Archive for markets

Teshuvah 5782/2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Teshuvah/Repent with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on August 21, 2022 by paulthepoke

The month of Elul initiates a 40 day period called Teshuvah. The point of the season is to prepare for the civil Jewish New Year, Rosh Hashanah. This appointed feast day is also referred to as Yom Teruah by Jews. Christians may refer to the day as the Feast of Trumpets. The season of Teshuvah concludes on Yom Kippur or the Day of Atonement.

Teshuvah is a time to turn toward God. People are called to turn away from their sin, repent, and change course. It is a time of inward reflection and sincere self-assessment. The goal is a change in lifestyle away from sin to obedience in God’s word. The 40 day period starts on Elul 1 and ends on Tishri 10, Yom Kippur.

Elul is the last month of the civic calendar in Judaism. Elul is the sixth month of God’s calendar. Jewish tradition points to the name of the month to be an acronym of “Ani l’dodi v’dodi li” a quote from Song of Songs 6:3 I am my beloved’s and my beloved is mine… 

In Aramaic, the vernacular of the Jewish people at the time that the month names were adopted, the word Elul means “search”. Per Strong’s Concordance, Elul means “nothingness” in the Hebrew. The month is mentioned one time in the Bible. Nehemiah 6:15 So the wall was completed on the twenty-fifth of the month Elul, in fifty-two days. 

This year, 5782/2022, the start of Elul will begin at the sighting of the sliver of the new moon by two witnesses. It is estimated to be observed at sun set from possibly Saturday, August 27 to Monday, August 29.

Cultural customs per http://www.jewfaq.orghttp://www.myjewishlearning.com .

This year, 5782/2022, the season of Teshuvah is unique and exceptional.

The end of the month of Elul marks the end of a sabbatical or shemitah year. On a western Gregorian calendar, that is Sunday, September 25 to Tuesday, September 27, 2022. Remember, the new month, and in this case the new civil year, is decreed upon the confirmation of the new moon by two witnesses. Historically, God releases debt on the last day of the last year of a seven year cycle. 

Deuteronomy 15:1-2 At the end of every seven years you shall grant a remission of debts. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the LORD’S remission has been proclaimed. 

Historically, this is not a good omen for economic markets. If history is any indicator, fasten your seat belts. The land completes its rest on approximately Sunday, September 25 to Tuesday, September 27, 2022 pending two witnesses confirming the new moon. God is going into action and debt will be released. Keep your eyes on the markets. Planet Earth is likely to get even more interesting. Like we do not have enough to be concerned about already.

Time will tell…

https://www.amazon.com/Paul-Lehr/e/B09W8FB77N

Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville Discuss Risk in the Markets, February 2022

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2022 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

February 21, 2022: I had the pleasure of speaking with Charles Nenner.

In the opening remarks, Dr. Nenner mentions the Equity Market is heading for a ‘Situation’ similar to Bonds. Both Markets are heading into turmoil.

Charles and I speak about Bitcoin, Interest rates, commodities, Housing, lumber, Bonds, Gold, the Dow, and the S&P.

Charts further indicate the Equity Market may be heading into trouble. Commodities appear to be in a very favorable trend. Dr. Nenner also mentions Inflation could be 12 or 13%.

Charles Nenner displayed a Sunspot Chart that correlated amazingly well with the Stock markets and the Economy; when there is intense Sunspot activity, Stocks and the Economy do very well. Unfortunately, we are heading into a timeframe of reduced Electromagnetic intensity.

Charles Nenner is often seen on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox News. He has been interviewed by Forbes and The Financial Times.

When Charles Nenner speaks, it pays to listen. Click on the video below for the details.

Dr. Nenner offers a free trial subscription for a few weeks. Please mention you watched this video. https://www.charlesnenner.com/

If you are interested in a consultation for placing Cash Flowing rental properties in your portfolio, reach me at michael@michaeldouville.com

Economic Forecast 2021… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , on December 30, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

1 Chronicles 12:32a And of the sons of Issachar, having understanding of the times, to know what Israel should do.

Michael offers his economic forecast for 2021!!!

