Archive for Federal Reserve

This Week in Prophecy: Bibi & Erdogan Bromance, Turkey’s Oktar to Jail, Iran, The Fed & Digital Dollar Program

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , on November 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

On This Week in Prophecy… Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan has reached out to incoming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

“President Erdogan and the prime minister-designate discussed ways to significantly strengthen economic and diplomatic ties between the countries.” -Netanyahu Spokesman

“I congratulate you on your victory in the election and believe that the new government will continue the cooperation between the countries in all areas, in a way that will bring peace and stability to our region.” -President Recep Erdogan

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-722654

Ezekiel 38:1-3 The word of the Lord came to me: “Son of man, set your face toward Gog, of the land of Magog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal, and prophesy against him and say, Thus says the Lord God: Behold, I am against you, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal.

Ezekiel 38:6 Gomer and all his hordes; Beth-Togarmah from the uttermost parts of the north with all his hordes—many peoples are with you.

https://paulthepoke.com/?s=oktar

Adnan Oktar was sentenced to 8,658 years in jail…

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-adnan-oktar-sentenced-jail-retrial

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Russia and Iran strengthen economic and military ties.

https://twitter.com/JasonMBrodsky/status/1591534172208001024/photo/1

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The Federal Reserve has initiated a 12 week pilot program for the Digital Dollar. The following banks are involved: BNY Mellon, Citi, HSBC, Mastercard, PNC Bank, TD Bank, Truist, U.S. Bank, and Wells Fargo.

This is not a conspiracy theory. The train has left the station. The genie is not going back in the bottle. Pick your cliche…

Countries around the world are looking to link digital currencies with identification. Turkey is already on board.

https://www.investopedia.com/ny-fed-works-on-cbdc-6829573

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Revelation 13:16-18 And he causes all, the small and the great, and the rich and the poor, and the free men and the slaves, to be given a mark on their right hand or on their forehead, and he provides that no one will be able to buy or to sell, except the one who has the mark, either the name of the beast or the number of his name. Here is wisdom. Let him who has understanding calculate the number of the beast, for the number is that of a man; and his number is six hundred and sixty-six.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

WARNING!!! MARKET DANGER!!! Charles Nenner & Michael Douville, October 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on October 19, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Markets could be about to get really serious…

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

So, when Charles Nenner forecasts something, it is in your best interest to listen!!

As you may know, I have interviewed Dr. Charles Nenner for many years. What you may not know is that Charles Nenner advised President Bush Sr. and was an investment analyst for the proprietary trading division of Goldman Sachs.

Further, he forecast to the day the 1987 Crash and the peak of the 2007 Stock Market in December 2007. He and I spoke just prior to the Covid-19 Crash, no one knew it was coming, where he predicted the mass unemployment, crashing GDP, and forecast the huge Oil decline.

A Special Interview with Charles Nenner. The 2022 Stock Market is mimicking the 1929 Stock Market which may indicate that October 21, 2022, may be a very dangerous time frame for many asset classes. If it is a repeat of 1929, then the trading days around October 21, 2022 could be very, very volatile… plus or minus a couple of days from October 21, 2022. Time to take actions!

Charles further forecasts the Fed Rate appears to indicate NO RELIEF for interest rates.

Current stock market charts in 2022 are mimicking the market crashes of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Are markets are on the verge of repeating history?

Nenner has concerns of a market crash within the next week to 10 days. Are we about to witness a market crash? Extreme caution is warranted.

Asset classes (tech stocks, gold, and real estate) are lining up and they all suggest the same thing. Volatile trouble is coming…

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The following comments below are from Dr. Nenner.

We still do not recommend being long any of the equity markets.

We are still not interested in being long gold or silver assets due to negative weekly cycles.

We recommend standing aside cryptocurrencies because cycles are down.

We have leaders in the world in all kinds of countries who have no idea about anything, especially about economics.

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

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https://michaeldouville.com/

michael@michaeldouville.com

No Confusion, A Severe Recession is Coming! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , , , , on October 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed.

The “Seasonally Adjusted” employment numbers came in higher than expected. This will virtually guarantee another Fed Rate Hike into an already struggling Economy. Manufacturing jobs are decreasing. Job openings are decreasing.

Chicago PMI is below 50 to 45 indicating contraction. Orders for manufacturing are slower. Dr. Copper is dropping indicating a recession is coming. People are taking on more consumer debt with credit cards.

European inflation is over 10%. The cost of energy continues to increase. The Euro is under pressure and declining in value.

In a previous video, I mentioned hiking into a declining economy has always resulted in a Recession. If the Fed hiked in September, I expected a Severe Recession; further hikes will result in further deterioration of the Economy into something that may be much worse that a Severe Recession!!!!

