Monkeypox Virus a global health emergency.

Revelation 16:2 So the first went and poured out his bowl upon the earth, and a foul and loathsome sore came upon the men who had the mark of the beast and those who worshiped his image.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/23/who-declares-spreading-monkeypox-outbreak-a-global-health-emergency.html

Revelation 6:6 And I heard a voice in the midst of the four living creatures saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius; and do not harm the oil and the wine.”

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has declared environmental war on nitrogen fertilizers.

https://thecountersignal.com/trudeau-moves-forward-with-fertilizer-reduction-climate-policy/

Russia and Ukraine have signed a piece of paper to allow for grain exports from the Ukraine. The next day, Russia bombed a sea port in Odessa, Ukraine.

https://www.rt.com/russia/559443-ukraine-grain-deal-sealed/

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/07/ukraine-russia-agree-sign-deal-istanbul-end-grain-crisis#ixzz7Zlm6Qyis

Russia is expanding its sphere of influence across the continent of Africa.

https://ilanberman.com/26326/russia-african-inroads-bear-watching

The BRICS countries lead by Russia and China are looking to establish a global reserve currency to compete and ultimately overtake the US Dollar.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/russia-and-china-officially-announce-new-global-reserve-currency

China is surrounding banks with tanks. People’s personal savings have been converted to “investment vehicles” which cannot be withdrawn. Can you imagine the uproar???

All of this and more on This Week in Prophecy. Click the YouTube link below for news, details, analysis, and commentary.

Virtual Photo

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Putin & Erdogan Meet Raisi in Tehran, “Axis of Good” Emerges

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:1-6 The word of the LORD came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord GOD: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal. And I will turn you about and put hooks into your jaws, and I will bring you out, and all your army, horses and horsemen, all of them clothed in full armor, a great host, all of them with buckler and shield, wielding swords. Persia, Cush, and Put are with them, all of them with shield and helmet; Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

photo: Al Jazeera

Gog of Magog: Leader of modern day Russia

Meshech, Tubal, Beth-togarmah, Gomer: modern day Turkey

Persia: modern day Iran

Click on the video/audio link below for more detail, analysis and commentary.

Ezekiel 38‘s gang met together this week in Tehran, Iran. The nations are molding a political, economic, and military alliance.

“Iran is (the) center of dynamic diplomacy. (Meetings will) develop economic cooperation, focus on security of the region via political solution… and ensure food security,” Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian.

Here is an outline of what’s happened. First, let’s take a look at Turkish President Recep Erdogan getting off the plane and walking down the red carpet. His gait is a bit unsteady, slow and frankly uses all the carpet between the yellow lines. This is not the look of a fit and healthy man.

Second, Russian President Putin arrives and the headlines are questioning his health with a limp right arm. He is limping as he walks. But his gait looks better than Erdogan’s.

Russian Yevgeny Popov has proclaimed the alliance between Russia and Iran the “Axis of Good.”

Russia has been visiting Iran about the possibility of drone purchases.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11027163/Putin-arrives-Iran-looks-create-new-anti-West-alliance-secure-Tehrans-drones.html

Russian energy giant Gazprom has signed a $40 billion deal with Iran. Remember, this was completed in the face of western sanctions against Russia in their invasion of Ukraine. Iran is also under sanctions from the west.

“This MoU (memorandum of understanding) will be the largest foreign investment in the history of Iran’s oil industry, as it will lead to an investment of several tens of billions of dollars of Russian investment in Iran’s oil and gas fields.”

“Iran and Russia have a total of 70 trillion cubic meters of gas reserves, which is 30% of the world’s gas reserves. Therefore, these two countries play a very important role in ensuring the world’s energy sustainability.” -Iran’s Tasnim News Agency.

Gazprom has also stated it will not be able to deliver natural gas to a significant European customer due to an “Act of God”.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/18/russias-gazprom-declares-force-majeure-on-some-gas-supplies-to-europe.html

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Russia and Turkey are looking to sign a deal regarding the distribution of grain from Ukraine. Over 130 ships are believed to be blocked in the Black Sea.

