Paul the Poke

https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/p/too-small-to-not-fail-history

Credit Event Coming??? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags banks, bonds, cash, Chairman Jerome Powell, credit default swaps, credit event, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Deutsche Bank, Europe, Federal Reserve, interest rates, liquidity, money supply on March 25, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 4:13 Hold on to instruction; do not let go. Guard it, for it is your life.

Are we entering another Credit Event? I remember Lehman Brothers and Bear Stears. These events start slow and gather speed until things start to cascade.

Germany’s Deutsche Bank is in the news. Credit Default Swaps (insurance) are soaring! Tier 1 Bonds are crashing. Did Deutsche Bank receive $60 billion in Federal Reserve Foreign Repo Agreements?

European banks hold bonds yielding less than 0%. They are losing money big time as interest rates go up.

Global liquidity and money are in short supply. Liquidity is the fuel of the economy. Bank deposits are decreasing. Things are getting more difficult to get a loan.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is focused on lowering inflation. He says interest rates are not coming down any time soon.

Michael Douville recommends reading an article, Too Small To Not Fail, A Short History of the World by Danielle DiMartino Booth. For those not familiar, Danielle is a former Federal Reserve Insider. She is the CEO & Chief Strategist, Quill Intelligence LLC, and Economist.

Instead of mass mobilizing against Powell as if he was the reincarnation of King Louis XVI, why not grow up? In the absence of a solution without consequences, he’s made an attempt to steer the economy into the first recession from which it has the slightest chance of exiting without the dead weight of zombie companies, without the corrupt practice of anointing Wall Street’s kingpins the de facto makers of monetary policy. A wise man once said, “There is no such thing as a free lunch.”

Damn right there’s not. Perhaps we accept the truth in this wisdom and, in doing so, the consequences of our actions. -Danielle DiMartino Booth

I invite you in today with my clients' blessings. We live in troubled times. History's lessons are scorned. Those with the courage to make impossible choices are pilloried for sport. The sin of ZIRP & QE are presumed to be other-worldly 'free lunch.'https://t.co/KvIpH8f0tb pic.twitter.com/MccOhd4oKx
— Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) March 22, 2023

Check out Michael’s analysis, economic news, charts, and commentary below on the YouTube video. Click on the red play button.

Michael Douville With… Charles Nenner: The Whole System is Shaky! Will the Fed Raise rates?

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags banking crisis, banks, bonds, cash, cycles, Dr. Charles Nenner, economy, gold, Inflation, interest rates, stock market, US dollar, war on March 21, 2023 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville and Charles Nenner discuss the latest in economic and market news. What’s coming next. Dr. Nenner is one of the world’s best when it comes to economic cycles.

What an amazing interview.

Charles Nenner believes the current Banking Crisis will resolve itself for a short time only. The Banking Index will rise for a “Bounce” only. Charles believes the Whole System is ready to go under.

We need to make plans.

One of the 3 strategies would be trading. This is not a “Buy and Hold” environment.

Charles also believes Inflation will start up again after May.

We are in for a “terrible” time. Charles’ War Cycle and Civil Disruption are turning up.

It is time to be cautious. Build cash reserves. Hold some cash at home, and when buying physical gold, take possession.

Click on the link below for the interview and video. You can’t afford not to listen…

Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/

Market Overview with Michael Douville & Dr. Charles Nenner, December 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags Bear Market, Bitcoin, bonds, copper, Crypto, Dr. Charles Nenner, economy, gold, Inflation, interest rates, lumber, oil, real estate, recession, S&P 500, silver, social unrest, US dollar, war on December 13, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Charles Nenner and Michael Douville discuss the results of Nenner Research.

Bitcoin is discussed and how regular the cycles are clearly delineating the top and bottom creating excellent trading opportunities. Charles’ forecasts are reviewed as well as over 200% in Crypto gains versus an asset loss of 82%.

Bonds are indicating lower rates for a a short time which gives an opportunity to sell property, or refinance.

Charles also is predicting a very difficult economy with social upheaval and geo-political problems.

Time got away from us! This is a little longer than usual, but full of very good and timely information.

Click on the audio/video link below for mathematical analysis, data, and commentary. This video is loaded with content and economic information. Now would be a good time to listen!