The Best is Yet to Come. It looks like a huge year for the Economy as the liquidity begins to percolate throughout the mainstream economy. Q1 and Q2 look to be BLOCKBUSTERS!!!! However, Inflation may appear. Concerns about purchasing power will start to rise.

Michael also has a new book coming out in 2021.

Check with your Advisor as to whether Cash Flowing Rentals are good for your portfolio.

Click on the video below for Michael’s 2021 Forecast…

Michael@michaeldouville.com

Michael Douville is our go to expert on all things economic. Douville is connected with the brightest economic minds in the industry.

Inflation Is Coming!!! Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on November 4, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Michael Douville is weighing in on current economic conditions. Check out what he has to say.

Is Inflation finally coming? Inflation has been benign for over a decade. There appears to be Inflation in the Basic materials that will percolate through the Economy. Residential Rentals can be a terrific Inflation hedge.

Click on the video below for Michael’s comments.

michael@michaeldouville.com

Real Estate has an 18.5 year cycle that repeats with surprising regularity. Is the Cycle about to slow just before the years long “Explosive Phase”? Does this represent a buying opportunity? Real Estate, particularly in the Great Markets of the US, represents a very very compelling and Cash Flow generating investment. To be involved: michael@michaeldouville.com, 602-942-4200

Click on the link below for Michael’s thoughts on the Real Estate Cycle.

michael@michaeldouville.com

Hyperinflation is a hallmark of the beginning of the tribulation. Any time there is a discussion of the topic, be alert. We know inflation eventually comes on a massive scale.

Charles Nenner Forecasts Another Possible Leg Down! June 2020

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , on June 28, 2020 by paulthepoke

Ecclesiastes 3:1 For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…

Ecclesiastes 7:12 For the protection of wisdom is like the protection of money, and the advantage of knowledge is that wisdom preserves the life of him who has it.

Michael Douville has just completed a sit down interview with Dr. Charles Nenner. He is one of the most influential Cycle Researchers in the world. When Dr. Nenner is talking, it would be wise to listen.

BUCKLE UP!!!! Check your stock positions, check your bond positions and be conservative and cautious! Dr. Nenner is still recommending gold and small residential rental units as a GOOD conservative investments.

Dr. Nenner sees interest rates to bottom in the next couple weeks. From there, he looks for rates to increase 2-4 years out.

We are heading into turmoil, it will be very dark, but there is a HUGE opportunity coming right behind this.

As Michael Douville states, there are times to be Bold and times to be Cautious. We read the tea leaves daily; we do not want to make a Mistake! As a follower of the Business Cycle and a realization that life does not move in a linear fashion, but rather moves through Cycles.

https://michaeldouville.com/

For more information contact: michael@michaeldouville.com

Click on the YouTube link below for the conversation between Dr. Charles Nenner and Michael Douville. This is well worth one’s time!

https://www.charlesnenner.com/

In 2001, Charles Nenner founded, and is president of, the Charles Nenner Research Center. Mr. Nenner has provided his independent market research to the following entities all over the world: hedge funds, banks, brokerage firms, family offices, and individual clients. Mr. Nenner worked for Goldman, Sachs & Co in NY, from 2001 to 2008. Before that time, Mr. Nenner worked exclusively for Goldman, Sachs & Co. in London, where he served as a technical analyst for Goldman’s fixed income trading group from 1998 to 2001. From 1997 to 1998, he served as the head of trading research at Rabobank International, and from 1992 to 1994, he was head of Market Timing at Ofek Securities in Tel Aviv. Mr. Nenner served as Director of Research at Windsor NY between 1987 and 1989, and was a Financial Consultant with Merrill Lynch out of its Amsterdam Office from 1985 to 1987. Mr. Nenner initiated a system of pattern forecasting and securities analysis, and developed a computer program which takes many indicators into account, including Mr. Nenner’s use of proprietary cycle analysis. Mr. Nenner graduated from Maimonides College Amsterdam in 1972, and from the University of Amsterdam Medical College, where he earned his medical degree in 1984.

https://michaeldouville.com/

Global Economy Trying to Recover… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on May 26, 2020 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:23 Know well the condition of your flocks, and give attention to your herds…

The Economy is trying to bottom and start the recovery. GDP is worse than the Great Recession, the damage is widespread and Many retailers and restauranteurs will not recover. However, change will bring new innovation and Huge Investment Opportunities.