Mortgage applications are at a 25-year low and in Phoenix, there are already rumors of staff cuts at local lenders. Get ready for a phenomenal buying opportunity; not yet but coming.

Dr. Charles Nenner believes there will be a bounce in the Equity and Bond Markets too. He looks to late October into November for the bounce. Be nimble and quick, it is just a bounce in the markets.

https://michaeldouville.com/

The Federal Reserve has it all under control (sarcasm).

Inflation will no longer be a concern in the coming months. Is inflation peaking? Food, energy, and housing inflation continues to rise.

Your Job is going to be your concern. The Federal Reserve is using the Strategy of Demand Destruction to control Inflation. They know that Severe Recessions KILL Inflation. It also kills jobs, and Businesses, investments, futures…

Real wages are decreasing. People have less money.

More Interest rate hikes are likely to come. Pay off your debts. The cost of money is going up.

It may be awhile. At some point, opportunity is coming. Be prepared and ready!

This Week in Prophecy: Russia Halts Gas to Europe, Russia/China/India War Games, Currency Wars, Turkey Threatens Greece

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Labor Day Weekend, September 2022, This Week in Prophecy…

photo credit: Moneycontrol.com

Russia has cut off the flow of natural gas to Europe. Nord Stream 1 has been shut down indefinitely.

“Europe’s storages are well on track to hitting or even surpassing their targets for this summer, and there’s plenty of scope to replace that gas with liquified natural gas imports for now, but when weather turns cold and demand starts to pick up in the winter in Europe and Asia, there’s only so much LNG out there that Europe can import to replace Russian gas.”

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/sep/02/nord-stream-1-gazprom-announces-indefinite-shutdown-of-pipeline

Companies are shutting down across Europe due to high gas and electricity costs. This week, the world’s second largest steel maker is closing indefinitely.

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Worlds-Second-Largest-Steelmaker-Closes-European-Plant.html

Revelation 9:16 Now the number of the army of the horsemen was two hundred million; I heard the number of them.

Vostok ’22 is underway with China and India joining Russia in the war games. The military exercise will take place from September 1-7, 2022 in Russia’s Far East and the Sea of Japan. Russia will join with troops from ex-Soviet nations, China, India, Laos, Mongolia, Nicaragua and Syria.

“The exercise isn’t directed against any specific countries or military alliances and is purely defensive,” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Fomin.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/29/russia-to-launch-military-drills-with-china

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Countries across the Middle East are turning away from the US dollar. Egypt has agreed to issue debt in the Chinese Yuan.

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/08/egypt-issue-bonds-chinas-currency-yuan

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The Federal Reserve is tightening and pulling US dollars out of the system. The US dollar is gaining strength. Interest rates are increasing and the price of debt is going up.

https://app.hedgeye.com/insights/121507-chart-of-the-day-recent-balance-sheet-trends?type=macro%2Cmarket-insights

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Revelation 2:8a And to the angel of the church in Smyrna write…

Turkey is threatening Greece in the Aegean Sea. President Recep Erdogan invokes modern day Izmir or ancient Smyrna in his comments. Remember the churches in Revelation???

“We have only one word to tell Greece: Do not forget Izmir (Smyrna in Greek). Your occupation of the islands does not bind us. When the time comes, we will do what’s necessary. As we say, we may come suddenly one night.” Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan in reference to the end of the Greek occupation after Turkish forces entered the city in the Aegean coast in 1922.

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2022/09/03/Erdogan-warns-Greece-it-will-pay-heavy-price-over-Aegean-airspace-violations

https://paulthepoke.com/?s=smyrna

For all of this and more analysis and commentary, click on the YouTube link below. Welcome to This Week in Prophecy.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

The Watchmen: Israeli PM to Russia, Iranian Nuclear Deal, Axis Emerging, Inflation Risk Rising

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Czekmate, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 6, 2022 by paulthepoke
Photo: JW.org

The Watchmen, just a couple of dudes sitting on the wall watching the world…

What in the world is Israeli PM Bennett doing trying to broker peace between Ukraine and Russia? Bennett is an Orthodox Jew. Has he read Ezekiel 38-39?

The Iranian nuclear deal appears to be coming close to completion. Look who is working together… Iran, Russia, and China. Is this a good deal for the rest of the world? Will the world be a safer place? Who benefits economically?

Iran shows off their latest military equipment via the Russian press.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell discussed the possibility of other alternatives to the dollar in a global economy.

Knock on effects are starting to emerge. The price of wheat, oil, and natural gas are going straight up. A war is taking place in the bread basket of Europe. Millions of people in North Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, and Europe are at risk for hyperinflation of food prices.

Russia has cut off the supply of natural gas to Europe.