Watch the latest interview of Charles Nenner with Michael Douville where they discuss:

1️⃣S&P

2️⃣Problems in the economy

3️⃣Recession, Inflation & Bear Market

4️⃣Gold & Silver

5️⃣Commodity index going down

6️⃣Bonds, Fed Funds & 10-year Treasury

7️⃣Bitcoin & Crypto Currencies

8️⃣Lumber, Lennar & Copper

9️⃣Crude oil is down until the end of the month

🔟Dollar cycle, War Cycle & Social unrest.

📌Learn how Charles Nenner’s unique research can help you get better experience for your future investments: https://www.charlesnenner.com/ 🚀Sign up for a FREE 30-day trial today!

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/sep/02/nord-stream-1-gazprom-announces-indefinite-shutdown-of-pipeline

This Week in Prophecy: Russia Halts Gas to Europe, Russia/China/India War Games, Currency Wars, Turkey Threatens Greece

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Ezekiel 38-39, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags Aegean Sea, ArcelorMittal, bonds, china, Egypt, Europe, Federal Reserve, Germany, Greece, India, Izmir, LNG, Middle East, natural gas, Nord Stream Pipeline, President Recep Erdogan, Revelation 2, Revelation 9, Russia, Smyrna, steel, Turkey, US dollar, Vladimir Putin, Vostok 22, yuan on September 4, 2022 by paulthepoke

Labor Day Weekend, September 2022, This Week in Prophecy…

Russia has cut off the flow of natural gas to Europe. Nord Stream 1 has been shut down indefinitely.

“Europe’s storages are well on track to hitting or even surpassing their targets for this summer, and there’s plenty of scope to replace that gas with liquified natural gas imports for now, but when weather turns cold and demand starts to pick up in the winter in Europe and Asia, there’s only so much LNG out there that Europe can import to replace Russian gas.”

Companies are shutting down across Europe due to high gas and electricity costs. This week, the world’s second largest steel maker is closing indefinitely.

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Worlds-Second-Largest-Steelmaker-Closes-European-Plant.html

Revelation 9:16 Now the number of the army of the horsemen was two hundred million; I heard the number of them.

Vostok ’22 is underway with China and India joining Russia in the war games. The military exercise will take place from September 1-7, 2022 in Russia’s Far East and the Sea of Japan. Russia will join with troops from ex-Soviet nations, China, India, Laos, Mongolia, Nicaragua and Syria.

“The exercise isn’t directed against any specific countries or military alliances and is purely defensive,” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Fomin.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/29/russia-to-launch-military-drills-with-china

Countries across the Middle East are turning away from the US dollar. Egypt has agreed to issue debt in the Chinese Yuan.

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/08/egypt-issue-bonds-chinas-currency-yuan

The Federal Reserve is tightening and pulling US dollars out of the system. The US dollar is gaining strength. Interest rates are increasing and the price of debt is going up.

https://app.hedgeye.com/insights/121507-chart-of-the-day-recent-balance-sheet-trends?type=macro%2Cmarket-insights

Revelation 2:8a And to the angel of the church in Smyrna write…

Turkey is threatening Greece in the Aegean Sea. President Recep Erdogan invokes modern day Izmir or ancient Smyrna in his comments. Remember the churches in Revelation???

“We have only one word to tell Greece: Do not forget Izmir (Smyrna in Greek). Your occupation of the islands does not bind us. When the time comes, we will do what’s necessary. As we say, we may come suddenly one night.” Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan in reference to the end of the Greek occupation after Turkish forces entered the city in the Aegean coast in 1922.

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2022/09/03/Erdogan-warns-Greece-it-will-pay-heavy-price-over-Aegean-airspace-violations

https://paulthepoke.com/?s=smyrna

For all of this and more analysis and commentary, click on the YouTube link below. Welcome to This Week in Prophecy.

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

1 Comment »

Charles Nenner; The US Economy Is Heading Into TROUBLE! Interviewed by Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags bond market, bonds, cash, crude, cycles, Dow Jones, Dr. Charles Nenner, DXY, equity markets, Inflation, market, natural gas, oil, pension funds, Stock Market Cycle, US dollar, wheat on May 11, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 22:3 The prudent see danger and take cover, but the simple keep going and suffer the consequences.

