Archive for interest rates

No Recession Narrative is full of Baloney! Who do you believe? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 9, 2023 by paulthepoke

John 18:38 Pilate says to Him, “What is truth?” And having said this, he went out again to the Jews and says to them, “I find no guilt in Him.

Who is most concerned about YOU? Do you trust the Federal Government to take care of YOU?

What you decide and what you start to realize, is going to make a huge impact on the way you survive in the Economy in the next 18-24 months.

Now, the Government and Wall Street would like you to believe we are heading toward a soft landing; that continues to be the narrative. Now, there are lots of advantages for Wall Street and the Administration. The Administration does not want to be blamed for a bad economy and bringing a Recession to our doorsteps.

What you decide is going to make a huge difference for YOU!

There has been a soft landing ONE time in history. That was in the 1990’s.

We are currently experiencing historic interest rate hikes. Pay off your credit card debt immediately. Raise cash if you can.

Wall Street gets paid on your money, assets under management (AUM).

Michael Douville sees a hard landing coming. Bankruptcies are increasing. Stores are closing around the country. Shipping box production is declining rapidly. Manufacturing jobs are in contraction.

Interest on government debt is heading towards $1,000,000,000,000 (trillion) per year.

The definition is the problem; what constitutes “Unemployed”? There are about 35.5 million working aged people who are not in the workforce. They are not counted in the 3.5% unemployment figures. What are these people doing? They are not working, and not disabled, not stay at home parents; what are they doing? If they would like to work, yet cannot find a job, then the unemployment rate is waaaay more than 3.5%. Further, how can there be a robust economy with that number of people idle.

Jobs Report: 585,000 full time jobs lost: 972,000 part-time added, and 118,000 new multi-job workers.

Liquidity (cash) is coming out of the market at a record pace. It looks like a Recession coming to me.

Germany is already officially in a Recession.

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Paul Volcker absolutely destroyed my Real Estate portfolio. He destroyed my Real Estate practice and I lost absolutely everything. I was a very young man; a product of the 1980 to 1982 double recession. When Paul Volcker stepped on the Gas and raised interest rates and literally destroyed my Business, my Real Estate practice, my holdings. I lost everything. Paul Volcker raised interest rates to the point where everybody stopped.

In Chicago, there were 60,000 Journeymen Electricians out of work, steel mills closed, Bethlehem Steel and Republic Steel, closed. Auto plants closed, retail was affected, construction was affected. It was awful. I lost virtually everything I owned…

Current Chairman Jerome Powell’s hero is Paul Volcker.

I know what can happen.

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https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Credit Event Coming??? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Are we entering another Credit Event? I remember Lehman Brothers and Bear Stears. These events start slow and gather speed until things start to cascade.

Germany’s Deutsche Bank is in the news. Credit Default Swaps (insurance) are soaring! Tier 1 Bonds are crashing. Did Deutsche Bank receive $60 billion in Federal Reserve Foreign Repo Agreements?

European banks hold bonds yielding less than 0%. They are losing money big time as interest rates go up.

Global liquidity and money are in short supply. Liquidity is the fuel of the economy. Bank deposits are decreasing. Things are getting more difficult to get a loan.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is focused on lowering inflation. He says interest rates are not coming down any time soon.

Michael Douville recommends reading an article, Too Small To Not Fail, A Short History of the World by Danielle DiMartino Booth. For those not familiar, Danielle is a former Federal Reserve Insider. She is the CEO & Chief Strategist, Quill Intelligence LLC, and Economist.

Instead of mass mobilizing against Powell as if he was the reincarnation of King Louis XVI, why not grow up? In the absence of a solution without consequences, he’s made an attempt to steer the economy into the first recession from which it has the slightest chance of exiting without the dead weight of zombie companies, without the corrupt practice of anointing Wall Street’s kingpins the de facto makers of monetary policy. A wise man once said, “There is no such thing as a free lunch.”

Damn right there’s not. Perhaps we accept the truth in this wisdom and, in doing so, the consequences of our actions. -Danielle DiMartino Booth

https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/p/too-small-to-not-fail-history

Check out Michael’s analysis, economic news, charts, and commentary below on the YouTube video. Click on the red play button.

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael Douville With… Charles Nenner: The Whole System is Shaky! Will the Fed Raise rates?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 21, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville and Charles Nenner discuss the latest in economic and market news. What’s coming next. Dr. Nenner is one of the world’s best when it comes to economic cycles.

What an amazing interview.

Charles Nenner believes the current Banking Crisis will resolve itself for a short time only. The Banking Index will rise for a “Bounce” only. Charles believes the Whole System is ready to go under.