“An agreement was reached on a plan, general principles for shipping grain and food products… A meeting on this within the week is probable,” Turkish Defense Minister Hulusi Akar

https://www.reuters.com/world/turkey-says-ukraine-russia-un-meeting-this-week-grain-corridor-probable-2022-07-18/

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Iran claims it has the technical capability to produce a nuclear bomb.

“It is no secret that we have the technical capabilities to manufacture a nuclear bomb, but we have no decision to do so. In a few days, we were able to enrich uranium up to 60 percent, and we can easily produce 90% enriched uranium,” Kamal Kharazi, Head of Iran’s Strategic Council on Foreign Relations

https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-iranian-official-boasts-iran-has-technical-ability-to-manufacture-nuclear-bomb/

With all of this happening, why in the world would Iran return to the negotiating table for a nuclear deal with the west?

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All of this is happening just as the ancient prophet had written over 2,600 years ago.

Ezekiel 38:10-15 “Thus says the Lord GOD: On that day, thoughts will come into your mind, and you will devise an evil scheme and say, ‘I will go up against the land of unwalled villages. I will fall upon the quiet people who dwell securely, all of them dwelling without walls, and having no bars or gates,’ to seize spoil and carry off plunder, to turn your hand against the waste places that are now inhabited, and the people who were gathered from the nations, who have acquired livestock and goods, who dwell at the center of the earth. Sheba and Dedan and the merchants of Tarshish and all its leaders will say to you, ‘Have you come to seize spoil? Have you assembled your hosts to carry off plunder, to carry away silver and gold, to take away livestock and goods, to seize great spoil?’

Encouraging every one to read Ezekiel 38-39. https://biblehub.com/esv/ezekiel/38.htm

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Putin Recognizes DPR & LPR, Russian Troops Move Into Ukraine

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Russian President Vladimir Putin has recognized the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Luhansk People’s Republic as independent countries with the stroke of his pen.

Putin has authorized the movement of Russian troops as “peace keepers” into eastern Ukraine.

Russian troop movements into Ukraine have been confirmed by multiple sources.

Russian naval resources have sealed off the Sea of Azov east of the Crimean Peninsula. War ships are also spotted west of Crimea near Odessa, Ukraine.

Additional Russian military hardware continues to move into Syria.

President Biden, the EU, France, Germany, and Great Britain have expressed their disapproval. Economic sanctions appear to be on the near horizon.

Magog is on the move…

Ezekiel 38:4 I will turn you around, put hooks in your jaws, and bring you out with all your army—your horses, your horsemen in full armor, and a great company armed with shields and bucklers, all brandishing their swords.

For details, analysis, and commentary, click on the link below.

Russia and Ukraine, February 13, 2022… Czekmate’s Operational Analysis & Commentary

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on February 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

RIA Novosti is reporting that the Ukrainian Army is provoking the Donbas and Luhansk separatist militia using western weapons and American “Mercenaries” from Academi (Formerly Blackwater Worldwide. It goes on to describe the Ukrainian Army as concentrated in an array against these two regions.

Czekmate thought bubble: ‘Such clear horse-s–t’

Czekmate Comment: This is Russian state media, who’ve gone into justification of a course of action on the part of the Russian government that has yet to make itself plain. The amount of firepower being gathered opposite the Ukrainian frontier and in the Black Sea is massive. However, much of what it is accomplishing in Czekmate’s view is to give Ukraine something to think about in terms of the options available to the Kremlin and consequently how few are available to a defensive Kiev. As stated in one of my musings yesterday, it also forces Ukraine to thin out its military posture nationwide leaving the offensive initiative even more with the Russian Army.

In that light, the RIA article is truly slam-tied propaganda in line with the factional/national interests of Putin’s team. Those who follow Czekmate’s rather unorthodox thought train on the Russian buildup and the diplomacy surrounding it would observe that Ukraine would be unwise to concentrate forces opposite the DPR and LPR. They are more likely to be widely dispersed in order to cover multiple lanes of potential approach by the Russian Army.