Turkish inflation is out of control.

All of this and more including analysis and commentary on the link below.

Market Changing? Raise Cash? -Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , on January 25, 2022 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 14:16 One who is wise is cautious and turns away from evil, but a fool is reckless and careless.

Cash is Trash? Think Again! I have been in many Stock Cycles, many Bond Cycles, through a few 18-year Real Estate Cycles and having a Cash Reserve on hand to insure against credit line restriction is good business, So Cash is not always Trash. Cash is also a separate asset class.

When the Economy gets in trouble, the Banks will take back their CREDIT LINES!

Having cash, savings, checking, and bills: $1, $5, $10 dollar bills, is reassuring to carry you through any slow period. We have all done well in the last couple of years, maybe it’s time to take some profit or refinance and take some cash.

I have been suggesting maybe it is time to take a little money off the TABLE! Trees do not grow to the sky, and it is often nice to have some cash to supplement through a soft patch or use for an Opportunity! Cash is not always TRASH!

However, DO NOT SPEND this money, the cash is for opportunities or reserves.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

When the Recession hit in 2020 the Stock Market dropped like a rock, and it was difficult to get out. More and more of my clients have their Asset Allocation overweighted in the Stock Market. The Stock Market has had a very good run and perhaps it is time to take a profit and place the Capital in another ASSET CLASS!

World famous cyclical economist Charles Nenner weighs in on the market with his proprietary charts.

Michael reviews where he thinks we are in the 18 year Real Estate Cycle.

Real Estate Rentals add diversification, Cash Flow, Capital Gains, and are a separate asset class. If you or your clients are overweighted in Equities, perhaps change Assets to Real Estate. Real Estate and especially Rental Real Estate is “Counter Cyclical” to the Stock Market and often Capital will flow out of one Asset Class into another. Real Estate often benefits! Self-Directed IRA’s and Self-Directed 401K’s are ideal. Real Estate Rentals not only provide an excellent Cash Flow, but also act as an Inflation Hedge.

Michael addresses charts from the Federal Reserve. In Q1 of 2020, there was $6.3 Trillion of stimulus unleashed into the Economy and that ignited INFLATION! Once worker make $20 an hour, they are not going back to $12 an hour.

Are economic bubbles beginning to pop? The economy appears to be cooling.

Please check with your Financial Advisor to discuss what is right for you. I do not advocate that all of your assets be in Real Estate, nor do I believe all of your assets should be in the Stock Market.

Click on the YouTube video below for the details.

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

This Week In Prophecy: Jesus, Ezekiel 38-39, Inflation, Feasts Approaching, Oval Office Nap

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on September 4, 2021 by paulthepoke

This Week in Prophecy

https://valortube.com/groups/paul-lehr/

On This Week in Prophecy we go around the world and take a look at events that align with the signs of the times according to the prophets, apostles, and Jesus.

We start with Jesus and a coin discovered near Tel Aviv.

Ezekiel 38-39 continues to dominate the headlines. Russia and China look to work together in the name of peace for stability in Afghanistan and the region. Russia, Iran, and China look to a naval exercise possibly later this year in the Persian Gulf, for peaceful purposes of course against piracy. Vladimir Putin looks to build and expand Russian naval capability. The build towards Magog’s attempted invasion of Israel continues.

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell had his big speech this past week from Jackson Hole, Wyoming. The result, more money, more money, more money!!! Hello more inflation!!! Mind you the Chairman’s models suggest that inflation is “transitory”. Revelation 6 calls for hyperinflation at the onset of the Tribulation. So we watch.

President Biden took a nap in the Oval Office with Israeli Prime Minister Bennett. The leader of the free world is figuratively and literally asleep at the wheel.

Lastly, is the shofar a vector for the spread of COVID19??? Jewish concerns and questions ahead of the Fall Feasts?

These questions and more are answered on This Week in Prophecy.

https://valortube.com/groups/paul-lehr/

Inflation Is Coming… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on February 8, 2021 by paulthepoke

For those who are new to the site, one of the hallmarks of the beginning of the tribulation is hyperinflation as noted in Revelation 6. At http://Paulthepoke.com we are watching economic conditions, specifically trends regarding inflation.

white android tablet turned on displaying a graph
Photo by Burak K on Pexels.com

Michael Douville sees inflation coming into the economy. In fact, inflation is just now entering the Economy; it is probably going to get worse. Commodities are increasing in price from lumber to copper to steel. The value of the dollar is likely headed lower impacting purchasing power.

Click on the YouTube link below for Michael’s comments.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell has publicly stated he does not mind if “inflation runs a little hot”.

Here are some quotes from Chairman Powell.