We need to make plans.

One of the 3 strategies would be trading. This is not a “Buy and Hold” environment.

Charles also believes Inflation will start up again after May.

We are in for a “terrible” time. Charles’ War Cycle and Civil Disruption are turning up.

It is time to be cautious. Build cash reserves. Hold some cash at home, and when buying physical gold, take possession.

Click on the link below for the interview and video. You can’t afford not to listen…

Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 

Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

The Economy will follow Liquidity into a Recession… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on February 11, 2023 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 8:6 For there is a right time and procedure to every purpose, though a man’s misery weighs heavily upon him.

In the Business World, Love does not make the World go round, it is LIQUIDITY that makes the world go round. Without liquidity, the Business World slows. The quicker it is withdrawn, the quicker we head into Recession.

Between March 2020 and March 2022, the Treasury and The Federal Reserve added $10 Trillion. What do you think is going to happen? Do you think Inflation may appear? Well now the “Powers to be” are removing Liquidity at a startling rate.

Places like Sri Lanka, and Lebanon are encountering civil disruption because food and fuel cannot be purchased. Even the Swiss National Bank has received a cash infusion from the FED.

The Inverted Yield is rivaling Paul Volcker’s era and the Fed is not through yet. The cost of Capital has doubled or tripled.

I believe the Economy will follow Liquidity into a Recession.

Caution is advised.

Market Overview with Michael Douville & Dr. Charles Nenner, December 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on December 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Charles Nenner and Michael Douville discuss the results of Nenner Research.

Bitcoin is discussed and how regular the cycles are clearly delineating the top and bottom creating excellent trading opportunities. Charles’ forecasts are reviewed as well as over 200% in Crypto gains versus an asset loss of 82%.

Bonds are indicating lower rates for a a short time which gives an opportunity to sell property, or refinance.

Charles also is predicting a very difficult economy with social upheaval and geo-political problems.

Time got away from us! This is a little longer than usual, but full of very good and timely information.

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Now would be a good time to listen!

Watch the latest interview of Charles Nenner with Michael Douville where they discuss:

1️⃣S&P

2️⃣Problems in the economy

3️⃣Recession, Inflation & Bear Market

4️⃣Gold & Silver

5️⃣Commodity index going down

6️⃣Bonds, Fed Funds & 10-year Treasury

7️⃣Bitcoin & Crypto Currencies

8️⃣Lumber, Lennar & Copper

9️⃣Crude oil is down until the end of the month

🔟Dollar cycle, War Cycle & Social unrest.

📌Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 🚀Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

WARNING!!! MARKET DANGER!!! Charles Nenner & Michael Douville, October 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Markets could be about to get really serious…

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

So, when Charles Nenner forecasts something, it is in your best interest to listen!!

As you may know, I have interviewed Dr. Charles Nenner for many years. What you may not know is that Charles Nenner advised President Bush Sr. and was an investment analyst for the proprietary trading division of Goldman Sachs.

Further, he forecast to the day the 1987 Crash and the peak of the 2007 Stock Market in December 2007. He and I spoke just prior to the Covid-19 Crash, no one knew it was coming, where he predicted the mass unemployment, crashing GDP, and forecast the huge Oil decline.

A Special Interview with Charles Nenner. The 2022 Stock Market is mimicking the 1929 Stock Market which may indicate that October 21, 2022, may be a very dangerous time frame for many asset classes. If it is a repeat of 1929, then the trading days around October 21, 2022 could be very, very volatile… plus or minus a couple of days from October 21, 2022. Time to take actions!

Charles further forecasts the Fed Rate appears to indicate NO RELIEF for interest rates.

Current stock market charts in 2022 are mimicking the market crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Are markets are on the verge of repeating history?

Nenner has concerns of a market crash within the next week to 10 days. Are we about to witness a market crash? Extreme caution is warranted.

Asset classes (tech stocks, gold, and real estate) are lining up and they all suggest the same thing. Volatile trouble is coming…

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The following comments below are from Dr. Nenner.

We still do not recommend being long any of the equity markets.

We are still not interested in being long gold or silver assets due to negative weekly cycles.

We recommend standing aside cryptocurrencies because cycles are down.

We have leaders in the world in all kinds of countries who have no idea about anything, especially about economics.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

~

https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

Dollar Inflation? Rising to 20 or 25% Inflation? Is this possible? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , on August 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Well, I do not have good news. Dr. Nenner believes Inflation will be with us in the US for a very long time. How is this possible?