In that light the national government under Prime Minister Zelensky has either been admirably cool-headed or criminally complacent about that which is arrayed against them. Much of the anecdotal information about daily life in and around Kiev suggests that churches, schools, bars and clubs are continuing to operate as usual. If the Ukrainian press is accurate, just today the Ukrainian Army cancelled all leave to include recalling troops already on leave. In short, Ukraine seems to be observing a posture that the tensions are overhyped and they are not going to play the provocateur.

Also in the “win column” for the Ukrainian government is that they appear to be successful with the deployment of their diplomatic service. Specifically, they were quick to protest the expansive closure areas for Naval exercises on the Black Sea this past week. Within the past 48 hours they also used the Vienna Document to make a request of the Russian government as to their intentions regarding such a massive deployment of forces. This is exactly what this diplomatic arrangement should be used for. Other treaty mechanisms such as the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty and the Intermediate Nuclear Forces treaty are in the proverbial hurt locker. But the Vienna Document continues to have buy-in from the Russian government and all other members of the OSCE (Organization for Security Cooperation in Europe).

The bottom line for the Ukrainian government is that they seem to be the adults in the room throughout this entire epoch. As of this writing, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister is tweeting that the Russian Federation did not make its deadline to respond under the terms of the Vienna document.

Update on Russian response to terms of Vienna document. Russia states it has not conducted any unusual military activity in their country. Russia states Ukraine’s claim is not admissible.

Czekmate does not have high hopes for the German Chancellor’s trip to Kiev and Moscow in the next few days. Although, Germany seems to have the best shot for being the most honest broker. They are a party to the “Normandy Format” quad partite arrangement which helped end the LPR & DPR conflict of 2014, Both Ukraine and Russia (In addition to Germany and France) have equities in keeping the arrangement viable. This is borne out in multiple recent Kremlin statements about returning to the Minsk agreement, also a product of the Normandy Format talks in the city of the same name.

German interest is in resolving this matter with little economic damage owing to the exposure of the German economy to Russian trade. Sanctions could actually bite where Germany is concerned. The other western player among the Normandy Format states, France appears to have disengaged. President Macron is a deeply unpopular leader, and one cannot help but consider his journey to Moscow, Kiev, and Berlin last week was an attempt to buttress his reelection chance in August. Putin certainly knew that when Macron made it to Moscow.

“Excuse my language, but we don’t give a $#!+ about all their sanctions. We have already had so many sanctions and in that sense they’ve had a positive effect on our economy and agriculture. New sanctions are nothing positive but not as bad as the West makes it sound.” -Viktor Tatarintsev, Russian Diplomat

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10507761/Putin-doesnt-s-t-sanctions-Russian-ambassador-says-amid-Ukraine-invasion-fears.html

Russia and Ukraine, February 9, 2022… Czekmate’s Operational Analysis & Commentary

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on February 9, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ezekiel 38:2 “Son of man, set your face toward Gog of the land of Magog, the prince of Rosh, Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him…”

Via Telegram:

#Ukraine Armed Forces Are Preparing “Offensive operations” against the breakaway Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics and “Ukrainian propagandists of the Armed Forces of Ukraine prepared and distributed on the Internet staged video materials aimed at discrediting the defenders of Donbass,” Says the official rep of the DPR army Eduard Basurin.

Czekmate Comment: Statements such as these, from separatist leaders in Ukraine and elsewhere are an important marker. I posted the story about the Gaguz in Moldova earlier today because Interfax went to pains to re-publish it in English. Casus beli for Russia to launch operations may be forming based on what you see from these movements. The economic and strategic arguments for why Russia is doing this renders these separatist instigations a phony pretext. So one ought to consider ‘big talk’ from these movements as Kremlin directed theater.

Napoleon once said “History is a set of lies that we agree upon”.