With inflation, market volatility, and economic changes occurring in today’s world, Michael Douville had a chance to sit down and visit with one of the world’s foremost cyclical economist and market forecaster, Dr. Charles Nenner.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

May 2022: An Amazing and Candid interview with Charles Nenner. Charles discusses his Dow Jones Weekly chart showing all three of his Cycles that rule the Equity Market. The three cycles are all topping; topping just as they did in 2007. The Cycles are worse than in 2007-2008, the amount of downside in the last 4 months is the worst in 80 years; if this is the beginning, it can be a very bad time. There is a window of opportunity to sell into a bounce that appears to be imminent.

Dr. Nenner recommended to exit the Bond market for the last 2 years. The amount of money lost is tremendous; Q1 2022 was the worst Quarter for Bonds in 157 years. Interest rates are going much higher.

Charles Nenner sees a slight short term topping of Inflation and a near term moderation of Inflation, but sees Inflation for many years very similar as in the 80’s. Inflation will be a big problem moving forward. Natural gas and Crude oil are a big component.

Charles thinks there is nowhere to hide, but Cash is King at the moment. He believes Inflation will continue to be a major problem. European pension funds are in Bonds, many that are below zero. This is very difficult for Pension funds, it is not safe and no return. It will be very difficult for people to retire. It is not good to “Be in it for the long term!”

Dr. Nenner and Michael Douville have a significant discussion on the housing market. Are we in the process of peaking???

The Us Dollar is flirting with the 104 on the DXY, it is possible the US will get very strong and possibly go up to possible the low 120’s.

Looking at the Wheat chart, the prices are heading higher. Food prices are going to get much higher.

Click on the link below for all the economic details with Dr. Nenner’s proprietary charts and analysis.

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags Bitcoin, bonds, commodities, Dow Jones, Dr. Charles Nenner, economy, equity market, gold, housing, Inflation, interest rates, lumber, markets, real estate, S&P 500, stocks on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

Dr. Charles Nenner, Caution in the Stock Market

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags bonds, charts, Dow Jones, Dr. Charles Nenner, economy, gold, knowledge, research, silver, stock market, volatility, wisdom on April 13, 2021 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Proverbs 9:9 Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be still wiser; teach a righteous man, and he will increase in learning.

April 6, 2021: It has been six months and Dr. Charles Nenner is back.

Dr. Nenner takes time to explain his proprietary research and charts with Michael Douville. Actual research charts explained with commentary. When Charles Nenner speaks, it usually pays to listen!

Dr. Nenner and Michael take a deep dive and go with an in depth interview to discuss his charts of Gold, the Dow, Bonds, and Volatility.

The Charles Nenner Research Center provides independent market timing research to clients around the world, including hedge funds, banks, brokerage firms, family offices, governments and individuals.

Charles Nenner also offers 4 weeks free trial offer for his research: www.Charlesnenner.com

To contact Michael Douville: michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael represents Real Estate Investors and specializes in conservative Passive Income.

Proverbs 1:5 A wise man will hear, and will increase learning; and a man of understanding shall attain unto wise counsels…

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

Improving Economy and Big Time Government Spending… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags bonds, economy, Inflation, interest rates, money, President Joe Biden, refinance, Revelation 6, the next phase on March 10, 2021 by paulthepoke

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) points to an Improving Economy. The Economy is recovering. How long will it be before Inflation and Higher Rates start in earnest? Inflation reduces purchasing power.

Rising rates will cause Bond Risk. Is it time to Refinance? Rising rates threaten Bond holders. Is it time to lock in loans?

Check out Michael’s assessment on the economy. Click on the video below.

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-consumer-prices-jump-fastest-pace-7-months-february

The price of food is going up around the globe. Food prices have increased for the ninth consecutive month. The cost of eating is as high as it has been since 2014. Grain prices have shot up 25% in the last year.

Food commodity prices highest since 2014, according to UN

Today, Congress approved a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan for the United States. President Biden plans on signing the bill into law on Friday, March 12, 2021. Direct payments to the people along with emergency unemployment payments are part of the plan. For those who are interested where the money is going, click on the link below.

https://apnews.com/article/what-is-inside-covid-19-bill-relief-package-52fa93ac75d38eae4cd3dbb6402e7eba

Wait! President Biden is not finished. On Thursday night, March 11, 2021, the President is looking to do more with “The Next Phase”. Here comes a massive infrastructure plan. And after that, the Biden Administration is looking to rid the planet of cancer.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/here-come-trillions-more-biden-will-unveil-next-phase-covid-response-thursday

Crank up the printing press. More money! more money! more money!