There are government restrictions of Resources like food and energy that will cause scarcity and scarcity causes prices to rise. The United States is experiencing policies of restriction. Scarcity Inflation!

There is now a restriction of Credit, higher interest rates and Quantitative Tightening by less purchasing of Mortgage-backed securities. When it costs more, it raises expenses and higher expenses causes higher prices.

With the US dollar heading toward all-time highs, the US is exporting our Inflation. The dollar is now stronger than the Euro. The dollar is gaining strength against currencies around the world. When the US Dollar is high, this causes Inflation, much higher prices, in countries with weaker currencies.

Utility and energy costs are exploding across Europe. Germans are paying 14X more for electricity than they were a year ago. European Businesses are closing across the European Union. Goods are being restricted affecting industrial production and construction.

What happens when, not if, when the US Dollar Cycles down. Will prices react as well? Will prices go up 20%, 30 % or more?

Make plans now!!!

Check out Michael’s latest video and please share with others.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

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Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

A hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6 which leads to global famine. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage just to eat.

Are we there yet? No, I don’t believe the seven year tribulation has started.

We know how we get to the beginning of the tribulation: a peace maker, war, hyperinflation, starvation. We are trending and living in inflationary times…

This Week in Prophecy: Russia/Iran/Turkey, Space & Rubles, Energy Inflation

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Persia/Elam/Iran, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 14, 2022 by paulthepoke

This Week in Prophecy: 8/14/22

On This Week in Prophecy… Russia and Iran have formed a joint venture to launch an Iranian satellite into space. The goal is monitor the climate in Iran for peaceful purposes. It is not illegal because nobody “owns” space… so they say…

https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2022/08/09/new-cold-war-update-russia-launches-iranian-satellite-n488330

photo: Twitter Space.com

“We agreed on the ruble with Putin.” -Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan. Turkey has agreed to pay for Russian natural gas in rubles.

https://www.dailysabah.com/business/turkey-to-pay-in-rubles-for-russian-gas-as-demand-increases/news

Energy bills are exploding in price across Europe. England is looking at cost caps in an attempt to manage inflation. History tells us this never works…

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11094795/Energy-bills-hit-4-400-April.html

A US Congressional delegation landed in Taiwan. How will China will respond?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11110391/US-lawmakers-visiting-Taiwan-12-days-Pelosi-visit.html

Interest rates and inflation are spiraling out of control around the world. Look at what is taking place in Argentina.

For all of this and more analysis and commentary, click on the YouTube link below. Welcome to This Week in Prophecy.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Nowhere to hide! Uh-Oh! Michael Douville & Charles Nenner

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on July 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times things which have not been done, saying, “My purpose will be established, and I will accomplish all My good pleasure.”

Isaiah 14:27 For the Lord of hosts has planned, and who can frustrate it? And as for His stretched-out hand, who can turn it back?

Dr. Charles Nenner reviews some major markets including the Goldman-Sachs Commodities, the DBB ETF for Base Metals, the Proprietary graph for Copper, Corn, Wheat, Gold, Silver, and Natural Gas. All showing weakness… there is nowhere to hide.

Rule #1, Don’t Lose Money!

Follow the math and do not listen to the media.

Cash is king. The US Dollar is strong and gaining.

Photo: iStock

Dr. Nenner says a significant recession is coming. The economy is getting weaker. Brace yourself, this may take awhile. Nenner discusses the likelihood of a significant stock market correction. Would you believe a Dow 5,000 target scenario? The average recession costs American’s 40% of their portfolio.

Commodities are rolling over in the short term. Inflation appears to be slowing. But watch out. Eventually, prices are going higher again towards the end of the year.

What does Dr. Nenner’s work say about gold and silver? The BIG bull market is coming, but when? Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to go long and buy. Listen to Dr. Nenner’s commentary and analysis for details.

Interest rates have turned and rates are going up. We are witnessing a significant cycle change according to Nenner’s research.

Wheat prices appear to be on the cusp of turning up again.

Energy prices are discussed in this video. Oil and natural gas are significant considerations to our pocket books.

Dr. Nenner recommended to go into cash around the first of the year 2022. If you had listened to Nenner’s research and recommendations, your retirement account and stocks would have been spared a 20-30% reduction.

Don’t fight the cycles…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information.

DON’T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY… Charles Nenner will be holding a Private Live Webinar where attendees can listen live and ask some questions. Attendance is going to be limited. This amazing opportunity to get a insiders view on the markets is scheduled for August 7th, 2022. Send your request to attend to info@charlesnenner.com. Details will be sent.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

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