Michael continues to watch the global impact of the U.S. Dollar. Diversify your resources and do your home work. Seek a financial adviser.

Click on the link below to get the latest economic news from Michael Douville.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Investing During International Turmoil… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , on September 24, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Proverbs 27:23 Know well the condition of your flocks, and give attention to your herds…

In this post, Michael discusses investing in markets with increased geo political risk as related to oil and gas prices. How will markets respond with the recent bombing of Saudi Arabian oil refineries? Listen to what Michael has to say.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

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Market Extremes… Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville, Trend Update with tags , , , , , , , , on May 13, 2019 by paulthepoke

Esther 1:13 Then the king said to the wise men who knew the times (for this was the king’s procedure toward all who were versed in law and judgment…)

Risk has entered the market place. Metrics from John Hussman indicate the market may be heading for a wild ride. Metrics from Hussman’s work indicate the same levels of risk from the Dot Com Bubble and the late 1920’s. Rumors of trade wars and tariffs are in the news. Michael Douville posted this on his website and YouTube on 5/9/19.

5/13/19: The Dow Jones was down 617 points or 2.38%, NASDAQ was 270 points or 3.41%, S&P 500 was down 69 points or 2.41%.

Michael updates what is happening around the world and how it will impact the U.S. Understand the economic times and conditions we are living. Do you have a plan?

Click on the link below for Michael’s update.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Who Will Be the Catalyst??? Michael Douville

Posted in #PaulthePoke, Michael Douville with tags , , , , , on April 15, 2019 by paulthepoke

Proverbs 27:12 The prudent sees danger and hides himself, but the simple go on and suffer for it.

Will there be a spark that starts an economic fire? The global economy is slowing down with many countries in recession or on the verge of entering into a recession? Will Turkey be the first domino to tumble? Michael gives his thoughts.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

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The Economy is Transitioning, are you ready? Do you have all your money in stocks and bonds? What happens if we see a sharp reduction in the markets. Have you prepared your life boat? Michael talks about alternate ways to make income without worrying about the markets.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

There are times to be Bold and times to be Cautious. We read the tea leaves daily; we do not want to make a Mistake! As a follower of the Business Cycle and a realization that life does not move in a linear fashion, but rather moves through Cycles. Each different cycle has a unique signature and a unique interaction upon other cycles. We leave the detail research to others, but collate and collect the research into a very usable form. The Presentation always incorporates the latest data. It is this edge that helps discern Us from everyone else allowing the deployment of Capital strategically, timely, and in the path of Growth. Our clients have experienced much better than average returns and have avoided costly mistakes due to our Forecasting.

http://www.michaeldouville.com

Signs of a Late Business Cycle… Michael Douville

Posted in Michael Douville with tags , , , , , , , on February 4, 2019 by paulthepoke

Luke 14:28-30 For which of you, desiring to build a tower, does not first sit down and count the cost, whether he has enough to complete it? Otherwise, when he has laid a foundation and is not able to finish, all who see it begin to mock him, saying, ‘This man began to build and was not able to finish.’

Jesus is offering advice on many levels with the verses above. First piece of advice is to “sit down” and have a plan. Second is “count”. One needs to know what they have. Third is have a “foundation”. The fourth is have enough to finish the plan.

Do you have a plan for your life let alone a plan for a house or structure? Where are we in the economic cycle? Do you have a plan for the financial times we live?

The economic slowdown continues. The home builder Pulte is slowing. Harley Davidson is selling fewer motorcycles. These are the signs of a late business cycle.

Check out Michael’s latest video entry with fresh up to date economic data.

Why would the Federal Reserve put interest rates on hold? Debt is spiraling out of control. Check out Michael’s comments below on the debt load around the globe.

Do you have all your money in stocks and bonds? What happens if we see a sharp reduction in the markets. Have you prepared your life boat? Michael talks about alternate ways to make income without worrying about the markets.

Michael is a syndicated writer for the Wall Street Greek. This is Wall Street quality research for free. Michael knows his craft.

Have a plan…

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