So here may be the Russian lie to launch an operation. An intervention force to restore order and humanitarian conditions in the Russophone separatist regions. Over the past 24 hours (As noted here in Czekmate) the Russian Foreign Ministry seems to have made its diplomatic themes involving the “Minsk Agreement” (Diplomatic protocol on the separatist regions of Ukraine) much more uniform. It is borne out in statements by the Russian Ambassadors to the UN and Berlin. Concurrently, separatist leaders have been making their ill-ease with their ostensible governments more plain. This is also noted in this ValorTube group.

http://www.hisutton.com/Russia-Med-BS-2022-02-09.html

In the past 12 hours, Russian Naval Assets have arrived in the Black Sea with more in the eastern and western Mediterranean appearing to prepare to rendezvous at sea. To arrive in force with optimal mass, the ships in question will need to continue at high speed. In the mean time, exercise areas in the black Sea have been notified to international authorities for ships and aircraft in the area. The end of these Black Sea exercises nearly coincides (19 Feb.) with the conclusions of Russian/Belarussian exercises in Belarus (20 Feb.). The same day as the ending of the Olympics.

Also announced Tuesday by Interfax – English language service, is a ‘multiweek’ exercise involving a small number of Russian Troopers in the Southern Military District. These areas are the historically restive regions of ‘Adygea, Chechnya, Dagestan, Karachay-Cherkessia, North Ossetia and Ingushetia, as well as at Russian military bases in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.’ The later two being in Georgian territory. There can be little doubt that this is to send a message to Russia’s neighbors and any localized trouble makers that Moscow is in no mood to be messed with. These forces utilizing full equipment and presumably wartime levels of logistics, ought to be viewed more as a military constabulary among the regions where Russia has stoked previous separatist sentiment.

As before, Russia appears to be ready to go at any time should they so desire.

Again, the Olympics do not close until the 20th. As mused by your faithful Czekmate before, one wonders what agreements were struck between the two autocrats. The Beijing games are not garnering the kind of success and flash the Chinese apparatchiks envisioned. But the PRC has no shortage of national hubris and may have insisted on having the international airwaves to themselves.

Maximum lunar illumination will be on February 16th, and based on social media, it does not appear that the ground is frozen. As it stands, this would slow but not stymie an advance of an army. Add to that, rumors persist of rampant illness among the Russian frontline units along the Ukrainian frontier. Each one of these factors can be overcome, but each one comes at some kind of cost. These costs have to be considered in light of mission objectives and benefits in relation to other issues.

The decision appears to be in the hands of one man, as it has largely been since this saga began to unfold on January 20th, 2021: Vladimir Putin.

Russia and Ukraine, February 5, 2022… Czekmate’s Analysis & Commentary

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 5, 2022 by paulthepoke

Don’t know how often we can do this. Czekmate has a good deal of time on his hands today, but there are some key points in the past 24 hours:

– A distillation of reports from overhead imagery watchers on social media (a motley but worthy cottage industry) is showing early signs of potential dispersal from garrison on the Belarus front. TRANSLATION: Troops leaving base for field locations potentially in anticipation of launching operations.

– The Bloomberg News Headline stating that ‘Russia had invaded Ukraine, set against the backdrop of Ned Price’s inglorious/tiresome attempt to explain information relating to a planned Russian “false flag” propaganda incident, continues to occupy the discourse in Russian press.

– The last 24 hours also saw the arrival of SU-25 attack jets from the Russian far-east district, prompting concerns that it is a “huge red flag”.

Discussion: Czekmate generally agrees, red flag.

In Soviet days a sustained build up of 130,000 constitutes a noticeable exercise. As communicated to/by Paul Lehr, transfers between military/federal districts is a big deal. These are orders that come directly from the top. The recent surge of naval forces from the Baltic into the Mediterranean plainly creates logistical options for Russian forces on the Black Sea. Such moves also require direction from the general staff in Moscow.

Amid all of this, the Russian government has had every xenophobic excuse to continue to build and justify conflict in the mind of the Russian public, and that of Russophone separatists in eastern Ukraine. American and allied rhetoric continues a presumption of hostilities. The continual arming of Ukraine is making its way around Slavic social media at record speeds.