“When the time comes to raise interest rates, we’ll certainly do that, and that time, by the way, is no time soon. If inflation were to move up in ways that are unwelcome, we have the tools for that, and we will use them. No one should doubt that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/14/powell-sees-no-interest-rate-hikes-on-the-horizon-as-long-as-inflation-stays-low.html

Everyone relax, the Federal Reserve has this under control…

Federal Reserve Calls for Inflation, August 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , on August 28, 2020 by paulthepoke
Pool Photo

Jackson Hole, Wyoming: The Federal Reserve is changing course. Chairman Jerome Powell indicated the Federal Reserve is willing to allow for inflation to elevate above 2% for some time before raising interest rates. Translation, get used to low interest rates for awhile and the cost of basic goods is going up in price. Here comes inflation.

For those of you who are interested, click on the link below for the official speech and comment from the Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell.

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20200827a.htm

Michael Douville is watching and he provides analysis of the situation. Michael has a warning. Beware! Stocks are decoupling from the Economy! Time to buy small rentals for CASH FLOW!!

The Divergence of the Stock Market from the Real Economy does not happen often. When it does, Investors need to take heed. It may be prudent to take profits and transfer Wealth to much more conservative and cash flowing rentals in one of the three great states: Florida, Texas, and ARIZONA.

Check out Michael’s comments below on YouTube.

Michael@michaeldouville.com

https://michaeldouville.com/

One of the initial hallmarks of the end times scenario is hyperinflation. Is the Federal Reserve change in financial policy setting the stage for the scenario below?

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Jesus has opened the scroll and initiated judgment with a series of seals, trumpets, and bowls. With the opening of the third seal, John speaks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage for food. About 2,000 years ago, a denarius was a day’s wage for labor.

And the rich are not impacted, do not harm the oil and wine!

Free Money!!! March 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Pestilence, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on March 15, 2020 by paulthepoke

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Jesus has opened the scroll and initiated judgment with a series of seals, trumpets, and bowls. With the opening of the third seal, John speaks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage for food. About 2,000 years ago, a denarius was a day’s wage for labor. We are living in and witnessing historical times and events. However, we are not witnessing the third seal of Revelation.

photo: Business Insider

In an unprecedented move, the United States Federal Reserve slashed interest rates to ZERO! A new round of quantitative easing will be initiated worth $700 billion in treasuries and mortgage backed securities.

Emergency lending for banks has been reduced to .25%. Repayment has been extended to 90 days.

Requirement ratios for banks has been reduced to ZERO.

Here is the statement from the Federal Reserve.

“The coronavirus outbreak has harmed communities and disrupted economic activity in many countries, including the United States.”

“…is prepared to use its full range of tools to support the flow of credit to households and businesses and thereby promote its maximum employment and price stability goals.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/15/federal-reserve-cuts-rates-to-zero-and-launches-massive-700-billion-quantitative-easing-program.html

Here is the latest statistical data from around the globe.

  • 169,000+ infected globally
  • 6,500+ deaths
  • Spain is on lock down.
  • France is on lock down.
  • Germany is reported to close its borders on Monday.
  • Nike and Apple have essentially closed all stores globally.
  • United States has 3,600+ cases
  • States are closing public schools.
  • Hoboken, NJ has issued a 10:00 p.m. curfew.
  • Universities are moving to on line instruction and closing campi.
  • College and professional sporting competition has been suspended.

Many critics state there is much hyperbole and over reaction with the media reporting and government response to the coronavirus COVID 19. I would encourage those critics to look at Italy. Cases are now over 24,000 and the death toll is increasing. Physicians are now making decisions on who gets care and who does not. Hospitals and health care providers cannot meet demands. The number of cases has doubled in the last four days.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/who-gets-hospital-bed/607807

https://www.propublica.org/article/this-coronavirus-is-unlike-anything-in-our-lifetime-and-we-have-to-stop-comparing-it-to-the-flu

We do not want videos of overwhelmed hospitals and health care workers making decisions in the parking lot on who gets care and who does not.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

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Revelation 6:7-8 When he opened the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a pale horse! And its rider’s name was Death, and Hades followed him. And they were given authority over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword and with famine and with pestilence and by wild beasts of the earth.

One quarter of the earth will be affected by death with the fourth seal! 1/4 of 7.8 billion is 1.95 billion!

Please understand. What we are watching and living is a human tragedy. I do not want to minimize this. But, this is nothing of the scope and scale of what is to come. We are not in the Revelation seals. There is time now.

2 Peter 3:9 The Lord is not slow to fulfill his promise as some count slowness, but is patient toward you, not wishing that any should perish, but that all should reach repentance.

1 John 2:2 He is the propitiation for our sins, and not for ours only but also for the sins of the whole world.

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