And remember, Revelation 6 is promised. The Bible says hyperinflation is coming at some point in the future. Revelation 6 talks of a time when it will cost a day’s wage to eat. We are not there yet. But, the pace of food inflation is increasing.

Revelation 6:5-6 When he opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, “Come!” And I looked, and behold, a black horse! And its rider had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard what seemed to be a voice in the midst of the four living creatures, saying, “A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius, and do not harm the oil and wine!”

Michael has a new book coming. Details will be made available.

https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-statement-on-ihr-emergency-committee-on-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov)

Wuhan Virus Update, February 2, 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, China, Michael Douville, Pestilence, Prophecy, Trend Update with tags bond market, bonds, china, gold, silver, stock market, Wuhan Virus on February 2, 2020 by paulthepoke

Luke 21:11b …and in various places famines and pestilences. -Jesus

Thursday, 1/30/20: The World Health Organization finally declared a global emergency regarding the Wuhan Virus. Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of the World Health Organization is calling “all countries to work together in a spirit of solidarity and cooperation. We are all in this together, and we can only stop it together.”

Click on the link below for the WHO complete statement and declaration.

President Trump and the United States declared a public health emergency on Friday, 1/31/20.

“I want to emphasize that this is a serious health situation in China, but I want to emphasize that the risk to the American public is currently low. Our goal is to do all we can do to keep it that way,” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Robert Redfield

The Wuhan Virus is starting to make an economic impact on global markets. On Friday, 1/31/20, the Dow Jones Industrial Index in the United States closed down 603.41 points, or 2.1%, to 28,256.03.

The economic impact is likely to be significant considering China’s consumption of goods as measured against the rest of the planet. Chinese financial regulators are set to provide $173 billion of liquidity when markets open on Monday, February 3, 2020.

RE: Corona virus is an enormous demand shock. YES! Correct! I live in Shanghai, China. Everything is shut down, people are not leaving their homes. The whole country! This is not analogous to SARs 2003. China is far bigger and the global economy is more connected. pic.twitter.com/hLarUtF9XA
— Plinian Put (@plinian_put) January 31, 2020

Michael Douville has weighed in on the impact of the Wuhan Virus as well. The virus may be the tipping point for the global economy. Michael has been monitoring the slowing global economy for at least the last 6 months. Indexes show shipping around the planet is slowing. On Friday, the yield curve in the bond market inverted which indicates a slowing economy. Economic activity is halting across China because of the Wuhan Virus. Michael likes gold, silver, bonds and rental properties. As always, check with your financial consultant. Click on the link below for Michael’s comments on the Wuhan Virus impact.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fs9AOcvaWXwGaNRXcAh-DRh8k–hyliH/view

The following points are from various headlines across the internet. These information points are continually expanding.

Companies like Apple, Google, Starbucks, Ikea, and Tesla are closing operations and stores in China.
Global airlines are suspending flights in and out of China.
The U.S. State Department has alerted Americans not to travel to China.
Other countries limiting travel to China include Japan, Australia, Vietnam, Qatar, Turkmenistan, Singapore, New Zealand
North Korea and Russia have closed their borders to China.

The New York Times is providing live updates on the Wuhan Virus. The stream is loaded with all kinds of information including an embedded reporter in Wuhan. See the link below.

There is the following headline out of New Zealand and suppressed death numbers. Coronavirus: China accused of ‘burning bodies in secret’

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12304547

The New York Post published an article indicating there may be as many as 75,000 already infected. Other news outlets globally are indicating the same.

https://nypost.com/2020/02/01/over-75000-people-in-wuhan-reportedly-may-be-infected-with-coronavirus/

February 2, 2020: Here is the latest update regarding the spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus… Allegedly… Numbers and data are rapidly changing.

14,549 infected world wide
305 deaths
First death reported outside of China in the Philippines
At least 60,000,000 people remain quarantined.
Virus is now reported in at least 25 countries.