In short, the Russian information sphere is saturated with information that could justify action with the means to do so assembling rapidly. This is happening, in the context of allied armed intervention already being off the table. Geopolitically, Putin has the initiative.

Putin is further sending messages to the International business community that he can weather US/Allied economic responses. A recent publicized agreement between the Russian Federation and China involving a 30 year agreement on natural gas exports, will be settled in Euros. As Czekmate previously noted, this would help sideline the Eurozone economies, particularly the fragile German banking sector.

The intended Russian affect would likely be to pit ally against ally in formulating a sanctions package in response to a Ukrainian invasion. From the Russian vantage point it could also create increased pressure on the dollar amid a potentially hyper inflationary US domestic environment. Czekmate suggests that the prospect of a euro/dollar tension in the face of hostilities could reach further than Wall Street or Washington can/will contemplate.

Czekmate does not continence the idea that this was/is avoidable in the world of the post-elevation of Joe Biden to the White House. Discussion by the venerable outlets of Revolver News and Tucker Carlson are intelligent but misguided in one critical sense. The precipice was crossed sometime ago. Ukraine’s fate was largely sealed when the 2020 election went uncontested amid the January 6th ‘American Reichstag’ episode. As before, there are major hidden agendas in play here. Reflect on a quote frequently attributed to Aeschylus “Truth is the first casualty in war”.

Russia & Turkey Broker Cease Fire in Libya, January 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , on January 9, 2020 by paulthepoke

While the world has been watching the drama between the United States and Iran…

January 8, 2020: Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Erdogan have announced a cease fire in Libya effective 00:00 (midnight) on January 12, 2020.

Putin and Erdogan got together in Istanbul, Turkey to reach the deal. On the surface, it would appear Russia and Turkey are on opposite sides of the conflict.

Russian special forces have been in Libya since March of 2017. Russia supports General Khalifa Haftar of the Libyan National Army (LNA). There are an estimated 2,500 Russian troops in Libya per the Turks.

Libya’s Government of National Accord (GNA) has requested Turkey’s military support. The GNA has the support of the United Nations. As of the posting of this blog, Turkey has sent an estimated 35 troops and this per Turkish state run news outlets.

See the New York Times article below for more details.

Check out al-Monitor for a Middle East perspective.

https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/01/turkey-russia-syria-putin-met-erdogan-discussed-libya.html

Liveuamap: Libya

Oil and money are at the heart of the issue. Libya has the largest oil reserves in Africa. Production is approximately 700,000 barrels per day. With political stability and safety, production could increase to 2,500,000 barrels per day.

The backdrop of the announcement was Russia and Turkey announcing the Turkstream Pipeline. The pipleline carries natural gas from Russia to the west under the Black Sea to Turkey. From there, natural gas is distributed to southern Europe.

https://apkpure.com/turkstream-pipeline-project/info.turkstream.app

“We hosted the President of Serbia (Aleksandar Vucic) and Bulgarian Prime Minister (Boyko Borissov) here, also there are some guests from other countries in Southern Europe. This gas will directly go to these countries: Greece, North Macedonia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina, (Serbia), Bulgaria, maybe Romania, and then go to Hungary and Austria.” -Sakir Arikan, Managing Director of TurkAkim Gas

“The supply of Russian gas through TurkStream will undoubtedly be of great importance not only for the economy of Turkey and the Black Sea region, but will also have a positive impact on the development of many South European countries, and will contribute to improving the energy security of Europe in general,” stated Vladimir Putin.

Russia is also supporting Turkey with the Akkuyu nuclear power plant which is scheduled to come on line later in 2020.

https://www.rt.com/business/477097-russia-turkey-turkstream-launch/

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Ancient Magog (Russia) and his brothers Meshech, Gomer, and Tubal (Turkey) have come together in the name of peace in Libya. Turkey and Russia are drawing closer for economic benefit. The prophet Ezekiel said they would form an alliance at some point in the future. Who knew it would take about 2,600 years from when it was written?

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.